AI is not going anywhere. Adapt or die.

https://pitchbook.com/news/articles/10b-fund-signals-the-scale-of-saudis-lofty-ai-ambitions

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.

I disagree. I have been a programmer for 30 years, taught at two different t20 CS depts……now consulting with one of the big 3….
I’m 100% certain that once we reach AGI there wont be a need for programmers. It is that simple.
Young CS graduates will NOT have jobs for them 5 yrs from now. They wont get the experience they need to be able to oversee an AGI programmer.

95% of CS jobs will be eliminated in less than 7 years. You car take picture of this post….then lets discuss this again in 5 years so I can tell you “I told you so”…..

Wrong.

A CS degree is more than coding.

Sorry bud…you dont need to teach me what a CS degree is…..been teaching at some of the TOP CS depts for years….
Of course it is more than coding. But it doesnt change the fact that once we reach AGI, there wont be a need for an INEXPERIENCED CS graduate….those jobs will be gone whether you like it or not. The transition will be hard. It will start with the kids right out of college first and with time, even guys in my position will be obsolete.
But go head and put your head in the sand as you send your kids to study CS…..let’s have this conversation again in 2030….

Nope.
It's like saying math major was going to be obsolete now that  we had computers in the 80s 90s. All the calculations would be done by computers and entry level mathematicians are not needed. Let's see in year 2000.

Math major has been fine and applied math major has been gaining popularity with good outcomes. Nobody really knows, but CS major is still in a better position than most others.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.

I disagree. I have been a programmer for 30 years, taught at two different t20 CS depts……now consulting with one of the big 3….
I’m 100% certain that once we reach AGI there wont be a need for programmers. It is that simple.
Young CS graduates will NOT have jobs for them 5 yrs from now. They wont get the experience they need to be able to oversee an AGI programmer.

95% of CS jobs will be eliminated in less than 7 years. You car take picture of this post….then lets discuss this again in 5 years so I can tell you “I told you so”…..

Wrong.

A CS degree is more than coding.

Sorry bud…you dont need to teach me what a CS degree is…..been teaching at some of the TOP CS depts for years….
Of course it is more than coding. But it doesnt change the fact that once we reach AGI, there wont be a need for an INEXPERIENCED CS graduate….those jobs will be gone whether you like it or not. The transition will be hard. It will start with the kids right out of college first and with time, even guys in my position will be obsolete.
But go head and put your head in the sand as you send your kids to study CS…..let’s have this conversation again in 2030….

biglaw partner here. its for all careers. we will need fewer "baby" associates/young lawyers too. and eventually will need fewer partners as well.
the transition will be brutal.
not sure where the pivot is.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.

I disagree. I have been a programmer for 30 years, taught at two different t20 CS depts……now consulting with one of the big 3….
I’m 100% certain that once we reach AGI there wont be a need for programmers. It is that simple.
Young CS graduates will NOT have jobs for them 5 yrs from now. They wont get the experience they need to be able to oversee an AGI programmer.

95% of CS jobs will be eliminated in less than 7 years. You car take picture of this post….then lets discuss this again in 5 years so I can tell you “I told you so”…..

So then what would you encourage young people to study?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.

I disagree. I have been a programmer for 30 years, taught at two different t20 CS depts……now consulting with one of the big 3….
I’m 100% certain that once we reach AGI there wont be a need for programmers. It is that simple.
Young CS graduates will NOT have jobs for them 5 yrs from now. They wont get the experience they need to be able to oversee an AGI programmer.

95% of CS jobs will be eliminated in less than 7 years. You car take picture of this post….then lets discuss this again in 5 years so I can tell you “I told you so”…..

Wrong.

A CS degree is more than coding.

Sorry bud…you dont need to teach me what a CS degree is…..been teaching at some of the TOP CS depts for years….
Of course it is more than coding. But it doesnt change the fact that once we reach AGI, there wont be a need for an INEXPERIENCED CS graduate….those jobs will be gone whether you like it or not. The transition will be hard. It will start with the kids right out of college first and with time, even guys in my position will be obsolete.
But go head and put your head in the sand as you send your kids to study CS…..let’s have this conversation again in 2030….

So what do you think are safe majors for a kid entering college now?

I agree this isn’t like previous Industrial Revolutions. AI will outperform humans. Certainly for any kind of writing. I don’t understand how any humanities major would be useful. Cuban’s video is from 8 yrs ago so it’s useless. AI is improving exponentially now. Entry level consultants will not be needed soon. Not sure how they will gain the experience to be a high level exec.

Not even sure healthcare will still be safe. Or maybe we will just need way less doctors.

How about early education teachers?

