Anonymous
11/09/2022 07:02
Subject: Re:2022 election results thread
Awesome, so let’s cut off federal aid to Florida when the next hurricane hits since they choose to be governed by someone that puts immigrants on a plane.
Anonymous
11/09/2022 07:02
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Texas will be in major play in the next 10 years. So for Dems, that will be a huge win and change the map entirely
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:57
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.
In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.
Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.
HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.
Absolutely agree. COVID deaths + population shifts + retirements have made PA, MI, and WI more blue.
Conservatives I know are concentrating themselves in a handful of states - ID, MT, FL, and TX. We have family friends who sold their homes in ÇA and AZ to move to ID full time because AZ was “getting too liberal!” If you are conservative and have some money, you moved during COVID to the DeSantis theme park of Florida.
It will take time, but the population shifts are real. You couldn’t rent a UHaul for months.
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:45
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Dems need to figure out their messaging with Cuban Americans and Hispanic Americans if they have any hope in getting a presidency again in the next 20 years
Yea, we will take a page and talk about how “they’re not sending their best”
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:43
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:We need to get Florida black and play in the next two years or getting the boats we need for the presidency will be nonexistent
FL is gone.
Agreed.
Buh bye, FL. It’s been real. But you love MAGA like you love bath salts and so we are done.
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:31
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Feeling very good about the Senate. Kelly looks very solid, which gives us 49. Rs have to win GA, NV and WI to get control. That looks very unlikely at this point.
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:29
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:We need to get Florida black and play in the next two years or getting the boats we need for the presidency will be nonexistent
FL is gone.
Yup. Desantis won MIAMI DADE by 11 points, and that effort was years in the making. Dems elsewhere continue to underestimate how broad his appeal is to their detriment.
His margins are about the same as Rubios. This just tells me FL is now red.
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:24
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:We need to get Florida black and play in the next two years or getting the boats we need for the presidency will be nonexistent
FL is gone.
This is what the Republicans say about every state that they win in occasionally. “It’s gone.” DeSantis drew a wild redistricting map and has actual “voting police” patrolling black communities. That’s not what confident policymakers do. If we are still even marginally a democracy, there is no such thing as “gone.”
Redistricting doesn't affect the governor's race.
Redistricting doesn't affect Obama's second term election, Trump's single term, or Biden's.
My guess? The boomers are migrating down there in larger numbers. If they want to concentrate in that state then more power to them. It will make more states viable.
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:23
Subject: 2022 election results thread
How the hell is the Warnock and Walker race even close????
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:22
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Dems need to figure out their messaging with Cuban Americans and Hispanic Americans if they have any hope in getting a presidency again in the next 20 years
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:21
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:We need to get Florida black and play in the next two years or getting the boats we need for the presidency will be nonexistent
FL is gone.
This is what the Republicans say about every state that they win in occasionally. “It’s gone.” DeSantis drew a wild redistricting map and has actual “voting police” patrolling black communities. That’s not what confident policymakers do. If we are still even marginally a democracy, there is no such thing as “gone.”
Anonymous
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:19
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:We need to get Florida black and play in the next two years or getting the boats we need for the presidency will be nonexistent
FL is gone.
Yup. Desantis won MIAMI DADE by 11 points, and that effort was years in the making. Dems elsewhere continue to underestimate how broad his appeal is to their detriment.
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:17
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:We need to get Florida black and play in the next two years or getting the boats we need for the presidency will be nonexistent
FL is gone.
Anonymous
11/09/2022 06:17
Subject: 2022 election results thread
Anonymous wrote:We need to get Florida black and play in the next two years or getting the boats we need for the presidency will be nonexistent
The boats are bringing the people who don’t vote for you to Florida