Anonymous wrote:How's everyone feeling this morning? I'm feeling lllloooooolllllll!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.
In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.
Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.
HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.
Absolutely agree. COVID deaths + population shifts + retirements have made PA, MI, and WI more blue.
Conservatives I know are concentrating themselves in a handful of states - ID, MT, FL, and TX. We have family friends who sold their homes in ÇA and AZ to move to ID full time because AZ was “getting too liberal!” If you are conservative and have some money, you moved during COVID to the DeSantis theme park of Florida.
It will take time, but the population shifts are real. You couldn’t rent a UHaul for months.
NC is purple too! Lots of dems moving there.
Ted Budd only showing 50.7 percent of the vote. I hope he will govern carefully and from the center.
Anonymous wrote:I'm very relieved and I think this is a spanking for the GOP. Given food and gas prices, the Rs SHOULD have had their red wave and they didn't. And it sounds like exit polls indicated a lot of that was abortion related.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.
In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.
Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.
HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.
Absolutely agree. COVID deaths + population shifts + retirements have made PA, MI, and WI more blue.
Conservatives I know are concentrating themselves in a handful of states - ID, MT, FL, and TX. We have family friends who sold their homes in ÇA and AZ to move to ID full time because AZ was “getting too liberal!” If you are conservative and have some money, you moved during COVID to the DeSantis theme park of Florida.
It will take time, but the population shifts are real. You couldn’t rent a UHaul for months.
NC is purple too! Lots of dems moving there.
Ted Budd only showing 50.7 percent of the vote. I hope he will govern carefully and from the center.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.
In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.
Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.
HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.
Absolutely agree. COVID deaths + population shifts + retirements have made PA, MI, and WI more blue.
Conservatives I know are concentrating themselves in a handful of states - ID, MT, FL, and TX. We have family friends who sold their homes in ÇA and AZ to move to ID full time because AZ was “getting too liberal!” If you are conservative and have some money, you moved during COVID to the DeSantis theme park of Florida.
It will take time, but the population shifts are real. You couldn’t rent a UHaul for months.
NC is purple too! Lots of dems moving there.
Anonymous wrote:How's everyone feeling this morning? I'm feeling lllloooooolllllll!
Anonymous wrote:Texas will be in major play in the next 10 years. So for Dems, that will be a huge win and change the map entirely
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.
In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.
Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.
HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.
PP here- to add- Bottom line- that pesky electoral college saved Dems butts this year. I suspect we won't hear much from them about eliminating it in the upcoming years.
You apparently don’t know what the electoral college is.
+1 I’m embarrassed for PP!! Omg!
Yes sorry my bad I'm going on 3 hours of sleep with an emerging cold. But my point still stands that there was a 10 pt swing in the popular vote and basically nothing changed in the overall numbers in Congress. Dems can coast on this for 2024 and 2028- the next census isn't until 2030.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.
In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.
Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.
HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.
PP here- to add- Bottom line- that pesky electoral college saved Dems butts this year. I suspect we won't hear much from them about eliminating it in the upcoming years.
You apparently don’t know what the electoral college is.
+1 I’m embarrassed for PP!! Omg!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.
In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.
Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.
HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.
Absolutely agree. COVID deaths + population shifts + retirements have made PA, MI, and WI more blue.
Conservatives I know are concentrating themselves in a handful of states - ID, MT, FL, and TX. We have family friends who sold their homes in ÇA and AZ to move to ID full time because AZ was “getting too liberal!” If you are conservative and have some money, you moved during COVID to the DeSantis theme park of Florida.
It will take time, but the population shifts are real. You couldn’t rent a UHaul for months.