Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:15     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.


PP here- to add- Bottom line- that pesky electoral college saved Dems butts this year. I suspect we won't hear much from them about eliminating it in the upcoming years.


You apparently don’t know what the electoral college is.



+1 I’m embarrassed for PP!! Omg!


In PP’s defense, their theory of the election results if true WOULD make electoral college results better for Dems in a presidential election year
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:15     Subject: 2022 election results thread

We need to get Florida black and play in the next two years or getting the boats we need for the presidency will be nonexistent
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:13     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Not looking good for dummy Boebert!!!!
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:12     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.


What on earth makes you think Republicans are fleeing to Texas and Florida? Is there some evidence that the population gains there have a political leaning?


NP. There were tons of articles about that during peak pandemic.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:12     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.


PP here- to add- Bottom line- that pesky electoral college saved Dems butts this year. I suspect we won't hear much from them about eliminating it in the upcoming years.


You apparently don’t know what the electoral college is.



+1 I’m embarrassed for PP!! Omg!
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:11     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.


PP here- to add- Bottom line- that pesky electoral college saved Dems butts this year. I suspect we won't hear much from them about eliminating it in the upcoming years.


You apparently don’t know what the electoral college is.


Look dude it’s early.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:11     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.


What on earth makes you think Republicans are fleeing to Texas and Florida? Is there some evidence that the population gains there have a political leaning?
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:10     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.


PP here- to add- Bottom line- that pesky electoral college saved Dems butts this year. I suspect we won't hear much from them about eliminating it in the upcoming years.


You apparently don’t know what the electoral college is.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:10     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:The Miami-Dade flip in the last 6 years has basically taken Florida off the map for Dems. A total zag from how basically every other big metro in America has trended in that time. Wild.


Let’s not forget how redistributing played into this. https://www.propublica.org/article/ron-desantis-florida-redistricting-map-scheme

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:08     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.


PP here- to add- Bottom line- that pesky electoral college saved Dems butts this year. I suspect we won't hear much from them about eliminating it in the upcoming years.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:06     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.


Interesting take!
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 06:03     Subject: 2022 election results thread

Not a red wave, a ripple really.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 05:54     Subject: 2022 election results thread

My analysis - there actually was a red wave but it failed to account for population shifts.

In 2020 Dems won house popular vote 50.8-47.7. D+3 electorate.

Final tallies aren't in yet but currently R's are winning popular House vote 52.3-45.7 per CNN. R+6 electorate- is the 10 pt swing many have been projecting.

HOWEVER.. Post covid, R's have been flocking to the major "red" states like TX and FL, leading to over performance in those areas (ie DeSantis by 20 when he was expecting to win by 10) but left the previous state more "purple", allowing Dems to win in those areas.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 05:36     Subject: Re:2022 election results thread


Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 05:36     Subject: Re:2022 election results thread

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Also this


He's going to announce his run for presidency next week - they won't be able to stop him because otherwise DOJ will indict him.

I, for one, am loving it!


I think the DOJ will indict him in the next couple of days


Him going down and taking the Republican Party down with him is the best possible outcome here.