Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
Some people *clearly* do not understand statistics and probabilities.
If you have a group that normally scores high, then statistically, the median score of that group will be high.
If you widen the group and include many more groups that statistically score lower, then the median score of the whole group will go down.
You can argue that kids aren't a statistic, but the question of whether the median score went down with this new method is a simple matter of math.
I'm just using a bit of math and statistics to reach a conclusion. The naysayers are using emotion, not math or logic.
MCPS can put this question to rest by publishing the test scores of median accepted students like they used to do. Why did they stop doing so?
Why do you care about the median test scores of the accepted students? What does this information tell you? If you had this information, what would you do with it?
? Some of us are debating whether the new method lowered the median test scores or not. If you don't care about whether the median test scores went down, then why try to throw in the "we don't know, and you are just assuming" statements in there? No need to add your 2 cents if you don't care. I usually don't reply to posts for things I don't care about. Why do you?
I care because it's not right for a school district (which we are a part of) to use use this "new method" as a thin veil for affirmative action.
What would I do with? I would venture to guess that it would be much easier for parents to fight mcps regarding this new method if the data came out, and this is why MCPS chose to no longer publish the data. Wouldn't you fight an unfair policy? I'm pretty sure you would fight the Trump administration if they had a policy that discriminated against black people in favor of whites (as a matter of fact, in the Politics forum, there is a discussion about this very thing, and I think such a policy is wrong, too). I would fight unfair policies, period. Why wouldn't you?
We don't live in a W cluster. I have a DC in MS who chose not to apply to a magnet but even if DC did, it would've been prior to this new method, so I have no dog in this fight personally. But, a test in academic program in a public should not be using race or location or "peer cohort" as a criteria for admittance.
If they want to give URM more opportunities, then MCPS should create a magnet program just for that area so that they are not over run with students from the western side. They should also create a magnet program for students on the western side and let these students vie for the few slots on that side. Otherwise, what MCPS has done is pit one side against the other.
Anonymous wrote:
BOTTOM LINE the top 2.5% of 4000 (2018 application pool) beats out the top 16% of 600 (2017 application pool)

Anonymous wrote:OK, you expect that the median scores of admitted students went down, and you would use this as evidence for your assertion that MCPS discriminated on the basis of race.
Well, have at it, I guess.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
Some people *clearly* do not understand statistics and probabilities.
If you have a group that normally scores high, then statistically, the median score of that group will be high.
If you widen the group and include many more groups that statistically score lower, then the median score of the whole group will go down.
You can argue that kids aren't a statistic, but the question of whether the median score went down with this new method is a simple matter of math.
I'm just using a bit of math and statistics to reach a conclusion. The naysayers are using emotion, not math or logic.
MCPS can put this question to rest by publishing the test scores of median accepted students like they used to do. Why did they stop doing so?
Why do you care about the median test scores of the accepted students? What does this information tell you? If you had this information, what would you do with it?
? Some of us are debating whether the new method lowered the median test scores or not. If you don't care about whether the median test scores went down, then why try to throw in the "we don't know, and you are just assuming" statements in there? No need to add your 2 cents if you don't care. I usually don't reply to posts for things I don't care about. Why do you?
I care because it's not right for a school district (which we are a part of) to use use this "new method" as a thin veil for affirmative action.
What would I do with? I would venture to guess that it would be much easier for parents to fight mcps regarding this new method if the data came out, and this is why MCPS chose to no longer publish the data. Wouldn't you fight an unfair policy? I'm pretty sure you would fight the Trump administration if they had a policy that discriminated against black people in favor of whites (as a matter of fact, in the Politics forum, there is a discussion about this very thing, and I think such a policy is wrong, too). I would fight unfair policies, period. Why wouldn't you?
We don't live in a W cluster. I have a DC in MS who chose not to apply to a magnet but even if DC did, it would've been prior to this new method, so I have no dog in this fight personally. But, a test in academic program in a public should not be using race or location or "peer cohort" as a criteria for admittance.
If they want to give URM more opportunities, then MCPS should create a magnet program just for that area so that they are not over run with students from the western side. They should also create a magnet program for students on the western side and let these students vie for the few slots on that side. Otherwise, what MCPS has done is pit one side against the other.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Zip code and school catchment area is a highly correlated proxy for SES and race. Many people purposely live near their own markets, churches/temples/mosques, restaurants and communities within a larger society.
Pick a kid at random from Robert Frost MS. What race/ethnicity is that kid? What are the chances that the kid is not that race/ethnicity?
Now do the same for North Bethesda MS, Silver Spring International MS, Argyle MS, Rosa Parks MS...
You are both right: in many cases there is high correlation and in some cases it’s a try hodgepodge of students - like the ones Pp purposely chose.
But for most of the 200 MCPS there is high correlation.
You are sort of right that there is a high correlation for whiteness, Blackness, and Latino-ness at certain schools. But PP is making a case about Asian American students, and zip code is a terrible proxy for that because there is no majority Asian American school in MCPS and there are more Asian American kids living outside Bethesda/Potomac than in it.
They aren't looking at the total student population. They are talking about the chances of the top scoring kid at those schools being Asian. If you look at the county as a whole it's really high. At some of those schools I'm guessing it's much more than 50 percent.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Zip code and school catchment area is a highly correlated proxy for SES and race. Many people purposely live near their own markets, churches/temples/mosques, restaurants and communities within a larger society.
Pick a kid at random from Robert Frost MS. What race/ethnicity is that kid? What are the chances that the kid is not that race/ethnicity?
Now do the same for North Bethesda MS, Silver Spring International MS, Argyle MS, Rosa Parks MS...
