Georgia is beginning to move more firmly towards Biden.

Anonymous wrote:

With that turnout so far, I’m really curious to see what happens.

Anonymous wrote:89-10 on 538 this morning.

it says 89-11 right now.

89-10 on 538 this morning.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:its basically over, nobodyy changing at this point

Fat lady ain't singing yet.

Fat man doing a lot of whining, though.

And disgracing YMCA.

They should use him in public service ads about what happens to people who don't go.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:its basically over, nobodyy changing at this point

Fat lady ain't singing yet.

Fat man doing a lot of whining, though.

And disgracing YMCA.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:its basically over, nobodyy changing at this point

Fat lady ain't singing yet.

Fat man doing a lot of whining, though.

I was on travel and did not update in the last few days...that makes me see how some of these polls changed in a week.

UPDATED 538 poll data for 10/28/20: - updates are in Plum

Alaska: B-43.2%, T- 49.9%; T+6.6 Trump gained a point
Missouri: B-44.6%, T- 51.3%; T+6.7 Trump gained almost 1/2 a point
Montana: B-45.1%, T- 50.7%; T+5.6 Trump lost 2.5 points
Nebraska: B-44.2%, T- 50.4%; T+6.2 Trump lost slightly more than 1 point
Ohio: B-46.3%, T- 48.1%; B+1.8 Trump gained 1.5 points
South Carolina: B-43.5%, T- 51.4%; T+7.9 Trump gained by .3 points
Texas: B-46.3%, T- 48.2%; T+1.8 Trump gained almost 1 point


Arizona: B-49.0%, T- 45.3%; B+3.7 Nothing changed
Florida: B-48.7%, T- 47.3%; B+1.4 Biden lost 2 points
Georgia: B-48.2%, T- 46.8%; B+1.4 Biden gained about a point
Iowa: B-47.7%, T- 46.1%; B+1.6 Biden gained 1/2 point
Michigan: B-50.6%, T- 42.7%; B+7.9 Nothing Changed
Nevada: B-49.7%, T- 43.5%; B+6.2 Biden lost .3 point
North Carolina: B-49.1%, T- 47.0%; B+2.1 Biden lost 1 point
Pennsylvania: B-50.2%, T- 45.1%; B+5.1 Biden lost slightly more than 1 point
Wisconsin: B-51.7%, T- 43.2%; B+8.4 Biden gained almost 2 points

I think it’s going to be the 2008 map plus Arizona for Biden. Everyone already voted for Biden back then and they’ll do it again.

Last Marquette poll before the election

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:its basically over, nobodyy changing at this point

Fat lady ain't singing yet.

Fat man doing a lot of whining, though.

This is something

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:538 7 minutes ago

Biden 88

Trump 11

Tie 1

Is there a way to see their numbers for HRC at this point in 2016?

I have this bookmarked and refer to it frequently: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Also real clear politics shows Biden's position in battleground states relative to HRCs. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states-2020-vs-2016/, he was lagging until this week but now is better positioned than she was (though not in all states: About halfway down this page you can see where she was polling at this time in 2016 in key states: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html.)

^^TLDR: to answer your specific question, on 11/2/16 (6 days before the election) it was HRC 67.7, Trump 32.2.