Anonymous wrote:Latin 2nd initial waitlist: 501, 429 last year, 343 2 years ago. Basis initial waitlist: 290 this year, 235 last year, and 188 2 years ago. I think thats trending more students/more difficult. Based on 5th grade results, 6th grade lottery next year at least looking like it might be somewhat more difficult than this year too.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This year was harder for both 5th and 6th than last year which was harder than the year before. There is a trend. I think near-term you will see more not less kids in the DC public school system. I also think the Basis waitlist number is not misleading. There is lots of mid-summer movement on that particular waitlist - and if you are happy with Basis and willing to reenroll for 5th while waiting on that particular waitlist you will probably get in. But if you dont have a clearly Basis kid, my prediction is some uptick in middle school kids at John Francis and probably all 3 of the Hill area DCPS schools.

For 5th, BASIS, Latin, and ITDS % offered was pretty consistent from SY22-23 through SY24-25. Though Cooper was much more competitive last year than in its first two years (44% and 42% offered).

For 6th, it's more of a mix. Capital City, DCI Spanish, ITDS, Stuart-Hobson significantly more competitive. DCI French, Eliot-Hine somewhat more competitive. DCI Chinese, EL Haynes, Friendship Blow-Pierce, Hardy, Wells, Jefferson, KIPP Key, Sojourner Truth about the same or unclear. Capitol Hill Montessori, DC Prep Edgewood, significantly less competitive.

What are the views on EL Haynes for MS?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This year was harder for both 5th and 6th than last year which was harder than the year before. There is a trend. I think near-term you will see more not less kids in the DC public school system. I also think the Basis waitlist number is not misleading. There is lots of mid-summer movement on that particular waitlist - and if you are happy with Basis and willing to reenroll for 5th while waiting on that particular waitlist you will probably get in. But if you dont have a clearly Basis kid, my prediction is some uptick in middle school kids at John Francis and probably all 3 of the Hill area DCPS schools.

For 5th, BASIS, Latin, and ITDS % offered was pretty consistent from SY22-23 through SY24-25. Though Cooper was much more competitive last year than in its first two years (44% and 42% offered).

For 6th, it's more of a mix. Capital City, DCI Spanish, ITDS, Stuart-Hobson significantly more competitive. DCI French, Eliot-Hine somewhat more competitive. DCI Chinese, EL Haynes, Friendship Blow-Pierce, Hardy, Wells, Jefferson, KIPP Key, Sojourner Truth about the same or unclear. Capitol Hill Montessori, DC Prep Edgewood, significantly less competitive.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This year was harder for both 5th and 6th than last year which was harder than the year before. There is a trend. I think near-term you will see more not less kids in the DC public school system. I also think the Basis waitlist number is not misleading. There is lots of mid-summer movement on that particular waitlist - and if you are happy with Basis and willing to reenroll for 5th while waiting on that particular waitlist you will probably get in. But if you dont have a clearly Basis kid, my prediction is some uptick in middle school kids at John Francis and probably all 3 of the Hill area DCPS schools.

For 5th, BASIS, Latin, and ITDS % offered was pretty consistent from SY22-23 through SY24-25. Though Cooper was much more competitive last year than in its first two years (44% and 42% offered).

For 6th, it's more of a mix. Capital City, DCI Spanish, ITDS, Stuart-Hobson significantly more competitive. DCI French, Eliot-Hine somewhat more competitive. DCI Chinese, EL Haynes, Friendship Blow-Pierce, Hardy, Wells, Jefferson, KIPP Key, Sojourner Truth about the same or unclear. Capitol Hill Montessori, DC Prep Edgewood, significantly less competitive.

Why is Capitol Hill Montessori less competitive?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This year was harder for both 5th and 6th than last year which was harder than the year before. There is a trend. I think near-term you will see more not less kids in the DC public school system. I also think the Basis waitlist number is not misleading. There is lots of mid-summer movement on that particular waitlist - and if you are happy with Basis and willing to reenroll for 5th while waiting on that particular waitlist you will probably get in. But if you dont have a clearly Basis kid, my prediction is some uptick in middle school kids at John Francis and probably all 3 of the Hill area DCPS schools.

For 5th, BASIS, Latin, and ITDS % offered was pretty consistent from SY22-23 through SY24-25. Though Cooper was much more competitive last year than in its first two years (44% and 42% offered).

For 6th, it's more of a mix. Capital City, DCI Spanish, ITDS, Stuart-Hobson significantly more competitive. DCI French, Eliot-Hine somewhat more competitive. DCI Chinese, EL Haynes, Friendship Blow-Pierce, Hardy, Wells, Jefferson, KIPP Key, Sojourner Truth about the same or unclear. Capitol Hill Montessori, DC Prep Edgewood, significantly less competitive.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cooper now is admitting a lot of siblings... I think that would explain the different rate.

It changes who is admitted, but not how many students applied/accepted offered seats. Though I guess you're more likely to apply and accept a seat if you already have a sibling enrolled. Looking at the growth in waitlist length on results day, I think the bigger factor here is increased interest over time.

Anonymous wrote:Cooper now is admitting a lot of siblings... I think that would explain the different rate.

Anonymous wrote:The one thing I would add to this excellent analysis (thanks OP!) is the rates for feeder schools for 5th grade.

For the sixth grade lottery, you’re really taking a risk - you could get completely shut out.

However, there are feeder schools to Stuart-Hobson, Jefferson, Eliot-Hine, and John-Francis that completely clear their waitlists for fifth.

Not ideal to hop to a feeder just for one year, but infinitely better than waiting to try your luck again in sixth, striking out, and being stuck at your inbound, low performing middle school (like CHEC) for middle school.

Anonymous wrote:This year was harder for both 5th and 6th than last year which was harder than the year before. There is a trend. I think near-term you will see more not less kids in the DC public school system. I also think the Basis waitlist number is not misleading. There is lots of mid-summer movement on that particular waitlist - and if you are happy with Basis and willing to reenroll for 5th while waiting on that particular waitlist you will probably get in. But if you dont have a clearly Basis kid, my prediction is some uptick in middle school kids at John Francis and probably all 3 of the Hill area DCPS schools.

Anonymous wrote:your at a DCI feeder? the possibility that DCI might not long-term have spaces for everyone is not so great but the lottery strategy is still pretty simple. lottery for Latins in 5th and if you get a space think hard about it. but spaces at Latin are few. so for most people its still lottery for DCI for 6th and plan to also list some backups.