Anonymous wrote:R's are playing ballot shenanigans in Allegheny County (Pittsburgh). They are already undermining the PA results.

My friend and her husband had a hell of a time voting in Pittsburgh. Requested absentee ballots- never arrived. Called and requested replacement absentee ballots- never arrived. Finally decided the only way to get their votes in was to go early, wait on a long line, and vote in person. What is all that about? 4 ballots that should have been mailed never arrived.

Anonymous wrote:R's are playing ballot shenanigans in Allegheny County (Pittsburgh). They are already undermining the PA results.

LINk?

Don’t pay attention to individual polls.

For everyone who says the polls were soo00 wrong in 2016:


So, this is a poll from this time in the election in Michigan, after Comey blindsided Clinton.


https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/04/free-press-poll-donald-trump-gains-hillary-clinton-race-michigan-tightens/93287658/

Clinton's lead had dropped to 4 points, with 12 percent undercided. It was within the margin of error, and Trump won Michigan by about 10,000 votes.


Here's a poll from today.
https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/10/27/group-voters-powering-joe-biden-lead-over-trump-michigan/6050358002/

with Biden up 8 points, with 7 points undecided.

I am more concerned about GOP shenanigans than anything else.

Anonymous wrote:Biden’s not doing all that great in Pennsylvania. Nate Silver has an analysis out today. He’s only 5 points up there, so if the polls are off like they were in 2016 Trump has a very real shot in PA.

Well the polls can be off in either direction. The current average is getting dragged down by one InsiderAdvantage poll that has Trump up 3 points. That poll is sponsored by the "Center for American Greatness", a right-leaning media company. Every other poll in the 538 average has Biden up by 5+ points. Could this be a case like 2016 where the one right-wing pollster had it right? Sure. But remember these pollsters are like a broken clock - it's correct twice a day. Maybe 2020 is that day. Probably not.

Anonymous wrote:Did the debate comments drag Biden down in PA?

No.

Everyone understands we need to transform our country to a green energy economy. It is HOW we do it that matters. Trump and the GOP would rather cater to fossil fuel interests. I don't think there are 150,000 front line fossile fuel workers in the US right now - mostly in TX, OK, ND and some in PA.

We need to ramp up having the drillers morph to geothermal and expand solar and wind power. We need to being a robust transformation of gas filling stations to charging stations.

Etc.

R's are playing ballot shenanigans in Allegheny County (Pittsburgh). They are already undermining the PA results.

Anonymous wrote:Pretty much every news outlet, including Fox, are saying this is Biden's unless a major upset. Trump has no chance.

The problem is the Democrats have never had a problem snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

Nobody better be complacent, even now. If you haven't voted, do it now -- and it's too late to do with any certainty by mail. Help other vote. Keep momentum going.

Did the debate comments drag Biden down in PA?

Anonymous wrote:Pretty much every news outlet, including Fox, are saying this is Biden's unless a major upset. Trump has no chance.

Trump has about a 20% chance. In 2016, it was a 36% chance. Until is is a 1% or 0% chance, we fight hard, we get everyone to vote, we phone bank and volunteer at the polls etc.

Anonymous wrote:Biden’s not doing all that great in Pennsylvania. Nate Silver has an analysis out today. He’s only 5 points up there, so if the polls are off like they were in 2016 Trump has a very real shot in PA.

Trump needs a bigger error than 2016 to win.

Anonymous wrote:Pretty much every news outlet, including Fox, are saying this is Biden's unless a major upset. Trump has no chance.

No, a major upset is a chance.

Pretty much every news outlet, including Fox, are saying this is Biden's unless a major upset. Trump has no chance.

Biden’s not doing all that great in Pennsylvania. Nate Silver has an analysis out today. He’s only 5 points up there, so if the polls are off like they were in 2016 Trump has a very real shot in PA.