Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 23:07     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:The very nature of real estate ownership is exclusionary. That’s the whole point of property rights.


The whole point of property rights is to exclude everyone from the property except the owner? That's interesting.

Yes. The point of property rights is to provide property owners exclusive rights to a that property. How hard is that for you to understand?
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 23:04     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:The very nature of real estate ownership is exclusionary. That’s the whole point of property rights.


The whole point of property rights is to exclude everyone from the property except the owner? That's interesting.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 23:00     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

The very nature of real estate ownership is exclusionary. That’s the whole point of property rights.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 19:54     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
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Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
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Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:“disadvantages” of living in the suburbs? When in reality, they’re precisely the reasons that people CHOOSE to live in the suburbs? I for one, LIKE that my neighborhood has streets you can’t drive through, lacks sidewalks, lacks public transit, has big yards and is mostly houses with few commercial establishments. I don’t want to be able to walk to a bar or 7-eleven, and I don’t want anyone walking from those places to walk through my neighborhood.


Because they feel that the preference for the suburbs is objectively wrong, and vociferously making the case will make them feel justified in their increasingly aggressive efforts to impose their own preferences on people.


Objectively, low density, car-dependent, residential-only, cul-de-sac neighborhoods are a disaster for the environment, local government budgets, and societal well-being.

However, if that's what you prefer, that's not objectively wrong. How can a preference be objectively anything? Your feelings are your feelings.

Just because you say the word “objectively” does not make it true.

Here is a study that demonstrates that downtown Helsinki residents have more carbon intensive lifestyles than their suburban counterparts.
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034034/pdf

Consumption based emissions are very real and it turns out significantly more important than transportation emissions for household GHG emissions.



That study is from 2011.

I think things have changed a little since then, no?


What specifically that would make the findings untrue?


We know a lot more about building performance, and particularly the comparison of urban versus suburban where carbon and energy consumption are concerned; bottom line, urban dwellers use less energy, emit less carbon and generally are better for the environment as compared to suburban and exurban dwellers.

That doesn’t answer the question. It is just conjecture. Do you have a study or specific proof that the findings of the study no longer hold? If you do, you should probably email the authors and the journal to let them know. Until you do that, you are talking out of your *ss.


https://climateadaptationplatform.com/who-has-the-bigger-carbon-footprint-rural-or-urban-dwellers/

https://theconversation.com/suburban-living-the-worst-for-carbon-emissions-new-research-149332

and if you are really sciency: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11184-y/

Or to drive the point: https://phys.org/news/2014-01-carbon-footprint-reveal-urban-suburban.html

Researchers found a striking divide: low-carbon city centers ringed by suburbs where households are responsible for an outsize proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. In many big metropolitan areas like New York or Los Angeles, their research found, a family that lives in the urban core has about a 50 percent smaller carbon footprint than a similar-sized family in a distant suburb.



This is really not a hard concept. Thanks for playing.


None of the studies looks at consumption based emissions. Thanks for playing.



“It's better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than open it and remove all doubt”

― Mark Twain

One of the findings of the Finland study was that suburban families fly less than their urban, downtown counterparts. They theorized that having a yard and larger family size means that people do not need to get away as much for vacations. Show me where any of the links includes differences air transport emissions or show me your clown mask. 🤡


This thread is about YIMBY planners and the built environment between urban and suburban dwellers. You are adding the whole airplane carbon thing. I would submit, more urbanists are using trains when possible to travel, which is a lot less carbon intensive.


Do you have evidence for that assertion?

Back on topic: YIMBY planners have delivered none of what they’ve promised. Compact transit-oriented development was supposed to cost less, but now we have to subsidize it. Downtown areas were supposed to have plentiful housing and prices were supposed to fall but we have anemic growth and high rents. It’s time for a rethink about whether we have this right. I want growth, but what we’ve been doing the past decade or so has not worked.


No one said prices were going to fall. But more supply mitigates the rate of increase. Do you really think the price of a Watergate Condo would ever decrease? You can't be that dumb.


This is some impressive goalpost-moving, because a whole lot of YIMBYs assert on a daily basis that simply adding more housing will make prices automatically fall. You're saying that's not true?

You all should get your story straight before trying to convince people of its merits.


Do the math. Buy a place in Watergate for 2 million dollars. A new tower comes up between the Watergate and Kennedy Center. With all of those new units, does the Watergate lose value? Or as economics shows us, more buyers flood the new buildings until there is a stasis between the two. Now, with two buildings with an equal number of units, as they turn over, there is more selection thus keeping prices down. But at no point, does the Watergate LOSE value.

Please point to a place where a YIMBY said that market values would decline because of the new units, because I doubt anyone made that assertion.


Eric Saul (and retweeted by the former planning chief of staff): We forget that many renters are in single family homes are paying around $3-4k/mo. in Montgomery County. They can do so because a 2-bedroom apt. costs 3k/mo. We need more supply to lower prices across the board. And don’t forget all the promises about filtering. Turns out developers are smart enough to control supply to prevent prices from falling.


That is rental prices. I was referring to sales prices. There is a difference.


Wait you still think YIMBYism is going to lower rental prices without an oppressive regulatory intervention? That’s hilarious.




You need to understand what was meant by "lowering prices across the board" - but I don't think he meant in raw dollar numbers, but rather mitigating prices over the long term in a relative manner. Supply and demand suggests this is the case.


No one disagrees that supply and demand dictate pricing. The problem is that local YIMBYs are unwilling to accept that their policies have failed to produce adequate supply.


I think it is a little disingenuous to blame inadequate housing supply on YIMBY policies, like these policies are happening without any objection.

But I do ask -- is there an alternative out there that CAN produce adequate supply?


No one is going to agree on 'adequate supply' and what that means for a given city or community. My unpopular opinion is that no one needs or deserves to live in a particular zip code or community, regardless of their place of employment.


