Anonymous
Post 01/10/2022 05:01     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts


Help me out here -
PA - Pat Toomey’s R seat - open
WI - Ron Johnson R running again
GA - Raphael Warnock D running again
AZ - Mark Kelly D running again
NV - Cortez Masto D running again
NH - Maggie Hassan D running again
That’s six - what am I missing?


North Carolina.

Burr retiring

Trump won NC by less than 1.5
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 23:10     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts


Help me out here -
PA - Pat Toomey’s R seat - open
WI - Ron Johnson R running again
GA - Raphael Warnock D running again
AZ - Mark Kelly D running again
NV - Cortez Masto D running again
NH - Maggie Hassan D running again
That’s six - what am I missing?
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 23:05     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:As someone who is a team Obama alum and has worked prior campaigns in pa and does some campaign consulting now and then —

There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts

Before omicron, I thought Dems would hold the tiebreak after sununu declined to run.

I had d’s flippin pa and r’s flippin ga. Everything else holding.

Now….my median forecast is r +2

PA holds R, and R’s flip GA, NV….and run it way too close in az.


PA with Dr Oz or David McCormick?

How about NH?


McCormick is a stronger candidate than people are giving credit for. Oz won’t be the nom.

Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 23:04     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:As someone who is a team Obama alum and has worked prior campaigns in pa and does some campaign consulting now and then —

There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts

Before omicron, I thought Dems would hold the tiebreak after sununu declined to run.

I had d’s flippin pa and r’s flippin ga. Everything else holding.

Now….my median forecast is r +2

PA holds R, and R’s flip GA, NV….and run it way too close in az.


PA with Dr Oz or David McCormick?

How about NH?


Hassan holds - sununu would’ve smoked her tho. She’s a lucky bird and her team will still have to work.
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 23:00     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:As someone who is a team Obama alum and has worked prior campaigns in pa and does some campaign consulting now and then —

There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts

Before omicron, I thought Dems would hold the tiebreak after sununu declined to run.

I had d’s flippin pa and r’s flippin ga. Everything else holding.

Now….my median forecast is r +2

PA holds R, and R’s flip GA, NV….and run it way too close in az.

I’m with you worried about Nevada but I’m not worried about Arizona or Pennsylvania.
Hit submit too soon - Sununu not running is HUGE so I’m trending confident about New Hampshire. Republicans got ravaged there in 2021 but you never heard about it because everyone was talking about Youngkin.
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 22:58     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:As someone who is a team Obama alum and has worked prior campaigns in pa and does some campaign consulting now and then —

There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts

Before omicron, I thought Dems would hold the tiebreak after sununu declined to run.

I had d’s flippin pa and r’s flippin ga. Everything else holding.

Now….my median forecast is r +2

PA holds R, and R’s flip GA, NV….and run it way too close in az.

I’m with you worried about Nevada but I’m not worried about Arizona or Pennsylvania.
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 22:58     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:As someone who is a team Obama alum and has worked prior campaigns in pa and does some campaign consulting now and then —

There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts

Before omicron, I thought Dems would hold the tiebreak after sununu declined to run.

I had d’s flippin pa and r’s flippin ga. Everything else holding.

Now….my median forecast is r +2

PA holds R, and R’s flip GA, NV….and run it way too close in az.


PA with Dr Oz or David McCormick?

How about NH?
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 22:51     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
As someone who is a team Obama alum and has worked prior campaigns in pa and does some campaign consulting now and then —

There are seven senate races in 2022 where the 2020 potus election was within 2 pts

Before omicron, I thought Dems would hold the tiebreak after sununu declined to run.

I had d’s flippin pa and r’s flippin ga. Everything else holding.

Now….my median forecast is r +2

PA holds R, and R’s flip GA, NV….and run it way too close in az.
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 22:51     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
^^^ Connie Morella, effing autocorrect.
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 22:41     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Will be interesting to see if Hogan runs against Van Hollen. This would be the year to get rid of a democrat hegemony in MD

If Hogan were running he’d be running already. And he wouldn’t win because Maryland knows better than to elect somewhat acceptable local Republicans when control of the House or Senate is on the line. Just ask Connie Morelos if you don’t believe me.
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 22:25     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Will be interesting to see if Hogan runs against Van Hollen. This would be the year to get rid of a democrat hegemony in MD
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 21:44     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

Given how the GOP has rigged things, he might win.

Agree, but this is encouraging:


So who is the most promising Dem candidate? I watched an interview with Mandela Barnes and he was Ok ... but haven't researched the others yet.

It’s a big field. There’s some info on some of them further back in this thread but I think Mandela Barnes is the best bet because he already he won statewide office. If you’re not sure just donate to the Wisconsin Democrats in the meantime because they are on this, plus the governor’s race is also incredibly important.
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 17:33     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

Given how the GOP has rigged things, he might win.

Agree, but this is encouraging:


So who is the most promising Dem candidate? I watched an interview with Mandela Barnes and he was Ok ... but haven't researched the others yet.
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 17:10     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

Given how the GOP has rigged things, he might win.

Agree, but this is encouraging:
Anonymous
Post 01/09/2022 15:11     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
So another Moscow July 4, 2018 attendee...he will get plenty of Kremlin help.