Anonymous wrote:The Dean of Brown University, School of Public Health says "Life likely to be 'meaningfully better' by mid-to-late spring."
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Bloomberg update for today: 82.5 million shots given around the world with 25.6 million given in the United States at a rate of 1.21 million Americans being vaccinated a day.
I know "half is glass full" posts/media stories will take this and say it'll take a year to vaccinate the US at this. I like to look at it as 1.21 million new circuit breakers being put in place each day. We're going to reach an inflection point when the tide really will turn because the virus has fewer places to jump between.
Exactly!
+1 Especially since the higher-risk people are getting shots first.
Hospitalizations and cases turned the corner about 2 weeks ago, and deaths are likely just at that point now.
Also if you look at the Bloomberg tracker (or the underlying CDC data), you'll see that shots given are trending up, and (from Our World in Data), we're on a path similar to UK's, but about a week behind (because they started earlier).
It's hard to say when the upward daily trend will end, but it's very encouraging for now.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Bloomberg update for today: 82.5 million shots given around the world with 25.6 million given in the United States at a rate of 1.21 million Americans being vaccinated a day.
I know "half is glass full" posts/media stories will take this and say it'll take a year to vaccinate the US at this. I like to look at it as 1.21 million new circuit breakers being put in place each day. We're going to reach an inflection point when the tide really will turn because the virus has fewer places to jump between.
Exactly!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Bloomberg update for today: 82.5 million shots given around the world with 25.6 million given in the United States at a rate of 1.21 million Americans being vaccinated a day.
I know "half is glass full" posts/media stories will take this and say it'll take a year to vaccinate the US at this. I like to look at it as 1.21 million new circuit breakers being put in place each day. We're going to reach an inflection point when the tide really will turn because the virus has fewer places to jump between.
Anonymous wrote:Bloomberg update for today: 82.5 million shots given around the world with 25.6 million given in the United States at a rate of 1.21 million Americans being vaccinated a day.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:https://covid19-projections.com/path-to-herd-immunity/
January 24 Update: We are factoring in rollout of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine starting in late February/early March. In the past week, over 1 million doses were administered per day. Given no unforeseen supply issue from Pfizer/Moderna, we now estimate that the general public can receive the vaccine by April, and over 60% of the US adult population will be fully vaccinated by June. We also estimate that 200 million doses will be administered in the first 100 days of the new presidential administration, roughly double the “100 million shots in 100 days” goal. Our timeline for a “return to normal” remains unchanged (June/July 2021).
Wow. Just wow!!
I hope we can meet these projections (even getting close would be incredible)!
TY for sharing
I'm the one who posted the January 24 update. I have posted in this forum about a dozen times and never received such great feedback. You are VERY welcome! It made me so happy to read that too.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:https://covid19-projections.com/path-to-herd-immunity/
January 24 Update: We are factoring in rollout of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine starting in late February/early March. In the past week, over 1 million doses were administered per day. Given no unforeseen supply issue from Pfizer/Moderna, we now estimate that the general public can receive the vaccine by April, and over 60% of the US adult population will be fully vaccinated by June. We also estimate that 200 million doses will be administered in the first 100 days of the new presidential administration, roughly double the “100 million shots in 100 days” goal. Our timeline for a “return to normal” remains unchanged (June/July 2021).
Wow. Just wow!!
I hope we can meet these projections (even getting close would be incredible)!
TY for sharing
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:https://covid19-projections.com/path-to-herd-immunity/
January 24 Update: We are factoring in rollout of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine starting in late February/early March. In the past week, over 1 million doses were administered per day. Given no unforeseen supply issue from Pfizer/Moderna, we now estimate that the general public can receive the vaccine by April, and over 60% of the US adult population will be fully vaccinated by June. We also estimate that 200 million doses will be administered in the first 100 days of the new presidential administration, roughly double the “100 million shots in 100 days” goal. Our timeline for a “return to normal” remains unchanged (June/July 2021).
Wow. Just wow!!
I hope we can meet these projections (even getting close would be incredible)!
TY for sharing
God, I hope this holds up!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:https://covid19-projections.com/path-to-herd-immunity/
January 24 Update: We are factoring in rollout of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine starting in late February/early March. In the past week, over 1 million doses were administered per day. Given no unforeseen supply issue from Pfizer/Moderna, we now estimate that the general public can receive the vaccine by April, and over 60% of the US adult population will be fully vaccinated by June. We also estimate that 200 million doses will be administered in the first 100 days of the new presidential administration, roughly double the “100 million shots in 100 days” goal. Our timeline for a “return to normal” remains unchanged (June/July 2021).
Wow. Just wow!!
I hope we can meet these projections (even getting close would be incredible)!
TY for sharing
Anonymous wrote:mAnonymous wrote:Thank you all.
Been crying most of the day again... It's so hard to function with all the fears and frightening headlines. but seeing this good news makes me feel so much more hopeful
Thank you guys from the bottom of my heart
Big virtual party planned here for when J&J’s (hopefully) good news is announced. Be sure to come and bring the punch! I’ll bring the chips and dip.
Anonymous wrote:https://covid19-projections.com/path-to-herd-immunity/
January 24 Update: We are factoring in rollout of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccine starting in late February/early March. In the past week, over 1 million doses were administered per day. Given no unforeseen supply issue from Pfizer/Moderna, we now estimate that the general public can receive the vaccine by April, and over 60% of the US adult population will be fully vaccinated by June. We also estimate that 200 million doses will be administered in the first 100 days of the new presidential administration, roughly double the “100 million shots in 100 days” goal. Our timeline for a “return to normal” remains unchanged (June/July 2021).