Huh. My unpopular opinion is that land use & housing policies should be for the benefit of everybody, not just people with more money who want to be able to exclude people with less money from living in certain zip codes or communities.


Just so we’re clear the group of people who want to exclude poor people included developers. It’s useful for them to pretend their projects help poor people because then they can pretend to be progressive but at the same time they’ve fought inclusionary zoning at every step and probably will try to repeal it again soon.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 18:34     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:“disadvantages” of living in the suburbs? When in reality, they’re precisely the reasons that people CHOOSE to live in the suburbs? I for one, LIKE that my neighborhood has streets you can’t drive through, lacks sidewalks, lacks public transit, has big yards and is mostly houses with few commercial establishments. I don’t want to be able to walk to a bar or 7-eleven, and I don’t want anyone walking from those places to walk through my neighborhood.


Because they feel that the preference for the suburbs is objectively wrong, and vociferously making the case will make them feel justified in their increasingly aggressive efforts to impose their own preferences on people.


Objectively, low density, car-dependent, residential-only, cul-de-sac neighborhoods are a disaster for the environment, local government budgets, and societal well-being.

However, if that's what you prefer, that's not objectively wrong. How can a preference be objectively anything? Your feelings are your feelings.

Just because you say the word “objectively” does not make it true.

Here is a study that demonstrates that downtown Helsinki residents have more carbon intensive lifestyles than their suburban counterparts.
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034034/pdf

Consumption based emissions are very real and it turns out significantly more important than transportation emissions for household GHG emissions.



That study is from 2011.

I think things have changed a little since then, no?


What specifically that would make the findings untrue?


We know a lot more about building performance, and particularly the comparison of urban versus suburban where carbon and energy consumption are concerned; bottom line, urban dwellers use less energy, emit less carbon and generally are better for the environment as compared to suburban and exurban dwellers.

That doesn’t answer the question. It is just conjecture. Do you have a study or specific proof that the findings of the study no longer hold? If you do, you should probably email the authors and the journal to let them know. Until you do that, you are talking out of your *ss.


https://climateadaptationplatform.com/who-has-the-bigger-carbon-footprint-rural-or-urban-dwellers/

https://theconversation.com/suburban-living-the-worst-for-carbon-emissions-new-research-149332

and if you are really sciency: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11184-y/

Or to drive the point: https://phys.org/news/2014-01-carbon-footprint-reveal-urban-suburban.html

Researchers found a striking divide: low-carbon city centers ringed by suburbs where households are responsible for an outsize proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. In many big metropolitan areas like New York or Los Angeles, their research found, a family that lives in the urban core has about a 50 percent smaller carbon footprint than a similar-sized family in a distant suburb.



This is really not a hard concept. Thanks for playing.


None of the studies looks at consumption based emissions. Thanks for playing.



“It's better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than open it and remove all doubt”

― Mark Twain

One of the findings of the Finland study was that suburban families fly less than their urban, downtown counterparts. They theorized that having a yard and larger family size means that people do not need to get away as much for vacations. Show me where any of the links includes differences air transport emissions or show me your clown mask. 🤡


This thread is about YIMBY planners and the built environment between urban and suburban dwellers. You are adding the whole airplane carbon thing. I would submit, more urbanists are using trains when possible to travel, which is a lot less carbon intensive.


Do you have evidence for that assertion?

Back on topic: YIMBY planners have delivered none of what they’ve promised. Compact transit-oriented development was supposed to cost less, but now we have to subsidize it. Downtown areas were supposed to have plentiful housing and prices were supposed to fall but we have anemic growth and high rents. It’s time for a rethink about whether we have this right. I want growth, but what we’ve been doing the past decade or so has not worked.


No one said prices were going to fall. But more supply mitigates the rate of increase. Do you really think the price of a Watergate Condo would ever decrease? You can't be that dumb.


This is some impressive goalpost-moving, because a whole lot of YIMBYs assert on a daily basis that simply adding more housing will make prices automatically fall. You're saying that's not true?

You all should get your story straight before trying to convince people of its merits.


Do the math. Buy a place in Watergate for 2 million dollars. A new tower comes up between the Watergate and Kennedy Center. With all of those new units, does the Watergate lose value? Or as economics shows us, more buyers flood the new buildings until there is a stasis between the two. Now, with two buildings with an equal number of units, as they turn over, there is more selection thus keeping prices down. But at no point, does the Watergate LOSE value.

Please point to a place where a YIMBY said that market values would decline because of the new units, because I doubt anyone made that assertion.


Eric Saul (and retweeted by the former planning chief of staff): We forget that many renters are in single family homes are paying around $3-4k/mo. in Montgomery County. They can do so because a 2-bedroom apt. costs 3k/mo. We need more supply to lower prices across the board. And don’t forget all the promises about filtering. Turns out developers are smart enough to control supply to prevent prices from falling.


That is rental prices. I was referring to sales prices. There is a difference.


Wait you still think YIMBYism is going to lower rental prices without an oppressive regulatory intervention? That’s hilarious.




You need to understand what was meant by "lowering prices across the board" - but I don't think he meant in raw dollar numbers, but rather mitigating prices over the long term in a relative manner. Supply and demand suggests this is the case.


No one disagrees that supply and demand dictate pricing. The problem is that local YIMBYs are unwilling to accept that their policies have failed to produce adequate supply.


I think it is a little disingenuous to blame inadequate housing supply on YIMBY policies, like these policies are happening without any objection.

But I do ask -- is there an alternative out there that CAN produce adequate supply?


No one is going to agree on 'adequate supply' and what that means for a given city or community. My unpopular opinion is that no one needs or deserves to live in a particular zip code or community, regardless of their place of employment.


Huh. My unpopular opinion is that land use & housing policies should be for the benefit of everybody, not just people with more money who want to be able to exclude people with less money from living in certain zip codes or communities.


