Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:^^ Elon Musk unveils $46bn financing package to fund Twitter bid | Financial Times
With a bunch of equity financing. Hardly the all cash offer he tweeted about.
$25B in debt and $21B in equity. That is a massive amount of debt he would saddle onto Twitter, no way that the platform can service that debt. You'd have to be nuts to buy that debt.
"$13 billion in financing to the Reporting Person and related entities as follows: (a) a senior secured term loan facility in an aggregate principal amount of $6.5 billion, (b) a senior secured revolving facility in an aggregate committed amount of $500 million, (c) a senior secured bridge loan facility in an aggregate principal amount of up to $3 billion and (d) a senior unsecured bridge loan facility in an aggregate principal amount of up to $3 billion . . .$12.5 billion in margin loans [and] the Reporting Person has committed to provide equity financing . . .expected to be approximately $21 billion""
Kind of a crap financing plan.
Also kind of interesting to note that none of the legal heavy-hitters are representing him. McDermott Will out of Chicago. Certainly no slouch, but not the M&A A Team.
This article has a good description of Elon's current outstanding margin loans and his indebtedness:
https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-twitter-financing-51650118671?tesla=y
Tesla has a policy in place of letting directors and officers only borrow up to 25% of the value of their stock. And Elon Musk has already pledged about 88 million shares against indebtedness, according to Tesla’s 2021 proxy filing. That leaves him with only another 85 million shares to raise debt with.
The 85 million shares are worth, very roughly, $84 billion. At 25% margin debt, that gives him $21 billion of credit. He needs about $40 billion to buy the part of Twitter (TWTR) he doesn’t own.
He looks short, but that math is a little flawed. Musk pledged the stock back in 2019 and 2020, when the shares were worth perhaps $6.5 billion. The maximum loan then would have been roughly $1.6 billion. Tesla stock is worth more now. Shares gained 743% in 2020 and another 50% in 2021.
TSLA had a great earnings call yesterday, with the stock up 10%. He's basically tapping his maximum margin loan potential with this deal, but TSLA shares cannot decline in price. If he sells TSLA shares to raise more equity, that will give him cash but also decrease the amount he can pledge toward margin loans.
This is a super risky deal, IMHO. It is completely dependent on TSLA shares remaining above current price levels. Any decrease in the share price will immediately trigger huge margin calls on Musk, which he can only meet by liquidating or handing over shares.