Anonymous wrote:

He also told Eric Cantor he was up by 30 in his primary (he lost by 11), projected that Comstock will win in 2018, Romney will in a landslide, etc. It’s a surprise he still has a job.

Here is the thing. There are pollsters that consistently poll to the right or the left. Most of the time, they’re wrong. But that one time they’re right, everyone treats them like they have some special insight, and forget completely about the other 99 times they were completely wrong.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This bodes well

IOWA
- 885k Iowans have voted, about 60% of the total 2016 vote.

by party affiliation:
Democrats - 417,886
Republicans - 289,511
No Party - 173,934

How many Democrats In Iowa are there left to vote on Tuesday?

From December: Voters registered with no party affiliation were the largest group with 743,885 persons. Republicans had 640,180, and Democrats 613,899.

. That’s a lot of uncast ballots from both Republicans and Unaffiliated registrants. I wouldn’t put Iowa in the win column just yet.

Not that all unaffiliated are independents, but Biden is winning independents by a lot.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This bodes well

IOWA
- 885k Iowans have voted, about 60% of the total 2016 vote.

by party affiliation:
Democrats - 417,886
Republicans - 289,511
No Party - 173,934

How many Democrats In Iowa are there left to vote on Tuesday?

From December: Voters registered with no party affiliation were the largest group with 743,885 persons. Republicans had 640,180, and Democrats 613,899.

. That’s a lot of uncast ballots from both Republicans and Unaffiliated registrants. I wouldn’t put Iowa in the win column just yet.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This bodes well

IOWA
- 885k Iowans have voted, about 60% of the total 2016 vote.

by party affiliation:
Democrats - 417,886
Republicans - 289,511
No Party - 173,934

How many Democrats In Iowa are there left to vote on Tuesday?

From December: Voters registered with no party affiliation were the largest group with 743,885 persons. Republicans had 640,180, and Democrats 613,899.

Anonymous wrote:This bodes well

IOWA
- 885k Iowans have voted, about 60% of the total 2016 vote.

by party affiliation:
Democrats - 417,886
Republicans - 289,511
No Party - 173,934

How many Democrats In Iowa are there left to vote on Tuesday?

A lot of Trumpsters did get mail-in ballots and then dropped them off. I have one crazy high school classmate on Facebook who kept raiing agains mail-in voting, voter fraud, etc. Then he got a mail-in ballot and dropped it off, and a bunch of his commentors did, too. So who knows?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don’t we need to worry about Tuesday voters?

If past trends hold, they will heavily skew Republican. Hopefully, enough blue votes have been banked that it won't make any difference.

Do we know why in-person voters skew Republican? Is it that they don't believe mail-in voting is any good?

That said, it's interesting to see Utah has embraced mail-in ballots.

2 things: Their dear leader discouraged them from "corrupt" mail-in voting and, also following him, they don't take the pandemic seriously so don't feel the need to take precautions.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don’t we need to worry about Tuesday voters?

If past trends hold, they will heavily skew Republican. Hopefully, enough blue votes have been banked that it won't make any difference.

Do we know why in-person voters skew Republican? Is it that they don't believe mail-in voting is any good?

That said, it's interesting to see Utah has embraced mail-in ballots.

This year it's because they don't trust the post office (thank you Trump) and they aren't as concerned as the Dems about catching COVID while in line to vote.

I'm guessing some of them will be laid up sick at home after having caught COVID at a Trump rally.

Anonymous wrote:

When it’s 98-2 for Biden, I’ll trust it.

Anonymous wrote:PENNSYLVANIA
- 2.3 million have voted early.

by party affiliation:
Democrats - 1,536,035
Republicans - 520,199
No Party - 227,094

I'd prefer stats on votes that were counted and not possibly sitting in a post office or an office somewhere.

But I think PA does not start counting votes until 7 am on Election Day.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:90-10 at the moment on 538.
Why do I still have this sinking feeling?

Because we know they've cheated before and are bolder and more desperate now.

Because you probably saw the same photos I did of Pennsylvania ballots stuck inside a post office.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don’t we need to worry about Tuesday voters?

If past trends hold, they will heavily skew Republican. Hopefully, enough blue votes have been banked that it won't make any difference.

Do we know why in-person voters skew Republican? Is it that they don't believe mail-in voting is any good?

That said, it's interesting to see Utah has embraced mail-in ballots.

Anonymous wrote:If this is accurate, it will be a short evening on Tuesday.

+1

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Don’t we need to worry about Tuesday voters?

As PP says, yes, the Republicans will make up a lot of ground then but: Minnesota Republicans are basically suing for voters to not have to wear masks. My dad, who is (still) a big Republican and has a pre-existing condition, and the thousands of others like him might actually have to take a pass on voting.

Why didn’t your dad vote absentee?

He really likes the experience of voting in person.