I think that is quite a popular viewpoint.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 17:48     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:“disadvantages” of living in the suburbs? When in reality, they’re precisely the reasons that people CHOOSE to live in the suburbs? I for one, LIKE that my neighborhood has streets you can’t drive through, lacks sidewalks, lacks public transit, has big yards and is mostly houses with few commercial establishments. I don’t want to be able to walk to a bar or 7-eleven, and I don’t want anyone walking from those places to walk through my neighborhood.


Because they feel that the preference for the suburbs is objectively wrong, and vociferously making the case will make them feel justified in their increasingly aggressive efforts to impose their own preferences on people.


Objectively, low density, car-dependent, residential-only, cul-de-sac neighborhoods are a disaster for the environment, local government budgets, and societal well-being.

However, if that's what you prefer, that's not objectively wrong. How can a preference be objectively anything? Your feelings are your feelings.

Just because you say the word “objectively” does not make it true.

Here is a study that demonstrates that downtown Helsinki residents have more carbon intensive lifestyles than their suburban counterparts.
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034034/pdf

Consumption based emissions are very real and it turns out significantly more important than transportation emissions for household GHG emissions.



That study is from 2011.

I think things have changed a little since then, no?


What specifically that would make the findings untrue?


We know a lot more about building performance, and particularly the comparison of urban versus suburban where carbon and energy consumption are concerned; bottom line, urban dwellers use less energy, emit less carbon and generally are better for the environment as compared to suburban and exurban dwellers.

That doesn’t answer the question. It is just conjecture. Do you have a study or specific proof that the findings of the study no longer hold? If you do, you should probably email the authors and the journal to let them know. Until you do that, you are talking out of your *ss.


https://climateadaptationplatform.com/who-has-the-bigger-carbon-footprint-rural-or-urban-dwellers/

https://theconversation.com/suburban-living-the-worst-for-carbon-emissions-new-research-149332

and if you are really sciency: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11184-y/

Or to drive the point: https://phys.org/news/2014-01-carbon-footprint-reveal-urban-suburban.html

Researchers found a striking divide: low-carbon city centers ringed by suburbs where households are responsible for an outsize proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. In many big metropolitan areas like New York or Los Angeles, their research found, a family that lives in the urban core has about a 50 percent smaller carbon footprint than a similar-sized family in a distant suburb.



This is really not a hard concept. Thanks for playing.


None of the studies looks at consumption based emissions. Thanks for playing.



“It's better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than open it and remove all doubt”

― Mark Twain

One of the findings of the Finland study was that suburban families fly less than their urban, downtown counterparts. They theorized that having a yard and larger family size means that people do not need to get away as much for vacations. Show me where any of the links includes differences air transport emissions or show me your clown mask. 🤡


This thread is about YIMBY planners and the built environment between urban and suburban dwellers. You are adding the whole airplane carbon thing. I would submit, more urbanists are using trains when possible to travel, which is a lot less carbon intensive.


Do you have evidence for that assertion?

Back on topic: YIMBY planners have delivered none of what they’ve promised. Compact transit-oriented development was supposed to cost less, but now we have to subsidize it. Downtown areas were supposed to have plentiful housing and prices were supposed to fall but we have anemic growth and high rents. It’s time for a rethink about whether we have this right. I want growth, but what we’ve been doing the past decade or so has not worked.


No one said prices were going to fall. But more supply mitigates the rate of increase. Do you really think the price of a Watergate Condo would ever decrease? You can't be that dumb.


This is some impressive goalpost-moving, because a whole lot of YIMBYs assert on a daily basis that simply adding more housing will make prices automatically fall. You're saying that's not true?

You all should get your story straight before trying to convince people of its merits.


Do the math. Buy a place in Watergate for 2 million dollars. A new tower comes up between the Watergate and Kennedy Center. With all of those new units, does the Watergate lose value? Or as economics shows us, more buyers flood the new buildings until there is a stasis between the two. Now, with two buildings with an equal number of units, as they turn over, there is more selection thus keeping prices down. But at no point, does the Watergate LOSE value.

Please point to a place where a YIMBY said that market values would decline because of the new units, because I doubt anyone made that assertion.


Eric Saul (and retweeted by the former planning chief of staff): We forget that many renters are in single family homes are paying around $3-4k/mo. in Montgomery County. They can do so because a 2-bedroom apt. costs 3k/mo. We need more supply to lower prices across the board. And don’t forget all the promises about filtering. Turns out developers are smart enough to control supply to prevent prices from falling.


That is rental prices. I was referring to sales prices. There is a difference.


Wait you still think YIMBYism is going to lower rental prices without an oppressive regulatory intervention? That’s hilarious.




You need to understand what was meant by "lowering prices across the board" - but I don't think he meant in raw dollar numbers, but rather mitigating prices over the long term in a relative manner. Supply and demand suggests this is the case.


No one disagrees that supply and demand dictate pricing. The problem is that local YIMBYs are unwilling to accept that their policies have failed to produce adequate supply.


I think it is a little disingenuous to blame inadequate housing supply on YIMBY policies, like these policies are happening without any objection.

But I do ask -- is there an alternative out there that CAN produce adequate supply?


Here’s the alternative: reduce regulation and review when developers want to build. Increase costs for developers who delay, underutilize land, or warehouse units. We have to change the math of building vs. not building because the strongest dynamic in the rental market right now is rent seeking on the part of developers. That’s what’s causing the housing shortage.

YIMBYs are part of the problem, especially planner YIMBYs, because they’re overly deferential to developers (who love shortages) and YIMBY planners have every interest in preserving the status quo and resisting reforms that would put them out of jobs or reduce employment opportunities. Moreover, their policy recommendations have focused too much on developers’ profit margins as the immediate outcome and not enough on affordability as a first-order goal.


No such thing as "planner YIMBYs". They may be YIMBYs in their personal life, but in their professional life, they're planners, and as planners, they have to follow the laws and policies.