My daughter decided to pass on CS and is planning on doing pre med. We counseled her to consider this based on the fact entry level jobs for CS graduates will dry up by the time she graduates. There will always be a need for health care providers.

Anonymous wrote:I like Mark Cuban, but I’m very doubtful that there will be a simple trade-off where a decline in demand for STEM degrees means that there is somehow a simultaneous *increase* in demand for humanities degrees. AI may cause the demand for all types of degrees (whether STEM or humanities) to go down and/or the STEM-to-humanities jobs gap may decrease (but more because of demand for STEM majors going down as opposed to an actual increase in demand for humanities majors).

Correct...at some point, far fewer people will attend college at all if there are no entry-level jobs for STEM, lawyers, finance, business analysts, accountants, etc.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Saw on X today:

* ANTHROPIC CEO: AI COULD WIPE OUT HALF OF ALL ENTRY-LEVEL WHITE COLLAR JOBS AND SPIKE UNEMPLOYMENT TO 10-20% WITHIN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS... GOVERNMENTS AND COMPANIES NEED TO STOP SUGAR-COATING WHAT THEY KNOW IS COMING

HIDDEN AGENDA: BUY OUR SOFTWARE
NOW

Not really. I love anthropic. I've tried many (soooo many of them)....
The tools aren't going anywhere - if you are in professional services, you see how quickly its transforming efficiency.

Anonymous wrote:There is a crisis level shortage of teachers, nurses, accountants. Do that or a trade.

Idk about accountants though. I read they are also easily replaceable by AI. I have no idea if there is any truth in it.

Anonymous wrote:Saw on X today:

* ANTHROPIC CEO: AI COULD WIPE OUT HALF OF ALL ENTRY-LEVEL WHITE COLLAR JOBS AND SPIKE UNEMPLOYMENT TO 10-20% WITHIN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS... GOVERNMENTS AND COMPANIES NEED TO STOP SUGAR-COATING WHAT THEY KNOW IS COMING

HIDDEN AGENDA: BUY OUR SOFTWARE
NOW

I like Mark Cuban, but I’m very doubtful that there will be a simple trade-off where a decline in demand for STEM degrees means that there is somehow a simultaneous *increase* in demand for humanities degrees. AI may cause the demand for all types of degrees (whether STEM or humanities) to go down and/or the STEM-to-humanities jobs gap may decrease (but more because of demand for STEM majors going down as opposed to an actual increase in demand for humanities majors).

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.

I disagree. I have been a programmer for 30 years, taught at two different t20 CS depts……now consulting with one of the big 3….
I’m 100% certain that once we reach AGI there wont be a need for programmers. It is that simple.
Young CS graduates will NOT have jobs for them 5 yrs from now. They wont get the experience they need to be able to oversee an AGI programmer.

95% of CS jobs will be eliminated in less than 7 years. You car take picture of this post….then lets discuss this again in 5 years so I can tell you “I told you so”…..

Wrong.

A CS degree is more than coding.

Sorry bud…you dont need to teach me what a CS degree is…..been teaching at some of the TOP CS depts for years….
Of course it is more than coding. But it doesnt change the fact that once we reach AGI, there wont be a need for an INEXPERIENCED CS graduate….those jobs will be gone whether you like it or not. The transition will be hard. It will start with the kids right out of college first and with time, even guys in my position will be obsolete.
But go head and put your head in the sand as you send your kids to study CS…..let’s have this conversation again in 2030….

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.

I disagree. I have been a programmer for 30 years, taught at two different t20 CS depts……now consulting with one of the big 3….
I’m 100% certain that once we reach AGI there wont be a need for programmers. It is that simple.
Young CS graduates will NOT have jobs for them 5 yrs from now. They wont get the experience they need to be able to oversee an AGI programmer.

95% of CS jobs will be eliminated in less than 7 years. You car take picture of this post….then lets discuss this again in 5 years so I can tell you “I told you so”…..

Wrong.

A CS degree is more than coding.

Anonymous wrote:A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.

I disagree. I have been a programmer for 30 years, taught at two different t20 CS depts……now consulting with one of the big 3….
I’m 100% certain that once we reach AGI there wont be a need for programmers. It is that simple.
Young CS graduates will NOT have jobs for them 5 yrs from now. They wont get the experience they need to be able to oversee an AGI programmer.

95% of CS jobs will be eliminated in less than 7 years. You car take picture of this post….then lets discuss this again in 5 years so I can tell you “I told you so”…..

A programmer with an AI tool is akin to a carpenter working with power tools - they are more efficient and can produce value at a higher rate, translating into higher productivity.

Typically, higher productivity encourages more investment, and more creation.

In other words, programmers will remain, but they will accomplish far more.