Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 11:20     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:The CEOs of some of the biggest retailers (Walmart, Target, Home Depot) met with Trump and let him know that the tariffs would cause empty shelves in the next few weeks. Most retailers told Trump that they have 6-8 weeks worth of goods.


This doesn't take into account that the companies that supply Walmart, Target and Home Depot built their inventory up ahead of time to weather the tarrifs through Q2 of 2025.


This actually does take that in to account. You think economists who study this for a living would miss that? Unlike you the economists are actually basing their forecasts on hard data.


We're blaming economists now! MAGA told us they hate economists. They all think this is an unmitigated disaster.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 11:18     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
This is a bit doomsday. But I have some concerns about how people will act when the shelves are empty this time. During peak Covid shortages, most people were holed up in their houses and limiting contact with individuals. This time, that wont be the case.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 11:04     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:I'm bullish on local farmers' markets. Once store shelves start emptying out, you'll be shopping for groceries in the street.


And thrift store for other stuff.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 11:02     Subject: Re:Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Americans need to buy less crap from China.

It's not that simple.


They are (including their dear leader) are not capable of thinking that the economy and the world running in a very complex way.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 11:00     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:It's obvious none of the people here work in CPG. Any increases you see before July 1st will not be related to tarrifs. Companies stockpiled inventory in preparation to get through the quarter.


So why is UPS laying off 20,000 workers and planning to close 73 facilities if this is just business as usual?


Shipment are decreasing.
People are hit the brakes on spending.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:57     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
I'm bullish on local farmers' markets. Once store shelves start emptying out, you'll be shopping for groceries in the street.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:49     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:It's obvious none of the people here work in CPG. Any increases you see before July 1st will not be related to tarrifs. Companies stockpiled inventory in preparation to get through the quarter.


So why is UPS laying off 20,000 workers and planning to close 73 facilities if this is just business as usual?
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:46     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:The CEOs of some of the biggest retailers (Walmart, Target, Home Depot) met with Trump and let him know that the tariffs would cause empty shelves in the next few weeks. Most retailers told Trump that they have 6-8 weeks worth of goods.


This doesn't take into account that the companies that supply Walmart, Target and Home Depot built their inventory up ahead of time to weather the tarrifs through Q2 of 2025.


And for those who don't shop at any of those stores? Where are they going to get their goods?
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:46     Subject: Re:Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:Americans need to buy less crap from China.


That's true. But it's also true that the tariffs will cripple our economy. Both things can be true at the same time.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:41     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:Yes. I'm in Procurement for a major electronics manufacturer and I can tell you that the supply chain is already severely f'd up, Material costs in our sector are unsustainable. Ports like Long Beach and Seattle have laid off dock workers and truckers for lack of cargo. I can't imagine how small businesses are going to survive.


Small businesses aren't surviving. In the nonprofit world, where charitable works rely on the donations of those who have to help those who do not, we've had multiple donors who are small business owners let us know not to expect their usual donations because they are closing their businesses and are worried about making their personal ends meet.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:29     Subject: Re:Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Americans need to buy less crap from China.


Great. But before you cut off the hand that feeds you, you need to be producing those goods yourself. We are not. We are not even set up for sufficient manufacturing now. Why don't Trumpers understand you can't put the cart before the horse?


Because trans people. I know it doesn't make any sense, but apparently it does to the trumpers.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:26     Subject: Re:Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:Americans need to buy less crap from China.


Great. But before you cut off the hand that feeds you, you need to be producing those goods yourself. We are not. We are not even set up for sufficient manufacturing now. Why don't Trumpers understand you can't put the cart before the horse?
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:23     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:Trump is destroying a system it took 50 years to build. 80% of the jobs in the US are white collar or service jobs and 10% are manufacturing. Manufacturers in the US have problems filling their jobs now.

No one wants to work in manufacturing. There is no reason to replace high paying white collar jobs with low paying factory jobs.

I have yet to see one person quit their white collar job for a manufacturing job. Do you know anyone who wants their kids to work in a factory? Let’s have Trump’s children quit their jobs and work in a factory.

Also the US has/had a huge surplus in services section exports. This is not 1920.



Trump is incompetent
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:23     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:The CEOs of some of the biggest retailers (Walmart, Target, Home Depot) met with Trump and let him know that the tariffs would cause empty shelves in the next few weeks. Most retailers told Trump that they have 6-8 weeks worth of goods.


This doesn't take into account that the companies that supply Walmart, Target and Home Depot built their inventory up ahead of time to weather the tarrifs through Q2 of 2025.


This actually does take that in to account. You think economists who study this for a living would miss that? Unlike you the economists are actually basing their forecasts on hard data.
Anonymous
Post 04/30/2025 10:21     Subject: Tariff impact on day to day goods?
Major retailers like Walmart are warning about this. There have also been social media posts from folks who do instacart about how stock is dwindling and not getting replaced. Yes, it’s coming mid-May shortages begin.