Guess what? He lied.

“Iranian media deny that negotiations have taken place... it takes two to TACO
Iran’s Fars news agency has quoted a source as saying there has been “no direct or indirect connection” between Iran and Donald Trump, in contradiction to the US president’s statement.

Citing an unnamed source, Fars said Trump had retreated after hearing that Iran would respond by attacking all power plants in the region.

This has punctured some of the optimism in the markets.”

Oil already up again.

Anonymous wrote:Well the thing is, it will either be proven correct, or actions/facts on the ground will make it reverse course. The empty statements only buy time.

The goal is to manipulate the market in the short time and it works. For how long? We don't know.

Well the thing is, it will either be proven correct, or actions/facts on the ground will make it reverse course. The empty statements only buy time.

I know, when markets opened before dawn things looked realistic. Then a stupid meaningless statement and the price of oil tumbles. ??

Another empty, fake and false statement was just made. And yet again the market is responding very positively.

This is just bizarre. Every single time it works. Crazy.

They just released another "empty" statement to manipulate the futures market. They said countries have now AGREED to escort ships.

This time thankfully the market is not listening.

I predict by tomorrow the dow will be down 1000 points.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:These investment analysts assumed the US Military had an active plan to open the Strait of Hormuz, because any normal country who invaded Iran would have one.

The analysts are as stupid as the Executive.

Goldman Sachs? They probably went to the same business school as Trump!

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:No idea, but there has never been a better opportunity for short term gains! It’s so easy to make money in this economy it’s silly.

How? You can’t know and market swings enormously both ways.

It's easy to lose money, but easy to make money too.

So you just take big swings and so far have gotten lucky. That is true.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I wonder how much of the steadiness/calming is regular institutional buying related to retirement accounts. There has to be a huge chunk of cash heading into the markets every day as folks automatically contribute to their 401Ks. I just don't know how huge that is.

Index funds have to keep buying, Michael Burry talks about this.

Only as long as young people are saving more than old people are selling.

Haven’t you noticed all the articles revising people’s bond to stock ratio — it used to be you should stocks % = 100 - age , but hand waving living longer and low interest rates, people should stay in stocks 20 or more years longer (120 - age) etc.

That will goose things quite a bit, and of course if they die with the stocks in tact the children in inherit will keep it in stocks as well.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I wonder how much of the steadiness/calming is regular institutional buying related to retirement accounts. There has to be a huge chunk of cash heading into the markets every day as folks automatically contribute to their 401Ks. I just don't know how huge that is.

Index funds have to keep buying, Michael Burry talks about this.

Only as long as young people are saving more than old people are selling.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:No idea, but there has never been a better opportunity for short term gains! It’s so easy to make money in this economy it’s silly.

How? You can’t know and market swings enormously both ways.

It's easy to lose money, but easy to make money too.

Anonymous wrote:These investment analysts assumed the US Military had an active plan to open the Strait of Hormuz, because any normal country who invaded Iran would have one.

The analysts are as stupid as the Executive.

Valuations dpmt reflect current reality. They reflect weighted average of possible futures. The volatility you are seeing isn't the market bouncing from best to worst perceived reality. It's the market bouncing between 10% chance and 60% chance of worst case happening in future..

These investment analysts assumed the US Military had an active plan to open the Strait of Hormuz, because any normal country who invaded Iran would have one.

The answer is that the market isn’t driven by facts so much as the headline