Anonymous
02/18/2020 09:25
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
on RCP today:
not that I'm not freaking out still. I'm freaking out still.
General Election: Trump vs. Sanders NPR/PBS/Marist Sanders 48, Trump 45 Sanders +3
General Election: Trump vs. Buttigieg NPR/PBS/Marist Buttigieg 47, Trump 45 Buttigieg +2
General Election: Trump vs. Klobuchar NPR/PBS/Marist Klobuchar 47, Trump 45 Klobuchar +2
General Election: Trump vs. Bloomberg NPR/PBS/Marist Bloomberg 48, Trump 44 Bloomberg +4
General Election: Trump vs. Biden NPR/PBS/Marist Biden 50, Trump 44 Biden +6
General Election: Trump vs. Warren NPR/PBS/Marist Warren 47, Trump 46 Warren +1
not that I'm not freaking out still. I'm freaking out still.
Anonymous
02/18/2020 08:26
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Virginia!
Monmouth Poll (2/14-16):
Bloomberg 22%
Sanders 22%
Biden 18%
Buttigieg 11%
Klobuchar 9%
Warren 5%
Gabbard 1%
Steyer 0%
Monmouth Poll (2/14-16):
Bloomberg 22%
Sanders 22%
Biden 18%
Buttigieg 11%
Klobuchar 9%
Warren 5%
Gabbard 1%
Steyer 0%
Anonymous
02/18/2020 07:08
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:It will also be telling to see how these Democratic establishment talking heads and politicians, who prattled on about the importance of the Latino vote post Trump, will report on Sanders overwhelming support among Latinos. I’m guessing you’d be hard pressed to see anything about this poll on red-baiting Chris Matthews’ show or a lot of other shows on CNN and MSNBC. I bet appealing to non whites is not going to be that important now.
Sanders people are forever whining about the Democratic "establishment." If that toothless, disorganized group of people is intimidating, Sanders has no business taking on Trump.
Anonymous
02/18/2020 06:34
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
National Marist/NPR/NewsHour Poll (2/13-16):
Sanders 31%
Bloomberg 19%
Biden 15%
Warren 12%
Klobuchar 9%
Buttigieg 8%
Steyer 2%
Gabbard 0%
99% sure this one qualifies Bloomberg for tomorrow night’s debate.
Sanders 31%
Bloomberg 19%
Biden 15%
Warren 12%
Klobuchar 9%
Buttigieg 8%
Steyer 2%
Gabbard 0%
99% sure this one qualifies Bloomberg for tomorrow night’s debate.
Anonymous
02/14/2020 18:31
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Here’s to a Democrat potus and a GOP Congress. #keepthegridlock.
Anonymous
02/14/2020 17:36
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Bernie’s beating Bloomberg by 15 points in a head to head matchup, but please tell us more that he has a “ceiling.” The bad thing for the establishment is that the only two people with a chance of beating him (Biden and Warren) are going to be out soon.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1228387915807498241
Democratic Primary, Head-2-Head:
Sanders 54% (+21)
Klobuchar 33%
.
Sanders 54% (+17)
Buttigieg 37%
.
Sanders 53% (+15)
Bloomberg 38
.
Sanders 48% (+4)
Biden 44%
.
Sanders 44% (+2)
Warren 42%
https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1228387915807498241
Democratic Primary, Head-2-Head:
Sanders 54% (+21)
Klobuchar 33%
.
Sanders 54% (+17)
Buttigieg 37%
.
Sanders 53% (+15)
Bloomberg 38
.
Sanders 48% (+4)
Biden 44%
.
Sanders 44% (+2)
Warren 42%
Anonymous
02/14/2020 09:48
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
It will also be telling to see how these Democratic establishment talking heads and politicians, who prattled on about the importance of the Latino vote post Trump, will report on Sanders overwhelming support among Latinos. I’m guessing you’d be hard pressed to see anything about this poll on red-baiting Chris Matthews’ show or a lot of other shows on CNN and MSNBC. I bet appealing to non whites is not going to be that important now.
Anonymous
02/14/2020 09:44
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:There goes the media claims that Trump had best week and acquittal was big win for him.
Quinnipiac poll Feb 5-9:
Bloomberg beats Trump 51-42
Sanders beats Trump 51-43
Biden beats Trump 50-43
Klobuchar beats Trump 49-43
Warren beats Trump 48-44
Buttigieg beats Trump 47-43
Anything but swing state polls mean nothing.
Trump will probably lose pop vote by 5 mil.
He will probably still win the EC.
Is Texas a swing state? Because Sanders is within the margin of error there.
Sanders is polling at 48% with Latinos. Of course he has a shot of winning there. It shouldn’t be shocking that a lot of people who came to the US to flee right-wing death squads don’t have an issue with a relatively benign, by Latin American standards, Democratic Socialist.
Anonymous
02/14/2020 09:38
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:There goes the media claims that Trump had best week and acquittal was big win for him.
Quinnipiac poll Feb 5-9:
Bloomberg beats Trump 51-42
Sanders beats Trump 51-43
Biden beats Trump 50-43
Klobuchar beats Trump 49-43
Warren beats Trump 48-44
Buttigieg beats Trump 47-43
Anything but swing state polls mean nothing.
Trump will probably lose pop vote by 5 mil.
He will probably still win the EC.
Is Texas a swing state? Because Sanders is within the margin of error there.
Anonymous
02/14/2020 09:23
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:What do you call Latino "Bernie Bros"? How about black "Bernie Bros"?
