Every single large city in America (those run by Dems and Rs) are grappling with this increase in crime. Experts have said that it's not just poverty created by Covid. When you have sudden economic uncertainty, crime goes up. There are studies about this. The problem was that the US handled the economic devastation differently then other developed countries. Europe did a much better job. As things settle, crime will go back down.

Regardless, crime is much lower than it was 25 years ago, even with the uptick. That's the reality.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yep. Been here 27 years, 20 of them in the same house in Petworth. I’ve had it. Crime is out of control. The city is completely unsafe. Everything is a hassle. The mayor’s inability to prioritize crime has paved the way for petty crime like porch pirates, to completely run unabated, which chisels away at everyone’s sense of safety and quality of life. After nearly three decades, I hate it here.

+1,000

+10,000

So sell your house. You'll make a bundle. You lie. 27 years ago people were getting murdered every day in Petworth. I was here. I wouldn't have lived in Petworth then and damn sure wouldn't live there now. FWIW, I live in DC.

Anonymous wrote:I was walking my dog yesterday on Connecticut in Woodley Park, and a black man yelled at me that he wasn’t a criminal.

Dude, I give zero f*cks about you. Can you please just let me walk my dog in peace?

You do understand why he would do that right?

Criminals everywhere in DC.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yep. Been here 27 years, 20 of them in the same house in Petworth. I’ve had it. Crime is out of control. The city is completely unsafe. Everything is a hassle. The mayor’s inability to prioritize crime has paved the way for petty crime like porch pirates, to completely run unabated, which chisels away at everyone’s sense of safety and quality of life. After nearly three decades, I hate it here.

+1,000

+10,000

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Yep. Been here 27 years, 20 of them in the same house in Petworth. I’ve had it. Crime is out of control. The city is completely unsafe. Everything is a hassle. The mayor’s inability to prioritize crime has paved the way for petty crime like porch pirates, to completely run unabated, which chisels away at everyone’s sense of safety and quality of life. After nearly three decades, I hate it here.

+1,000

At least we have our choice of bike lanes to use when leaving the city...?

Anonymous wrote:Yep. Been here 27 years, 20 of them in the same house in Petworth. I’ve had it. Crime is out of control. The city is completely unsafe. Everything is a hassle. The mayor’s inability to prioritize crime has paved the way for petty crime like porch pirates, to completely run unabated, which chisels away at everyone’s sense of safety and quality of life. After nearly three decades, I hate it here.

+1,000

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I was walking my dog yesterday on Connecticut in Woodley Park, and a black man yelled at me that he wasn’t a criminal.

Dude, I give zero f*cks about you. Can you please just let me walk my dog in peace?

That’s the problem...the loss of peace and security for average law abiding, tax paying residents, while the government bends over backward to accommodate those who take that peace and security. And everyone is basically on their own in DC. 911 is a failure, the cops don’t give a rip, even firehouses respond lackadaisically (I’ve witnessed it). The government counts on you to keep yourself secure. It’s an illusion. You are on your own.

+1. Fortunately for me my dog is a German shepherd. So at least he didn’t get too close while he was accosting me.

Anonymous wrote:I was walking my dog yesterday on Connecticut in Woodley Park, and a black man yelled at me that he wasn’t a criminal.

Dude, I give zero f*cks about you. Can you please just let me walk my dog in peace?

That’s the problem...the loss of peace and security for average law abiding, tax paying residents, while the government bends over backward to accommodate those who take that peace and security. And everyone is basically on their own in DC. 911 is a failure, the cops don’t give a rip, even firehouses respond lackadaisically (I’ve witnessed it). The government counts on you to keep yourself secure. It’s an illusion. You are on your own.

I was walking my dog yesterday on Connecticut in Woodley Park, and a black man yelled at me that he wasn’t a criminal.

Dude, I give zero f*cks about you. Can you please just let me walk my dog in peace?

I’m sending this link to friends who are moving to DMV area.

I miss Marion Barry.

Yep. Been here 27 years, 20 of them in the same house in Petworth. I’ve had it. Crime is out of control. The city is completely unsafe. Everything is a hassle. The mayor’s inability to prioritize crime has paved the way for petty crime like porch pirates, to completely run unabated, which chisels away at everyone’s sense of safety and quality of life. After nearly three decades, I hate it here.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:According to the Washington Post, DC had 200 homicides last year. This year it is on pace for 187 homicides, which is about a 6% increase.

By contrast Montgomery County has already had as many homicides this year as all of last year and is on pace to more than double the number of homicides.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/local/homicides/

6% DECREASE, not increase.

Uh.... DC homicides are up 23% from last year, not down...https://mpdc.dc.gov/node/197622

That is month-to-month data, which can show variability. Looking at the whole year, you see a different picture.

2020: 200 homicides (16.7 per month)
2021: 79 homicides (15.8 per month)

Crime is seasonal to some extent. The summer months are generally worse for both property crime and violent crime. That's the whole reason DC police website provides a year-to-date comparison with the previous year. But hey, if you want to do your own back of the envelope calculations that are less valid to make yourself feel better, go ahead.

“Less valid”

MPD are incentivized and do report crime data in a way that satisfies their interests at any point in time.

A “more valid” way would be to report current month against monthly 5/10-year average with error bars showing significance threshold.

Otherwise it is not possible to interpret this data.

It would also be equally “valid” to report and plot rolling 12-month averages to smooth out any seasonality.

“Less valid”

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:According to the Washington Post, DC had 200 homicides last year. This year it is on pace for 187 homicides, which is about a 6% increase.

By contrast Montgomery County has already had as many homicides this year as all of last year and is on pace to more than double the number of homicides.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/local/homicides/

6% DECREASE, not increase.

Uh.... DC homicides are up 23% from last year, not down...https://mpdc.dc.gov/node/197622

That is month-to-month data, which can show variability. Looking at the whole year, you see a different picture.

2020: 200 homicides (16.7 per month)
2021: 79 homicides (15.8 per month)

Crime is seasonal to some extent. The summer months are generally worse for both property crime and violent crime. That's the whole reason DC police website provides a year-to-date comparison with the previous year. But hey, if you want to do your own back of the envelope calculations that are less valid to make yourself feel better, go ahead.

“Less valid”

MPD are incentivized and do report crime data in a way that satisfies their interests at any point in time.

A “more valid” way would be to report current month against monthly 5/10-year average with error bars showing significance threshold.

Otherwise it is not possible to interpret this data.