If you want to reduce deference to developers and increase costs developers who get approvals but then don't build - which are goals I agree with - then you should work to change the laws and policies. Attacking the planners won't accomplish those goals. The planners aren't the ones making the decisions.


From what I’ve seen, the planners in MoCo have been more dedicated to ideology than the place and have been obstacles to reform, not supporters of it, so they’ve earned the criticism.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 17:41     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:“disadvantages” of living in the suburbs? When in reality, they’re precisely the reasons that people CHOOSE to live in the suburbs? I for one, LIKE that my neighborhood has streets you can’t drive through, lacks sidewalks, lacks public transit, has big yards and is mostly houses with few commercial establishments. I don’t want to be able to walk to a bar or 7-eleven, and I don’t want anyone walking from those places to walk through my neighborhood.


Because they feel that the preference for the suburbs is objectively wrong, and vociferously making the case will make them feel justified in their increasingly aggressive efforts to impose their own preferences on people.


Objectively, low density, car-dependent, residential-only, cul-de-sac neighborhoods are a disaster for the environment, local government budgets, and societal well-being.

However, if that's what you prefer, that's not objectively wrong. How can a preference be objectively anything? Your feelings are your feelings.

Just because you say the word “objectively” does not make it true.

Here is a study that demonstrates that downtown Helsinki residents have more carbon intensive lifestyles than their suburban counterparts.
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034034/pdf

Consumption based emissions are very real and it turns out significantly more important than transportation emissions for household GHG emissions.



That study is from 2011.

I think things have changed a little since then, no?


What specifically that would make the findings untrue?


We know a lot more about building performance, and particularly the comparison of urban versus suburban where carbon and energy consumption are concerned; bottom line, urban dwellers use less energy, emit less carbon and generally are better for the environment as compared to suburban and exurban dwellers.

That doesn’t answer the question. It is just conjecture. Do you have a study or specific proof that the findings of the study no longer hold? If you do, you should probably email the authors and the journal to let them know. Until you do that, you are talking out of your *ss.


https://climateadaptationplatform.com/who-has-the-bigger-carbon-footprint-rural-or-urban-dwellers/

https://theconversation.com/suburban-living-the-worst-for-carbon-emissions-new-research-149332

and if you are really sciency: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11184-y/

Or to drive the point: https://phys.org/news/2014-01-carbon-footprint-reveal-urban-suburban.html

Researchers found a striking divide: low-carbon city centers ringed by suburbs where households are responsible for an outsize proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. In many big metropolitan areas like New York or Los Angeles, their research found, a family that lives in the urban core has about a 50 percent smaller carbon footprint than a similar-sized family in a distant suburb.



This is really not a hard concept. Thanks for playing.


None of the studies looks at consumption based emissions. Thanks for playing.



“It's better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than open it and remove all doubt”

― Mark Twain

One of the findings of the Finland study was that suburban families fly less than their urban, downtown counterparts. They theorized that having a yard and larger family size means that people do not need to get away as much for vacations. Show me where any of the links includes differences air transport emissions or show me your clown mask. 🤡


This thread is about YIMBY planners and the built environment between urban and suburban dwellers. You are adding the whole airplane carbon thing. I would submit, more urbanists are using trains when possible to travel, which is a lot less carbon intensive.


Do you have evidence for that assertion?

Back on topic: YIMBY planners have delivered none of what they’ve promised. Compact transit-oriented development was supposed to cost less, but now we have to subsidize it. Downtown areas were supposed to have plentiful housing and prices were supposed to fall but we have anemic growth and high rents. It’s time for a rethink about whether we have this right. I want growth, but what we’ve been doing the past decade or so has not worked.


No one said prices were going to fall. But more supply mitigates the rate of increase. Do you really think the price of a Watergate Condo would ever decrease? You can't be that dumb.


This is some impressive goalpost-moving, because a whole lot of YIMBYs assert on a daily basis that simply adding more housing will make prices automatically fall. You're saying that's not true?

You all should get your story straight before trying to convince people of its merits.


Do the math. Buy a place in Watergate for 2 million dollars. A new tower comes up between the Watergate and Kennedy Center. With all of those new units, does the Watergate lose value? Or as economics shows us, more buyers flood the new buildings until there is a stasis between the two. Now, with two buildings with an equal number of units, as they turn over, there is more selection thus keeping prices down. But at no point, does the Watergate LOSE value.

Please point to a place where a YIMBY said that market values would decline because of the new units, because I doubt anyone made that assertion.


Eric Saul (and retweeted by the former planning chief of staff): We forget that many renters are in single family homes are paying around $3-4k/mo. in Montgomery County. They can do so because a 2-bedroom apt. costs 3k/mo. We need more supply to lower prices across the board. And don’t forget all the promises about filtering. Turns out developers are smart enough to control supply to prevent prices from falling.


That is rental prices. I was referring to sales prices. There is a difference.


Wait you still think YIMBYism is going to lower rental prices without an oppressive regulatory intervention? That’s hilarious.




You need to understand what was meant by "lowering prices across the board" - but I don't think he meant in raw dollar numbers, but rather mitigating prices over the long term in a relative manner. Supply and demand suggests this is the case.


No one disagrees that supply and demand dictate pricing. The problem is that local YIMBYs are unwilling to accept that their policies have failed to produce adequate supply.


I think it is a little disingenuous to blame inadequate housing supply on YIMBY policies, like these policies are happening without any objection.

But I do ask -- is there an alternative out there that CAN produce adequate supply?


No one is going to agree on 'adequate supply' and what that means for a given city or community. My unpopular opinion is that no one needs or deserves to live in a particular zip code or community, regardless of their place of employment.


Huh. My unpopular opinion is that land use & housing policies should be for the benefit of everybody, not just people with more money who want to be able to exclude people with less money from living in certain zip codes or communities.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 17:39     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:“disadvantages” of living in the suburbs? When in reality, they’re precisely the reasons that people CHOOSE to live in the suburbs? I for one, LIKE that my neighborhood has streets you can’t drive through, lacks sidewalks, lacks public transit, has big yards and is mostly houses with few commercial establishments. I don’t want to be able to walk to a bar or 7-eleven, and I don’t want anyone walking from those places to walk through my neighborhood.