But please - oracles of DCUM who thought the race was going to be between Biden, Harris and Beto - tell me more about how Bernie isn't going to do well outside of states like Iowa and NH because there aren't as many white people. Cause as you know Latino voters love themselves some Mayor Pete!
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1228044398962839555
National Morning Consult Poll
Black Voters:
Biden 34% (-1 From Pre NH Primary Poll)
Sanders 30% (+3)
Bloomberg 19% (+3*)
Warren 8% (-)
Buttigieg 4% (-)
Hispanic Voters:
Sanders 48% (+10)
Bloomberg 17% (+1)
Biden 13% (-4)
Buttigieg 8% (+2)
Warren 7% (+4)
Where's Klobuchar?
Anonymous
02/14/2020 09:19
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
What do you call Latino "Bernie Bros"? How about black "Bernie Bros"?
But please - oracles of DCUM who thought the race was going to be between Biden, Harris and Beto - tell me more about how Bernie isn't going to do well outside of states like Iowa and NH because there aren't as many white people. Cause as you know Latino voters love themselves some Mayor Pete!
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1228044398962839555
National Morning Consult Poll
Black Voters:
Biden 34% (-1 From Pre NH Primary Poll)
Sanders 30% (+3)
Bloomberg 19% (+3*)
Warren 8% (-)
Buttigieg 4% (-)
Hispanic Voters:
Sanders 48% (+10)
Bloomberg 17% (+1)
Biden 13% (-4)
Buttigieg 8% (+2)
Warren 7% (+4)
But please - oracles of DCUM who thought the race was going to be between Biden, Harris and Beto - tell me more about how Bernie isn't going to do well outside of states like Iowa and NH because there aren't as many white people. Cause as you know Latino voters love themselves some Mayor Pete!
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1228044398962839555
National Morning Consult Poll
Black Voters:
Biden 34% (-1 From Pre NH Primary Poll)
Sanders 30% (+3)
Bloomberg 19% (+3*)
Warren 8% (-)
Buttigieg 4% (-)
Hispanic Voters:
Sanders 48% (+10)
Bloomberg 17% (+1)
Biden 13% (-4)
Buttigieg 8% (+2)
Warren 7% (+4)
Anonymous
02/13/2020 16:29
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:NBC/WSJ poll: 2020 matchups
Biden 50%, Trump 44%
Sanders 49%, Trump 45%
Warren 48%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 46%, Trump 45%
When narrowed to 11 battlegrounds: AZ CO FL ME MI MN NV NH NC PA WI
Biden 49, Trump 44%
Sanders 49%, Trump 46%
Trump 49%, Warren 48%,
Trump 47%, Buttigieg 46%
The only polls that matter are state polls. Biden could take 55% of the vote total in those 11 states and lose 2/3 of them.
NP. I got curious and checked the most recent state totals. Below are numbers for Biden, because he’s the current Dem frontrunner. All polls from January 2020 unless there are no recent polls, in which case date of older poll is noted.
State Biden/Trump Biden lead margin (poll date if not Jan ‘20)
AZ 46/46 dead even
CO 51/42 +9
FL 45/49, 51/49, 47/45 dead even
ME 54/42 +12 (Oct ‘19)
MI 50/44, 50/43 +6
MN 50/38 +12
NV 47/39 +8
NH 51/43 +8
NC 45/43 +2 (Nov ‘19)
PA 41/45, 52/43, 47/43 +3 (Nov-Dec ‘19)
WI 49/45, 48/41 +5
It does not look like Biden will lose 2/3 of those states.
Everyone do your part to get trump and these criminals out of the WH and Congress, so we can take back our country from the traitors.
New swing state polls from Feb 2020:
WI 47/46 Biden up by 1 (Bernie even)
NH 44/46 Biden down by 2 (but Buttigieg up 46/44)
Weird times. Blue no matter who.
Anonymous
02/10/2020 18:38
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:There goes the media claims that Trump had best week and acquittal was big win for him.
Quinnipiac poll Feb 5-9:
Bloomberg beats Trump 51-42
Sanders beats Trump 51-43
Biden beats Trump 50-43
Klobuchar beats Trump 49-43
Warren beats Trump 48-44
Buttigieg beats Trump 47-43
Anything but swing state polls mean nothing.
Trump will probably lose pop vote by 5 mil.
He will probably still win the EC.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/cook-political-2020-electoral-ratings
Yup He's going to win FL, AZ, NC
Then all he needs is 1 of PA, MI, WI or MN
That’s a month old and doesn’t indicate he’s going to win any of those. They’re toss-ups.
Anonymous
02/10/2020 17:36
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:There goes the media claims that Trump had best week and acquittal was big win for him.
Quinnipiac poll Feb 5-9:
Bloomberg beats Trump 51-42
Sanders beats Trump 51-43
Biden beats Trump 50-43
Klobuchar beats Trump 49-43
Warren beats Trump 48-44
Buttigieg beats Trump 47-43
Anything but swing state polls mean nothing.
Trump will probably lose pop vote by 5 mil.
He will probably still win the EC.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/cook-political-2020-electoral-ratings
Yup He's going to win FL, AZ, NC
Then all he needs is 1 of PA, MI, WI or MN
Anonymous
02/10/2020 16:47
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:There goes the media claims that Trump had best week and acquittal was big win for him.
Quinnipiac poll Feb 5-9:
Bloomberg beats Trump 51-42
Sanders beats Trump 51-43
Biden beats Trump 50-43
Klobuchar beats Trump 49-43
Warren beats Trump 48-44
Buttigieg beats Trump 47-43
Anything but swing state polls mean nothing.
Trump will probably lose pop vote by 5 mil.
He will probably still win the EC.