Anonymous
Post 02/08/2026 18:19     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

MAGA may try to spin this as the R's split the vote but together they didn't even hit 45%.


Yeah, it's still an 18 point overperformance.
Anonymous
Post 02/08/2026 16:38     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Anonymous wrote:

MAGA may try to spin this as the R's split the vote but together they didn't even hit 45%.
Anonymous
Post 02/08/2026 13:52     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Anonymous
Post 02/08/2026 00:05     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Anonymous
Post 02/07/2026 23:55     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread

Considering that Trump’s behavior is only going to become more unhinged going forward I’d cautiously say that the Democrats should be in good shape for the midterms.
Anonymous
Post 02/07/2026 22:58     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Anonymous wrote:Democrats successfully defended a conservative seat in rural Louisiana on Saturday night, as Chasity Martinez defeated Republican Brad Daigle by a dominant 62-38 margin—a massive 37-point overperformance compared to the 2024 presidential result.

Republicans had hoped to score their first legislative pickup of any kind during Donald Trump’s second term, and they had good reason to think they might succeed in the 60th House District.

Voters in the district, which includes part of Assumption and Iberville parishes (Louisiana’s equivalent of counties), had long backed state and local Democrats but had moved decidedly toward Republicans on the federal level in recent years.

https://bsky.app/profile/the-downballot.com/post/3mecxssrsfk2a


That the seat is open due to the republican governor appointing the former democratic rep to a state job, expecting to flip the seat, makes it so much funnier.
Anonymous
Post 02/07/2026 22:57     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Since Trump's return, here are the total # of legislative seats each party has flipped:

Democrats: 26
Republicans: zero

But special elections don’t tell us anything /s

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JGk1r1VXnxBrAIVHz1C5HTB5jxCO6Zw4QNPivdhyWHw/htmlview#gid=858741099
Anonymous
Post 02/07/2026 22:52     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread

If this Louisiana seat on a Trump +13 district isn't a red flag for the GOP, I don't know what is.
Anonymous
Post 02/07/2026 22:48     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Democrats successfully defended a conservative seat in rural Louisiana on Saturday night, as Chasity Martinez defeated Republican Brad Daigle by a dominant 62-38 margin—a massive 37-point overperformance compared to the 2024 presidential result.

Republicans had hoped to score their first legislative pickup of any kind during Donald Trump’s second term, and they had good reason to think they might succeed in the 60th House District.

Voters in the district, which includes part of Assumption and Iberville parishes (Louisiana’s equivalent of counties), had long backed state and local Democrats but had moved decidedly toward Republicans on the federal level in recent years.

https://bsky.app/profile/the-downballot.com/post/3mecxssrsfk2a
Anonymous
Post 02/06/2026 11:11     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

This bang on, my kid goes to college in that district and I have a lot of friends who live there - one of them has a BIL who was one of the lesser candidates.
Anonymous
Post 02/06/2026 09:47     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Anonymous wrote:No idea what happened there. Let’s try this again.

Wealthy suburban district elects a Bernie / AOC endorsed candidate who ran on “abolish ice“ tells you everything you need to know With the country is right now.


To be fair, AIPAC got involved and it quelled support for Tom Malinosky, who was the moderate Dem in the race.
Anonymous
Post 02/06/2026 09:40     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

Anonymous wrote:No idea what happened there. Let’s try this again.

Wealthy suburban district elects a Bernie / AOC endorsed candidate who ran on “abolish ice“ tells you everything you need to know With the country is right now.


Trump has radicalized every normal person against the billionaire class bent of destroying this country
Anonymous
Post 02/06/2026 09:34     Subject: Re:2026 Special Elections Thread

No idea what happened there. Let’s try this again.

Wealthy suburban district elects a Bernie / AOC endorsed candidate who ran on “abolish ice“ tells you everything you need to know With the country is right now.
Anonymous
Post 02/06/2026 09:33     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread

Anonymous wrote:^^^ Decision Desk called this for Malinowski hours ago but he lost.

Wealthy suburban district elects a Bernie we should go / AOC endorsed candidate who ran on “abolish ice“ tells you everything you need to know With the country is right now.
Anonymous
Post 02/05/2026 23:07     Subject: 2026 Special Elections Thread

^^^ Decision Desk called this for Malinowski hours ago but he lost.