Because they feel that the preference for the suburbs is objectively wrong, and vociferously making the case will make them feel justified in their increasingly aggressive efforts to impose their own preferences on people.


Objectively, low density, car-dependent, residential-only, cul-de-sac neighborhoods are a disaster for the environment, local government budgets, and societal well-being.

However, if that's what you prefer, that's not objectively wrong. How can a preference be objectively anything? Your feelings are your feelings.

Just because you say the word “objectively” does not make it true.

Here is a study that demonstrates that downtown Helsinki residents have more carbon intensive lifestyles than their suburban counterparts.
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034034/pdf

Consumption based emissions are very real and it turns out significantly more important than transportation emissions for household GHG emissions.



That study is from 2011.

I think things have changed a little since then, no?


What specifically that would make the findings untrue?


We know a lot more about building performance, and particularly the comparison of urban versus suburban where carbon and energy consumption are concerned; bottom line, urban dwellers use less energy, emit less carbon and generally are better for the environment as compared to suburban and exurban dwellers.

That doesn’t answer the question. It is just conjecture. Do you have a study or specific proof that the findings of the study no longer hold? If you do, you should probably email the authors and the journal to let them know. Until you do that, you are talking out of your *ss.


https://climateadaptationplatform.com/who-has-the-bigger-carbon-footprint-rural-or-urban-dwellers/

https://theconversation.com/suburban-living-the-worst-for-carbon-emissions-new-research-149332

and if you are really sciency: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11184-y/

Or to drive the point: https://phys.org/news/2014-01-carbon-footprint-reveal-urban-suburban.html

Researchers found a striking divide: low-carbon city centers ringed by suburbs where households are responsible for an outsize proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. In many big metropolitan areas like New York or Los Angeles, their research found, a family that lives in the urban core has about a 50 percent smaller carbon footprint than a similar-sized family in a distant suburb.



This is really not a hard concept. Thanks for playing.


None of the studies looks at consumption based emissions. Thanks for playing.



“It's better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than open it and remove all doubt”

― Mark Twain

One of the findings of the Finland study was that suburban families fly less than their urban, downtown counterparts. They theorized that having a yard and larger family size means that people do not need to get away as much for vacations. Show me where any of the links includes differences air transport emissions or show me your clown mask. 🤡


This thread is about YIMBY planners and the built environment between urban and suburban dwellers. You are adding the whole airplane carbon thing. I would submit, more urbanists are using trains when possible to travel, which is a lot less carbon intensive.


Do you have evidence for that assertion?

Back on topic: YIMBY planners have delivered none of what they’ve promised. Compact transit-oriented development was supposed to cost less, but now we have to subsidize it. Downtown areas were supposed to have plentiful housing and prices were supposed to fall but we have anemic growth and high rents. It’s time for a rethink about whether we have this right. I want growth, but what we’ve been doing the past decade or so has not worked.


No one said prices were going to fall. But more supply mitigates the rate of increase. Do you really think the price of a Watergate Condo would ever decrease? You can't be that dumb.


This is some impressive goalpost-moving, because a whole lot of YIMBYs assert on a daily basis that simply adding more housing will make prices automatically fall. You're saying that's not true?

You all should get your story straight before trying to convince people of its merits.


Do the math. Buy a place in Watergate for 2 million dollars. A new tower comes up between the Watergate and Kennedy Center. With all of those new units, does the Watergate lose value? Or as economics shows us, more buyers flood the new buildings until there is a stasis between the two. Now, with two buildings with an equal number of units, as they turn over, there is more selection thus keeping prices down. But at no point, does the Watergate LOSE value.

Please point to a place where a YIMBY said that market values would decline because of the new units, because I doubt anyone made that assertion.


Eric Saul (and retweeted by the former planning chief of staff): We forget that many renters are in single family homes are paying around $3-4k/mo. in Montgomery County. They can do so because a 2-bedroom apt. costs 3k/mo. We need more supply to lower prices across the board. And don’t forget all the promises about filtering. Turns out developers are smart enough to control supply to prevent prices from falling.


That is rental prices. I was referring to sales prices. There is a difference.


Wait you still think YIMBYism is going to lower rental prices without an oppressive regulatory intervention? That’s hilarious.




You need to understand what was meant by "lowering prices across the board" - but I don't think he meant in raw dollar numbers, but rather mitigating prices over the long term in a relative manner. Supply and demand suggests this is the case.


No one disagrees that supply and demand dictate pricing. The problem is that local YIMBYs are unwilling to accept that their policies have failed to produce adequate supply.


I think it is a little disingenuous to blame inadequate housing supply on YIMBY policies, like these policies are happening without any objection.

But I do ask -- is there an alternative out there that CAN produce adequate supply?


Here’s the alternative: reduce regulation and review when developers want to build. Increase costs for developers who delay, underutilize land, or warehouse units. We have to change the math of building vs. not building because the strongest dynamic in the rental market right now is rent seeking on the part of developers. That’s what’s causing the housing shortage.

YIMBYs are part of the problem, especially planner YIMBYs, because they’re overly deferential to developers (who love shortages) and YIMBY planners have every interest in preserving the status quo and resisting reforms that would put them out of jobs or reduce employment opportunities. Moreover, their policy recommendations have focused too much on developers’ profit margins as the immediate outcome and not enough on affordability as a first-order goal.


No such thing as "planner YIMBYs". They may be YIMBYs in their personal life, but in their professional life, they're planners, and as planners, they have to follow the laws and policies.

