Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:And alito put a stay on the federal court order. But either way I’m not sure this is going to be a win for the GOP in Texas. It’s getting messy.
Even of the courts uphold the new lines, a +13 shift to the dems put a lot of these seats at risk.
I will laugh so hard if this is the thing that swings Texas blue.
It's not a swing state, but they made all of the districts more Latino leaning thinking that they could pull brown people off the street and they would stick with Donald Trump. NJ told us that they are rethinking their decisions.
Yeah they drew this map based on assumptions that are unlikely to hold. They may end up regretting this severely.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:And alito put a stay on the federal court order. But either way I’m not sure this is going to be a win for the GOP in Texas. It’s getting messy.
Even of the courts uphold the new lines, a +13 shift to the dems put a lot of these seats at risk.
I will laugh so hard if this is the thing that swings Texas blue.
It's not a swing state, but they made all of the districts more Latino leaning thinking that they could pull brown people off the street and they would stick with Donald Trump. NJ told us that they are rethinking their decisions.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:And alito put a stay on the federal court order. But either way I’m not sure this is going to be a win for the GOP in Texas. It’s getting messy.
Even of the courts uphold the new lines, a +13 shift to the dems put a lot of these seats at risk.
I will laugh so hard if this is the thing that swings Texas blue.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:And alito put a stay on the federal court order. But either way I’m not sure this is going to be a win for the GOP in Texas. It’s getting messy.
Even of the courts uphold the new lines, a +13 shift to the dems put a lot of these seats at risk.
Anonymous wrote:And alito put a stay on the federal court order. But either way I’m not sure this is going to be a win for the GOP in Texas. It’s getting messy.
Anonymous wrote:
Texas Republicans will scream and yell, but inside the breathing a sigh of relief. These maps were drawn when they thought they “had” Latinos.
And now blue states have already gone ahead and gerrymandered. GOP gonna get clobbered in 2026 and it will be delicious!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:You would think that Democrats could find a state that isn't the most gerrymandered in the nation to flee to in order to protest..... gerrymandering.
LOL!
This is nothing whatsoever fair about the democrat-drawn 13th district; don’t you agree?
Illinois could do this if they wanted to.
We need blue states to do whatever is necessary to save the country.
The blue states have already gerrymandered the hell out of their maps.
Very little they can do.
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Blue states with ZERO Republican House seats:
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Vermont
New Hampshire
Hawaii
New Mexico
Connecticut
Delaware
Blue states with ONE Republican House seat:
Maryland
Oregon
Maine
Blue states with 2-5 Republican House seats:
Colorado
Minnesota
Illinois
Virginia
New Jersey
After that, you only have California & New York
The reason Democrats are screaming for Texas to stop redistricting is because Democrats have almost nothing left to gerrymander
They already rigged the map years ago and hate to see Republicans actually fighting back
Now do the red states with zero blue seats.
Let's also calculate how many people red state seats represent versus how many blue state seats represent.
At the end of the day, the minority in the House represents 56% of the population. The minority in the senate represents 56% of the population. That isn't how this is supposed to work.
This is the bigger issue for the GOP. After Texas there aren't many more games they can play to rig the districts because most red states are already heavily gerrymandered against Democrats.
Texas - already heavily gerrymandered, will be cartoonishly gerrymandered if they add 5 states
Florida - heavily gerrymandered
Wisconsin - one of the most gerrymandered states in the nation, Republicans hold a supermajority despite many statewide Democrat wins
Ohio - GOP holds 75% of seats despite only having 55% vote share
North Carolina - GOP maps repeatedly pushing racial and partisan bias
Utah - GOP-drawn map heavily dilutes Dem vote, particularly SLC
Arkansas - all 4 districts are GOP despite a significant Dem vote share
West Virginia - entire delegation is GOP despite urban Dem presence
Louisiana - GOP dominates the maps despite repeated court challenges
Kentucky - GOP drawn maps that heavily weight rural districts and dilute urban Dem votes
Utah’s redistricting that split Salt Lake City among the state’s four congressional districts has been tossed by the courts - the current all-GOP gerrymander is now illegal.
What is Better Boundaries Initiative and when did it become law?
Voters passed a ballot initiative requiring an independent commission for legislative districts in 2018 and then the state legislature threw it out. There’s a timeline here: https://betterboundaries.org/our-history/