Anonymous
Post 02/06/2022 09:03     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-7-senate-races-that-will-likely-decide-control-of-the-chamber/

The PA GOP Senate Primary, ladies and gentlemen: “Until recently, McCormick lived in Connecticut, Öz hailed from New Jersey and Sands was a California resident.”


And McCormick will still run fetterman or lamb within 3 pts.

Anonymous
Post 02/05/2022 17:31     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-7-senate-races-that-will-likely-decide-control-of-the-chamber/

The PA GOP Senate Primary, ladies and gentlemen: “Until recently, McCormick lived in Connecticut, Öz hailed from New Jersey and Sands was a California resident.”
Anonymous
Post 02/05/2022 15:42     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-7-senate-races-that-will-likely-decide-control-of-the-chamber/
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2022 20:19     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Caucuses are pretty useless.

Yes but it’s weird to see professional PA GOP not fall in line for Oz who was handpicked by Trump. Maybe it was anonymous?

He’s an outsider - literally, given his address, and figuratively given his religion, his education and his general urbanity, and quite possibly his family heritage. Is there a large Turkish population in PA and do they tend Democratic or Repo? Plus for the real knuckle draggers, the fact that he was elevated to fame by a Black woman probably doesn’t help.


I still have yet to hear an explanation for why his voting in PA is not illegal. He lives in NJ, but he uses his in-laws address for voter registration. Is that actually legal. My mother in law lives in PA too. Can I just vote using her address?

Kaylee McEnany has voted with her parents’ Florida address for ten years, and Herschel Walker’s wife voted illegally in Georgia when they lived in Texas, so it’s fine. #rulesfortheeandnotforme
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2022 19:54     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Caucuses are pretty useless.

Yes but it’s weird to see professional PA GOP not fall in line for Oz who was handpicked by Trump. Maybe it was anonymous?

He’s an outsider - literally, given his address, and figuratively given his religion, his education and his general urbanity, and quite possibly his family heritage. Is there a large Turkish population in PA and do they tend Democratic or Repo? Plus for the real knuckle draggers, the fact that he was elevated to fame by a Black woman probably doesn’t help.


I still have yet to hear an explanation for why his voting in PA is not illegal. He lives in NJ, but he uses his in-laws address for voter registration. Is that actually legal. My mother in law lives in PA too. Can I just vote using her address?
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2022 16:12     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Caucuses are pretty useless.

Yes but it’s weird to see professional PA GOP not fall in line for Oz who was handpicked by Trump. Maybe it was anonymous?

He’s an outsider - literally, given his address, and figuratively given his religion, his education and his general urbanity, and quite possibly his family heritage. Is there a large Turkish population in PA and do they tend Democratic or Repo? Plus for the real knuckle draggers, the fact that he was elevated to fame by a Black woman probably doesn’t help.
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2022 15:05     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:I know it's 2024 and not 2022, but Sinema is rapidly losing her support in Arizona. The financial support is the beginning, but she's losing much of her base while supporting the moderates who put her over the top. Arizona is still purple, so being challenged from the left is going to hamstring her badly.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/26/democratic-donors-plot-primary-challenge-against-kyrsten-sinema.html

100% that Gallego runs against her in the 2024 primary. His House seat is safe D but he’s not so far left that he can’t win the general.
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2022 15:03     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Caucuses are pretty useless.

Yes but it’s weird to see professional PA GOP not fall in line for Oz who was handpicked by Trump. Maybe it was anonymous?
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2022 14:58     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
I know it's 2024 and not 2022, but Sinema is rapidly losing her support in Arizona. The financial support is the beginning, but she's losing much of her base while supporting the moderates who put her over the top. Arizona is still purple, so being challenged from the left is going to hamstring her badly.

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/26/democratic-donors-plot-primary-challenge-against-kyrsten-sinema.html
Anonymous
Post 01/22/2022 23:33     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Caucuses are pretty useless.
Anonymous
Post 01/22/2022 23:08     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Wisconsin is all over the place since there’s a big D field, but Ron Johnson’s approval numbers are terrible.

Meanwhile, this weirdness in PA:
Anonymous
Post 01/20/2022 20:24     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:


Hassan will hold, no one cares.

Show us AZ, PA, GA, NV polls

Earlier in this thread people were saying Hassan was toast.

Arizona:
Pennsylvania:
Georgia:
Nevada:


Hassan is polling low for an incumbent. Stuck in the low 40s regardless of the opponent. A very large pool of undecided voters in NH, which is her danger zone. People holding back judgment. Sununu was matching or slightly leading her, which shows people in NH receptive to a change of senators. She is certainly happy Sununu isn't running, but let's not forget Kelly Ayotte who had good polling but still lost to Hassan because an anyone but R voting mantra that year was enough to carry Hassan to victory. The reverse could happen just as easily this year, an anyone but D vote emerging. And NH is well positioned for it.



Wow, the numbers are looking great for dems. Only behind in NV and that’s a trafalgar poll, so need to take away 4-5 from the R. What about WI? This could shape up to be a good year for senate dems if this holds.
Anonymous
Post 01/20/2022 19:26     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
anyone but D vote emerging

Anonymous
Post 01/20/2022 11:18     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Laxalt comes from a political family. Is he Trumpy, or just a regular western state rugged individual conservative?

He chaired Trump’s campaign in Nevada, so he’s the latter that turned into the former.
Anonymous
Post 01/20/2022 11:02     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:


Hassan will hold, no one cares.

Show us AZ, PA, GA, NV polls

Earlier in this thread people were saying Hassan was toast.

Arizona:
Pennsylvania:
Georgia:
Nevada:


Hassan is polling low for an incumbent. Stuck in the low 40s regardless of the opponent. A very large pool of undecided voters in NH, which is her danger zone. People holding back judgment. Sununu was matching or slightly leading her, which shows people in NH receptive to a change of senators. She is certainly happy Sununu isn't running, but let's not forget Kelly Ayotte who had good polling but still lost to Hassan because an anyone but R voting mantra that year was enough to carry Hassan to victory. The reverse could happen just as easily this year, an anyone but D vote emerging. And NH is well positioned for it.