If you want to reduce deference to developers and increase costs developers who get approvals but then don't build - which are goals I agree with - then you should work to change the laws and policies. Attacking the planners won't accomplish those goals. The planners aren't the ones making the decisions.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 16:23     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:“disadvantages” of living in the suburbs? When in reality, they’re precisely the reasons that people CHOOSE to live in the suburbs? I for one, LIKE that my neighborhood has streets you can’t drive through, lacks sidewalks, lacks public transit, has big yards and is mostly houses with few commercial establishments. I don’t want to be able to walk to a bar or 7-eleven, and I don’t want anyone walking from those places to walk through my neighborhood.


Because they feel that the preference for the suburbs is objectively wrong, and vociferously making the case will make them feel justified in their increasingly aggressive efforts to impose their own preferences on people.


Objectively, low density, car-dependent, residential-only, cul-de-sac neighborhoods are a disaster for the environment, local government budgets, and societal well-being.

However, if that's what you prefer, that's not objectively wrong. How can a preference be objectively anything? Your feelings are your feelings.

Just because you say the word “objectively” does not make it true.

Here is a study that demonstrates that downtown Helsinki residents have more carbon intensive lifestyles than their suburban counterparts.
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034034/pdf

Consumption based emissions are very real and it turns out significantly more important than transportation emissions for household GHG emissions.



That study is from 2011.

I think things have changed a little since then, no?


What specifically that would make the findings untrue?


We know a lot more about building performance, and particularly the comparison of urban versus suburban where carbon and energy consumption are concerned; bottom line, urban dwellers use less energy, emit less carbon and generally are better for the environment as compared to suburban and exurban dwellers.

That doesn’t answer the question. It is just conjecture. Do you have a study or specific proof that the findings of the study no longer hold? If you do, you should probably email the authors and the journal to let them know. Until you do that, you are talking out of your *ss.


https://climateadaptationplatform.com/who-has-the-bigger-carbon-footprint-rural-or-urban-dwellers/

https://theconversation.com/suburban-living-the-worst-for-carbon-emissions-new-research-149332

and if you are really sciency: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11184-y/

Or to drive the point: https://phys.org/news/2014-01-carbon-footprint-reveal-urban-suburban.html

Researchers found a striking divide: low-carbon city centers ringed by suburbs where households are responsible for an outsize proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. In many big metropolitan areas like New York or Los Angeles, their research found, a family that lives in the urban core has about a 50 percent smaller carbon footprint than a similar-sized family in a distant suburb.



This is really not a hard concept. Thanks for playing.


None of the studies looks at consumption based emissions. Thanks for playing.



“It's better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than open it and remove all doubt”

― Mark Twain

One of the findings of the Finland study was that suburban families fly less than their urban, downtown counterparts. They theorized that having a yard and larger family size means that people do not need to get away as much for vacations. Show me where any of the links includes differences air transport emissions or show me your clown mask. 🤡


This thread is about YIMBY planners and the built environment between urban and suburban dwellers. You are adding the whole airplane carbon thing. I would submit, more urbanists are using trains when possible to travel, which is a lot less carbon intensive.


Do you have evidence for that assertion?

Back on topic: YIMBY planners have delivered none of what they’ve promised. Compact transit-oriented development was supposed to cost less, but now we have to subsidize it. Downtown areas were supposed to have plentiful housing and prices were supposed to fall but we have anemic growth and high rents. It’s time for a rethink about whether we have this right. I want growth, but what we’ve been doing the past decade or so has not worked.


No one said prices were going to fall. But more supply mitigates the rate of increase. Do you really think the price of a Watergate Condo would ever decrease? You can't be that dumb.


This is some impressive goalpost-moving, because a whole lot of YIMBYs assert on a daily basis that simply adding more housing will make prices automatically fall. You're saying that's not true?

You all should get your story straight before trying to convince people of its merits.


Do the math. Buy a place in Watergate for 2 million dollars. A new tower comes up between the Watergate and Kennedy Center. With all of those new units, does the Watergate lose value? Or as economics shows us, more buyers flood the new buildings until there is a stasis between the two. Now, with two buildings with an equal number of units, as they turn over, there is more selection thus keeping prices down. But at no point, does the Watergate LOSE value.

Please point to a place where a YIMBY said that market values would decline because of the new units, because I doubt anyone made that assertion.


Eric Saul (and retweeted by the former planning chief of staff): We forget that many renters are in single family homes are paying around $3-4k/mo. in Montgomery County. They can do so because a 2-bedroom apt. costs 3k/mo. We need more supply to lower prices across the board. And don’t forget all the promises about filtering. Turns out developers are smart enough to control supply to prevent prices from falling.


That is rental prices. I was referring to sales prices. There is a difference.


Wait you still think YIMBYism is going to lower rental prices without an oppressive regulatory intervention? That’s hilarious.




You need to understand what was meant by "lowering prices across the board" - but I don't think he meant in raw dollar numbers, but rather mitigating prices over the long term in a relative manner. Supply and demand suggests this is the case.


No one disagrees that supply and demand dictate pricing. The problem is that local YIMBYs are unwilling to accept that their policies have failed to produce adequate supply.


I think it is a little disingenuous to blame inadequate housing supply on YIMBY policies, like these policies are happening without any objection.

But I do ask -- is there an alternative out there that CAN produce adequate supply?


Here’s the alternative: reduce regulation and review when developers want to build. Increase costs for developers who delay, underutilize land, or warehouse units. We have to change the math of building vs. not building because the strongest dynamic in the rental market right now is rent seeking on the part of developers. That’s what’s causing the housing shortage.

YIMBYs are part of the problem, especially planner YIMBYs, because they’re overly deferential to developers (who love shortages) and YIMBY planners have every interest in preserving the status quo and resisting reforms that would put them out of jobs or reduce employment opportunities. Moreover, their policy recommendations have focused too much on developers’ profit margins as the immediate outcome and not enough on affordability as a first-order goal.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 16:07     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:“disadvantages” of living in the suburbs? When in reality, they’re precisely the reasons that people CHOOSE to live in the suburbs? I for one, LIKE that my neighborhood has streets you can’t drive through, lacks sidewalks, lacks public transit, has big yards and is mostly houses with few commercial establishments. I don’t want to be able to walk to a bar or 7-eleven, and I don’t want anyone walking from those places to walk through my neighborhood.


