Anonymous
11/03/2024 18:11
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
Maga’s refusal to grasp this is like in a movie where the antagonist has murdered a beloved main character and has some sort of mental block about what they’ve done. Maga can keep pretending that their abortion bans aren’t a big deal, that all it means is that irresponsible 20 somethings won’t be able to go out with their fellow lady friend sluts and get abortions on a Friday night, but they’re only fooling themselves.
This. Women vote to improve and protect the community.
A lot of post menopausal women are pro life or happy with this decided at the state level. This random twitter lady doesn’t speak for all women.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 18:07
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
Maga’s refusal to grasp this is like in a movie where the antagonist has murdered a beloved main character and has some sort of mental block about what they’ve done. Maga can keep pretending that their abortion bans aren’t a big deal, that all it means is that irresponsible 20 somethings won’t be able to go out with their fellow lady friend sluts and get abortions on a Friday night, but they’re only fooling themselves.
This. Women vote to improve and protect the community.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 18:07
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
That was this summer. She had Biden under Trump in June, and Kamala also underperformed in her September poll.
Harris over performed the September poll. She was down 4 in a state trump won by 8 in 2020. Upward trajectory.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 18:05
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
And the tie breaking vote came from a newly appointed justice who is on the ballot this time around.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 17:31
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
Maga’s refusal to grasp this is like in a movie where the antagonist has murdered a beloved main character and has some sort of mental block about what they’ve done. Maga can keep pretending that their abortion bans aren’t a big deal, that all it means is that irresponsible 20 somethings won’t be able to go out with their fellow lady friend sluts and get abortions on a Friday night, but they’re only fooling themselves.
You would think the GOP had learned something from 2022….
Anonymous
11/03/2024 17:29
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
Maga’s refusal to grasp this is like in a movie where the antagonist has murdered a beloved main character and has some sort of mental block about what they’ve done. Maga can keep pretending that their abortion bans aren’t a big deal, that all it means is that irresponsible 20 somethings won’t be able to go out with their fellow lady friend sluts and get abortions on a Friday night, but they’re only fooling themselves.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 17:26
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Well it is Iowa, sooooo....
You seem to think we know what you mean. What is it you’re saying exactly?
Anonymous
11/03/2024 16:36
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Well it is Iowa, sooooo....
Anonymous
11/03/2024 16:32
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Does Selzer poll have a good track record predicting the eventual outcomes?
Apparently, yes.
Yes. Her results have been linked or listed in this thread at least twice. Her one “miss” was five points off, which if she missed by that much would either mean Trump +2 (which would mean a likely loss in most of the states he needs to get) or Harris +8, in which the GOP would quietly put Trump into a box and memory hole him, much like how W sort of ceased to exist altogether in the Republican Party after 2008.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 16:27
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Does Selzer poll have a good track record predicting the eventual outcomes?
Apparently, yes.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 15:23
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
Maga’s refusal to grasp this is like in a movie where the antagonist has murdered a beloved main character and has some sort of mental block about what they’ve done. Maga can keep pretending that their abortion bans aren’t a big deal, that all it means is that irresponsible 20 somethings won’t be able to go out with their fellow lady friend sluts and get abortions on a Friday night, but they’re only fooling themselves.
So well said!
Again, if this issue were that important we would be seeing the Harris-movement data in more than just one outlier poll out of Iowa. The same day as this, another had Trump up ten. A huge anti SCOTUS surge just isn’t appearing.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 15:21
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
Maga’s refusal to grasp this is like in a movie where the antagonist has murdered a beloved main character and has some sort of mental block about what they’ve done. Maga can keep pretending that their abortion bans aren’t a big deal, that all it means is that irresponsible 20 somethings won’t be able to go out with their fellow lady friend sluts and get abortions on a Friday night, but they’re only fooling themselves.
So well said!
Anonymous
11/03/2024 15:20
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
Maga’s refusal to grasp this is like in a movie where the antagonist has murdered a beloved main character and has some sort of mental block about what they’ve done. Maga can keep pretending that their abortion bans aren’t a big deal, that all it means is that irresponsible 20 somethings won’t be able to go out with their fellow lady friend sluts and get abortions on a Friday night, but they’re only fooling themselves.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 15:15
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:The better question is how this poll squares with the rise in GOP registrations in Iowa and her own previous polling just a couple months ago that didn’t match this surge.
between a "couple of months ago" and now, an abortion ban was implemented.
That was this summer. She had Biden under Trump in June, and Kamala also underperformed in her September poll.
Anonymous
11/03/2024 15:15
Subject: Harris beating Trump in Iowa
Remember that Trump lost the Iowa caucuses in 2016 and got only half of the vote in this year’s caucuses. Iowa is white and non-urban but not necessarily MAGA. There are so few Blacks in Iowa that the Republican Party is not as racist, backlash, white-flight as it is in other states. If Harris gets a lot of the women who supported Haley she has a chance.