Anonymous wrote:Cao could win with enough support in NOVA. That same vote can push Trump over the top in VA. The election then ends early.

Tim Kaine's appearance on SNL suggests the race is tight and he needed a boost.

Anonymous wrote:Fairfax county is not hitting the 2020 early/absentee numbers. Concerning for Harris campaign.

That shouldn't be surprising because it's not a pandemic year. In 2020, 405.8K absentee ballots were cast, of which 79% went for Biden/Harris. That's 53.3% of the total votes cast before election day. They're only close to that figure as of 9 am so we'll have to see how the rest of the day plays out in terms of in person ballots cast. I'd be shocked that the Feds in Fairfax wouldn't be turning out in force for Harris though.

Anonymous wrote:Fairfax county is not hitting the 2020 early/absentee numbers. Concerning for Harris campaign.

Unless we have another global pandemic, we're likely never hitting those numbers again.

Anonymous wrote:Fairfax county is not hitting the 2020 early/absentee numbers. Concerning for Harris campaign.

not really since it was COVID and early/absentee voting was encouraged.

Fairfax county is not hitting the 2020 early/absentee numbers. Concerning for Harris campaign.

Anonymous wrote:^^ also - they hit this % around noon last year so seems like turnout is tracking far higher this year. Hopefully this bodes well for Harris.

Making me nervous nonetheless, since turnout was about 80% in 2020, and we're almost 30 points behind that, with 10 hours of voting left.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:^^ also - they hit this % around noon in 2020 so seems like turnout is tracking far higher this year. Hopefully this bodes well for Harris.

Fixed "last year" to "2020"

When you say they hit this amount, did you mean in person or early/absentee? I just checked total turnout in 2020 and it was like 79% in 2020, which means they need to hit 27-28% to match 2020 total turnout.

Anonymous wrote:Reports in Fairfax county that turnout is lagging today. No lines, no steady stream of voter.

This is not good news for Harris. She needs to run up the numbers here to offset the Trump votes in the south and west.

We all already voted. I didn’t want the creepy “election watcher” white guy in a suit staring at me when I was voting again.

Anonymous wrote:^^ also - they hit this % around noon in 2020 so seems like turnout is tracking far higher this year. Hopefully this bodes well for Harris.

Fixed "last year" to "2020"

^^ also - they hit this % around noon last year so seems like turnout is tracking far higher this year. Hopefully this bodes well for Harris.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Reports in Fairfax county that turnout is lagging today. No lines, no steady stream of voter.

This is not good news for Harris. She needs to run up the numbers here to offset the Trump votes in the south and west.

Fairfax County had a massive turnout for early voting.

As of 9 a.m., 9.2% of registered voters have cast a ballot today.

With ballots cast before #ElectionDay included, 52.2% of registered voters have voted.

Anonymous wrote:Reports in Fairfax county that turnout is lagging today. No lines, no steady stream of voter.

This is not good news for Harris. She needs to run up the numbers here to offset the Trump votes in the south and west.

Show us?

Anonymous wrote:Reports in Fairfax county that turnout is lagging today. No lines, no steady stream of voter.

This is not good news for Harris. She needs to run up the numbers here to offset the Trump votes in the south and west.

Fairfax County had a massive turnout for early voting.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cao is within 2 point in the recent poll.

Cao can wil if Trump wins VA with 1 or 2 points.

Zero chance Cao wins. Zero. And I checked a box for him.

Vietnamese Americans typically break 90-10 in favor of Republicans and with Cao on the ballot, it may 98%.

lol, Vietnamese Americans identify 51-42 in favor of Republicans. Keep huffing that hopium!

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/05/25/asian-voters-in-the-u-s-tend-to-be-democratic-but-vietnamese-american-voters-are-an-exception/

Yeah, these posters who keep saying Asian Americans are overwhelmingly voting trump never seem to come up with any citation for this.

Reports in Fairfax county that turnout is lagging today. No lines, no steady stream of voter.

This is not good news for Harris. She needs to run up the numbers here to offset the Trump votes in the south and west.