Because they feel that the preference for the suburbs is objectively wrong, and vociferously making the case will make them feel justified in their increasingly aggressive efforts to impose their own preferences on people.


Objectively, low density, car-dependent, residential-only, cul-de-sac neighborhoods are a disaster for the environment, local government budgets, and societal well-being.

However, if that's what you prefer, that's not objectively wrong. How can a preference be objectively anything? Your feelings are your feelings.

Just because you say the word “objectively” does not make it true.

Here is a study that demonstrates that downtown Helsinki residents have more carbon intensive lifestyles than their suburban counterparts.
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034034/pdf

Consumption based emissions are very real and it turns out significantly more important than transportation emissions for household GHG emissions.



That study is from 2011.

I think things have changed a little since then, no?


What specifically that would make the findings untrue?


We know a lot more about building performance, and particularly the comparison of urban versus suburban where carbon and energy consumption are concerned; bottom line, urban dwellers use less energy, emit less carbon and generally are better for the environment as compared to suburban and exurban dwellers.

That doesn’t answer the question. It is just conjecture. Do you have a study or specific proof that the findings of the study no longer hold? If you do, you should probably email the authors and the journal to let them know. Until you do that, you are talking out of your *ss.


https://climateadaptationplatform.com/who-has-the-bigger-carbon-footprint-rural-or-urban-dwellers/

https://theconversation.com/suburban-living-the-worst-for-carbon-emissions-new-research-149332

and if you are really sciency: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11184-y/

Or to drive the point: https://phys.org/news/2014-01-carbon-footprint-reveal-urban-suburban.html

Researchers found a striking divide: low-carbon city centers ringed by suburbs where households are responsible for an outsize proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. In many big metropolitan areas like New York or Los Angeles, their research found, a family that lives in the urban core has about a 50 percent smaller carbon footprint than a similar-sized family in a distant suburb.



This is really not a hard concept. Thanks for playing.


None of the studies looks at consumption based emissions. Thanks for playing.



“It's better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than open it and remove all doubt”

― Mark Twain

One of the findings of the Finland study was that suburban families fly less than their urban, downtown counterparts. They theorized that having a yard and larger family size means that people do not need to get away as much for vacations. Show me where any of the links includes differences air transport emissions or show me your clown mask. 🤡


This thread is about YIMBY planners and the built environment between urban and suburban dwellers. You are adding the whole airplane carbon thing. I would submit, more urbanists are using trains when possible to travel, which is a lot less carbon intensive.


Do you have evidence for that assertion?

Back on topic: YIMBY planners have delivered none of what they’ve promised. Compact transit-oriented development was supposed to cost less, but now we have to subsidize it. Downtown areas were supposed to have plentiful housing and prices were supposed to fall but we have anemic growth and high rents. It’s time for a rethink about whether we have this right. I want growth, but what we’ve been doing the past decade or so has not worked.


No one said prices were going to fall. But more supply mitigates the rate of increase. Do you really think the price of a Watergate Condo would ever decrease? You can't be that dumb.


This is some impressive goalpost-moving, because a whole lot of YIMBYs assert on a daily basis that simply adding more housing will make prices automatically fall. You're saying that's not true?

You all should get your story straight before trying to convince people of its merits.


Do the math. Buy a place in Watergate for 2 million dollars. A new tower comes up between the Watergate and Kennedy Center. With all of those new units, does the Watergate lose value? Or as economics shows us, more buyers flood the new buildings until there is a stasis between the two. Now, with two buildings with an equal number of units, as they turn over, there is more selection thus keeping prices down. But at no point, does the Watergate LOSE value.

Please point to a place where a YIMBY said that market values would decline because of the new units, because I doubt anyone made that assertion.


Eric Saul (and retweeted by the former planning chief of staff): We forget that many renters are in single family homes are paying around $3-4k/mo. in Montgomery County. They can do so because a 2-bedroom apt. costs 3k/mo. We need more supply to lower prices across the board. And don’t forget all the promises about filtering. Turns out developers are smart enough to control supply to prevent prices from falling.


That is rental prices. I was referring to sales prices. There is a difference.


Wait you still think YIMBYism is going to lower rental prices without an oppressive regulatory intervention? That’s hilarious.




You need to understand what was meant by "lowering prices across the board" - but I don't think he meant in raw dollar numbers, but rather mitigating prices over the long term in a relative manner. Supply and demand suggests this is the case.


No one disagrees that supply and demand dictate pricing. The problem is that local YIMBYs are unwilling to accept that their policies have failed to produce adequate supply.


I think it is a little disingenuous to blame inadequate housing supply on YIMBY policies, like these policies are happening without any objection.

But I do ask -- is there an alternative out there that CAN produce adequate supply?


No one is going to agree on 'adequate supply' and what that means for a given city or community. My unpopular opinion is that no one needs or deserves to live in a particular zip code or community, regardless of their place of employment.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 15:31     Subject: Re:Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Adding supply will never reduce prices because demand is essentially unlimited. There are 300,000 housing units in DC. There are five million people in the suburbs. Don’t you think a whole lot of them would like easier commutes?
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 15:25     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Lack of supply can actually be blamed on the NIMBYs who fight ever housing development tooth and nail because looming buildings, or traffic, parking and "those people" begriming their communities.
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 14:41     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:“disadvantages” of living in the suburbs? When in reality, they’re precisely the reasons that people CHOOSE to live in the suburbs? I for one, LIKE that my neighborhood has streets you can’t drive through, lacks sidewalks, lacks public transit, has big yards and is mostly houses with few commercial establishments. I don’t want to be able to walk to a bar or 7-eleven, and I don’t want anyone walking from those places to walk through my neighborhood.


