Anonymous
02/10/2026 03:30
Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Only 5% of the residents are Black, and 22% are Hispanic: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leander,_Texas
So, a lot of the votes for her must have come from white people. Maybe that’s a good omen for Crockett.
Anonymous
Anonymous
Anonymous
02/07/2026 23:55
Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
Considering that Trump’s behavior is only going to become more unhinged going forward I’d cautiously say that the Democrats should be in good shape for the midterms.
Anonymous
02/07/2026 22:58
Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Anonymous wrote:Democrats successfully defended a conservative seat in rural Louisiana on Saturday night, as Chasity Martinez defeated Republican Brad Daigle by a dominant 62-38 margin—a massive 37-point overperformance compared to the 2024 presidential result.
Republicans had hoped to score their first legislative pickup of any kind during Donald Trump’s second term, and they had good reason to think they might succeed in the 60th House District.
Voters in the district, which includes part of Assumption and Iberville parishes (Louisiana’s equivalent of counties), had long backed state and local Democrats but had moved decidedly toward Republicans on the federal level in recent years.
https://bsky.app/profile/the-downballot.com/post/3mecxssrsfk2a
That the seat is open due to the republican governor appointing the former democratic rep to a state job, expecting to flip the seat, makes it so much funnier.
Anonymous
02/07/2026 22:57
Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Since Trump's return, here are the total # of legislative seats each party has flipped:
Democrats: 26
Republicans: zero
But special elections don’t tell us anything /s
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JGk1r1VXnxBrAIVHz1C5HTB5jxCO6Zw4QNPivdhyWHw/htmlview#gid=858741099
Democrats: 26
Republicans: zero
But special elections don’t tell us anything /s
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JGk1r1VXnxBrAIVHz1C5HTB5jxCO6Zw4QNPivdhyWHw/htmlview#gid=858741099
Anonymous
02/07/2026 22:52
Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread
If this Louisiana seat on a Trump +13 district isn't a red flag for the GOP, I don't know what is.
Anonymous
02/07/2026 22:48
Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread
Democrats successfully defended a conservative seat in rural Louisiana on Saturday night, as Chasity Martinez defeated Republican Brad Daigle by a dominant 62-38 margin—a massive 37-point overperformance compared to the 2024 presidential result.
Republicans had hoped to score their first legislative pickup of any kind during Donald Trump’s second term, and they had good reason to think they might succeed in the 60th House District.
Voters in the district, which includes part of Assumption and Iberville parishes (Louisiana’s equivalent of counties), had long backed state and local Democrats but had moved decidedly toward Republicans on the federal level in recent years.
https://bsky.app/profile/the-downballot.com/post/3mecxssrsfk2a
Republicans had hoped to score their first legislative pickup of any kind during Donald Trump’s second term, and they had good reason to think they might succeed in the 60th House District.
Voters in the district, which includes part of Assumption and Iberville parishes (Louisiana’s equivalent of counties), had long backed state and local Democrats but had moved decidedly toward Republicans on the federal level in recent years.
https://bsky.app/profile/the-downballot.com/post/3mecxssrsfk2a
Anonymous