You are both right: in many cases there is high correlation and in some cases it’s a try hodgepodge of students - like the ones Pp purposely chose.
But for most of the 200 MCPS there is high correlation.
You are sort of right that there is a high correlation for whiteness, Blackness, and Latino-ness at certain schools. But PP is making a case about Asian American students, and zip code is a terrible proxy for that because there is no majority Asian American school in MCPS and there are more Asian American kids living outside Bethesda/Potomac than in it.
They aren't looking at the total student population. They are talking about the chances of the top scoring kid at those schools being Asian. If you look at the county as a whole it's really high. At some of those schools I'm guessing it's much more than 50 percent.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
Some people *clearly* do not understand statistics and probabilities.
If you have a group that normally scores high, then statistically, the median score of that group will be high.
If you widen the group and include many more groups that statistically score lower, then the median score of the whole group will go down.
You can argue that kids aren't a statistic, but the question of whether the median score went down with this new method is a simple matter of math.
I'm just using a bit of math and statistics to reach a conclusion. The naysayers are using emotion, not math or logic.
MCPS can put this question to rest by publishing the test scores of median accepted students like they used to do. Why did they stop doing so?
Why do you care about the median test scores of the accepted students? What does this information tell you? If you had this information, what would you do with it?
? Some of us are debating whether the new method lowered the median test scores or not. If you don't care about whether the median test scores went down, then why try to throw in the "we don't know, and you are just assuming" statements in there? No need to add your 2 cents if you don't care. I usually don't reply to posts for things I don't care about. Why do you?
I care because it's not right for a school district (which we are a part of) to use use this "new method" as a thin veil for affirmative action.
What would I do with? I would venture to guess that it would be much easier for parents to fight mcps regarding this new method if the data came out, and this is why MCPS chose to no longer publish the data. Wouldn't you fight an unfair policy? I'm pretty sure you would fight the Trump administration if they had a policy that discriminated against black people in favor of whites (as a matter of fact, in the Politics forum, there is a discussion about this very thing, and I think such a policy is wrong, too). I would fight unfair policies, period. Why wouldn't you?
We don't live in a W cluster. I have a DC in MS who chose not to apply to a magnet but even if DC did, it would've been prior to this new method, so I have no dog in this fight personally. But, a test in academic program in a public should not be using race or location or "peer cohort" as a criteria for admittance.
If they want to give URM more opportunities, then MCPS should create a magnet program just for that area so that they are not over run with students from the western side. They should also create a magnet program for students on the western side and let these students vie for the few slots on that side. Otherwise, what MCPS has done is pit one side against the other.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:
Some people *clearly* do not understand statistics and probabilities.
If you have a group that normally scores high, then statistically, the median score of that group will be high.
If you widen the group and include many more groups that statistically score lower, then the median score of the whole group will go down.
You can argue that kids aren't a statistic, but the question of whether the median score went down with this new method is a simple matter of math.
I'm just using a bit of math and statistics to reach a conclusion. The naysayers are using emotion, not math or logic.
MCPS can put this question to rest by publishing the test scores of median accepted students like they used to do. Why did they stop doing so?
Why do you care about the median test scores of the accepted students? What does this information tell you? If you had this information, what would you do with it?
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Zip code and school catchment area is a highly correlated proxy for SES and race. Many people purposely live near their own markets, churches/temples/mosques, restaurants and communities within a larger society.
Pick a kid at random from Robert Frost MS. What race/ethnicity is that kid? What are the chances that the kid is not that race/ethnicity?
Now do the same for North Bethesda MS, Silver Spring International MS, Argyle MS, Rosa Parks MS...
You are both right: in many cases there is high correlation and in some cases it’s a try hodgepodge of students - like the ones Pp purposely chose.
But for most of the 200 MCPS there is high correlation.
You are sort of right that there is a high correlation for whiteness, Blackness, and Latino-ness at certain schools. But PP is making a case about Asian American students, and zip code is a terrible proxy for that because there is no majority Asian American school in MCPS and there are more Asian American kids living outside Bethesda/Potomac than in it.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Zip code and school catchment area is a highly correlated proxy for SES and race. Many people purposely live near their own markets, churches/temples/mosques, restaurants and communities within a larger society.
Pick a kid at random from Robert Frost MS. What race/ethnicity is that kid? What are the chances that the kid is not that race/ethnicity?
Now do the same for North Bethesda MS, Silver Spring International MS, Argyle MS, Rosa Parks MS...
You are both right: in many cases there is high correlation and in some cases it’s a try hodgepodge of students - like the ones Pp purposely chose.
But for most of the 200 MCPS there is high correlation.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Zip code and school catchment area is a highly correlated proxy for SES and race. Many people purposely live near their own markets, churches/temples/mosques, restaurants and communities within a larger society.
Pick a kid at random from Robert Frost MS. What race/ethnicity is that kid? What are the chances that the kid is not that race/ethnicity?
Now do the same for North Bethesda MS, Silver Spring International MS, Argyle MS, Rosa Parks MS...
You are both right: in many cases there is high correlation and in some cases it’s a try hodgepodge of students - like the ones Pp purposely chose.
But for most of the 200 MCPS there is high correlation.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Zip code and school catchment area is a highly correlated proxy for SES and race. Many people purposely live near their own markets, churches/temples/mosques, restaurants and communities within a larger society.
Pick a kid at random from Robert Frost MS. What race/ethnicity is that kid? What are the chances that the kid is not that race/ethnicity?
Now do the same for North Bethesda MS, Silver Spring International MS, Argyle MS, Rosa Parks MS...