Because they feel that the preference for the suburbs is objectively wrong, and vociferously making the case will make them feel justified in their increasingly aggressive efforts to impose their own preferences on people.


Objectively, low density, car-dependent, residential-only, cul-de-sac neighborhoods are a disaster for the environment, local government budgets, and societal well-being.

However, if that's what you prefer, that's not objectively wrong. How can a preference be objectively anything? Your feelings are your feelings.

Just because you say the word “objectively” does not make it true.

Here is a study that demonstrates that downtown Helsinki residents have more carbon intensive lifestyles than their suburban counterparts.
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034034/pdf

Consumption based emissions are very real and it turns out significantly more important than transportation emissions for household GHG emissions.



That study is from 2011.

I think things have changed a little since then, no?


What specifically that would make the findings untrue?


We know a lot more about building performance, and particularly the comparison of urban versus suburban where carbon and energy consumption are concerned; bottom line, urban dwellers use less energy, emit less carbon and generally are better for the environment as compared to suburban and exurban dwellers.

That doesn’t answer the question. It is just conjecture. Do you have a study or specific proof that the findings of the study no longer hold? If you do, you should probably email the authors and the journal to let them know. Until you do that, you are talking out of your *ss.


https://climateadaptationplatform.com/who-has-the-bigger-carbon-footprint-rural-or-urban-dwellers/

https://theconversation.com/suburban-living-the-worst-for-carbon-emissions-new-research-149332

and if you are really sciency: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-11184-y/

Or to drive the point: https://phys.org/news/2014-01-carbon-footprint-reveal-urban-suburban.html

Researchers found a striking divide: low-carbon city centers ringed by suburbs where households are responsible for an outsize proportion of greenhouse gas emissions. In many big metropolitan areas like New York or Los Angeles, their research found, a family that lives in the urban core has about a 50 percent smaller carbon footprint than a similar-sized family in a distant suburb.



This is really not a hard concept. Thanks for playing.


None of the studies looks at consumption based emissions. Thanks for playing.



“It's better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than open it and remove all doubt”

― Mark Twain

One of the findings of the Finland study was that suburban families fly less than their urban, downtown counterparts. They theorized that having a yard and larger family size means that people do not need to get away as much for vacations. Show me where any of the links includes differences air transport emissions or show me your clown mask. 🤡


This thread is about YIMBY planners and the built environment between urban and suburban dwellers. You are adding the whole airplane carbon thing. I would submit, more urbanists are using trains when possible to travel, which is a lot less carbon intensive.


Do you have evidence for that assertion?

Back on topic: YIMBY planners have delivered none of what they’ve promised. Compact transit-oriented development was supposed to cost less, but now we have to subsidize it. Downtown areas were supposed to have plentiful housing and prices were supposed to fall but we have anemic growth and high rents. It’s time for a rethink about whether we have this right. I want growth, but what we’ve been doing the past decade or so has not worked.


No one said prices were going to fall. But more supply mitigates the rate of increase. Do you really think the price of a Watergate Condo would ever decrease? You can't be that dumb.


This is some impressive goalpost-moving, because a whole lot of YIMBYs assert on a daily basis that simply adding more housing will make prices automatically fall. You're saying that's not true?

You all should get your story straight before trying to convince people of its merits.


Do the math. Buy a place in Watergate for 2 million dollars. A new tower comes up between the Watergate and Kennedy Center. With all of those new units, does the Watergate lose value? Or as economics shows us, more buyers flood the new buildings until there is a stasis between the two. Now, with two buildings with an equal number of units, as they turn over, there is more selection thus keeping prices down. But at no point, does the Watergate LOSE value.

Please point to a place where a YIMBY said that market values would decline because of the new units, because I doubt anyone made that assertion.


Eric Saul (and retweeted by the former planning chief of staff): We forget that many renters are in single family homes are paying around $3-4k/mo. in Montgomery County. They can do so because a 2-bedroom apt. costs 3k/mo. We need more supply to lower prices across the board. And don’t forget all the promises about filtering. Turns out developers are smart enough to control supply to prevent prices from falling.


That is rental prices. I was referring to sales prices. There is a difference.


Wait you still think YIMBYism is going to lower rental prices without an oppressive regulatory intervention? That’s hilarious.




You need to understand what was meant by "lowering prices across the board" - but I don't think he meant in raw dollar numbers, but rather mitigating prices over the long term in a relative manner. Supply and demand suggests this is the case.


No one disagrees that supply and demand dictate pricing. The problem is that local YIMBYs are unwilling to accept that their policies have failed to produce adequate supply.


I think it is a little disingenuous to blame inadequate housing supply on YIMBY policies, like these policies are happening without any objection.

But I do ask -- is there an alternative out there that CAN produce adequate supply?
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 13:29     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:In this thread: Lying shills spreading falsehoods about housing costs as if they're a perfect econ 101 equilibrium adhering to "market principals," when it's actually a literal monopoly controlled by a handful of criminal foreign and domestic RE funds and filthy rich speculators and developers who will always charge whatever they please. They will always squeeze every drop out of the prole class. Especially with non-stop flow of immigrants, prices will never come down in hot metros. Ever.


You use the word “monopoly.” I do not think it means what you think it means.


Really? That’s the part of the post you found most objectionable?
Anonymous
Post 04/14/2023 04:17     Subject: Why do “YIMBY” urban planners, bloggers & activists constantly cite what they believe are

Anonymous wrote:In this thread: Lying shills spreading falsehoods about housing costs as if they're a perfect econ 101 equilibrium adhering to "market principals," when it's actually a literal monopoly controlled by a handful of criminal foreign and domestic RE funds and filthy rich speculators and developers who will always charge whatever they please. They will always squeeze every drop out of the prole class. Especially with non-stop flow of immigrants, prices will never come down in hot metros. Ever.


You use the word “monopoly.” I do not think it means what you think it means.