Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 10:39     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Now the NH Union Leader is endorsing Klobuchar -- is that their way of choosing the candidate most like Biden but not 1,000 years old?
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 10:13     Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:



Wow. The NYT endorsement is so influential these days
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 10:09     Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:


Random nobodies are political science majors now? Who cares about what poll takers think will be “the most electable” candidate or who they think will motivate the base or attract independents? Just tell us who you like and leave the pontificating to someone else.
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 09:54     Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 08:56     Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Biden, Sanders, or Warren. Any one of these three guarantees a Trump victory in Nov. Come on Dems, nominate someone that isn’t either senile or way off the left deep end. Give us swing voters someone to get behind. I am not voting for Trump, but won’t vote for one of those three either.


No, it’s voters like you, who’ll sit out unless their perfect candidate is on the ballot, who will guarantee that Trump wins. I don’t like Bernie at all, but I’m voting for him if he’s the candidate against Trump at the end.
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 08:36     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:

Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%


I’m going with this poll being trash.

Based on what? No poll has shown that more than 45% of Americans want Trump to be president again.


I’m more weird with the way different D candidates stack up relatively then I am about Trump’s relatively stable numbers here. I’m guessing there’s sample size issues, sampling bias, and questions that are ordered/designed to prompt a particular response. Bloomberg’s popularity is the reddest flag, IMO.

Here’s the whole thing if you want to take a look.
https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/01/22/rel1b.-.2020.pdf


Also buried in here - CNN asked if Democrats would feel enthusiastic-or-satisfied, vs. dissatisfied-or-upset, if a candidate won the nomination.

Biden: 72% vs 26% (upset: 9%)
Sanders: 77% vs 23% (upset: 10%)
Warren: 72% vs 24% (upset: 7%)

Seems as if the Dems aren't in as much disarray as they seem.


Biden, Sanders, or Warren. Any one of these three guarantees a Trump victory in Nov. Come on Dems, nominate someone that isn’t either senile or way off the left deep end. Give us swing voters someone to get behind. I am not voting for Trump, but won’t vote for one of those three either.


Lemme guess - it's Yang or bust?
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 08:33     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:

Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%


I’m going with this poll being trash.

Based on what? No poll has shown that more than 45% of Americans want Trump to be president again.


I’m more weird with the way different D candidates stack up relatively then I am about Trump’s relatively stable numbers here. I’m guessing there’s sample size issues, sampling bias, and questions that are ordered/designed to prompt a particular response. Bloomberg’s popularity is the reddest flag, IMO.

Here’s the whole thing if you want to take a look.
https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/01/22/rel1b.-.2020.pdf


Also buried in here - CNN asked if Democrats would feel enthusiastic-or-satisfied, vs. dissatisfied-or-upset, if a candidate won the nomination.

Biden: 72% vs 26% (upset: 9%)
Sanders: 77% vs 23% (upset: 10%)
Warren: 72% vs 24% (upset: 7%)

Seems as if the Dems aren't in as much disarray as they seem.


Biden, Sanders, or Warren. Any one of these three guarantees a Trump victory in Nov. Come on Dems, nominate someone that isn’t either senile or way off the left deep end. Give us swing voters someone to get behind. I am not voting for Trump, but won’t vote for one of those three either.
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 07:56     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I cannot understand how ANYONE in our military services can support this president.

Propaganda can really do a number on people’s ability to think critically.


Nothing new here at all. The world has always been broken.
Anonymous
Post 01/26/2020 07:43     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:I cannot understand how ANYONE in our military services can support this president.

Propaganda can really do a number on people’s ability to think critically.
Anonymous
Post 01/25/2020 22:48     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:I cannot understand how ANYONE in our military services can support this president.


Especially the ones with headaches.
Anonymous
Post 01/25/2020 22:45     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
I cannot understand how ANYONE in our military services can support this president.
Anonymous
Post 01/25/2020 21:41     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Damn.
Anonymous
Post 01/22/2020 23:36     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:

Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%


I’m going with this poll being trash.

Based on what? No poll has shown that more than 45% of Americans want Trump to be president again.


I’m more weird with the way different D candidates stack up relatively then I am about Trump’s relatively stable numbers here. I’m guessing there’s sample size issues, sampling bias, and questions that are ordered/designed to prompt a particular response. Bloomberg’s popularity is the reddest flag, IMO.

Here’s the whole thing if you want to take a look.
https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/01/22/rel1b.-.2020.pdf


Also buried in here - CNN asked if Democrats would feel enthusiastic-or-satisfied, vs. dissatisfied-or-upset, if a candidate won the nomination.

Biden: 72% vs 26% (upset: 9%)
Sanders: 77% vs 23% (upset: 10%)
Warren: 72% vs 24% (upset: 7%)

Seems as if the Dems aren't in as much disarray as they seem.
Anonymous
Post 01/22/2020 18:40     Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:From Baldwin Wallace's Great Lakes Poll, which surveyed 4000+ registered voters in MI/OH/PA/WI.



https://www.bw.edu/centers/community-research-institute/2020-great-lakes-poll/


Not surprising. WI has a very strong history of supporting socialist candidates and parties - WI sent the first Socialist to Congress and Social-Democrat party controlled Milwaukee for decades in the first half of 20th century.


Marquette Law School had Biden up 4 in Wisconsin:

Biden 23%
Sanders 19%
Buttigieg 15%
Warren 14%
Yang 6%

This poll is probably more accurate than Baldwin Wallace.
Anonymous
Post 01/22/2020 18:26     Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:

Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%


I’m going with this poll being trash.

Based on what? No poll has shown that more than 45% of Americans want Trump to be president again.


I’m more weird with the way different D candidates stack up relatively then I am about Trump’s relatively stable numbers here. I’m guessing there’s sample size issues, sampling bias, and questions that are ordered/designed to prompt a particular response. Bloomberg’s popularity is the reddest flag, IMO.

I think you underestimate how much money Bloomberg has spent on advertising.


I don’t underestimate how much he’s spent, but I *might* have underestimated the spending’s yield in gaining favor.