Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:This is the website I go to when I want some hope![]()
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html
Wow I've never seen this before! Thank you!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:New York state has the lowest rate of transmission than any other state in the nation, as of Friday. Pretty amazing how far they have come! Hope for other parts of the uS! 🙏🏻
Once virus runs its course, this is what happens.
But the interesting thing is that about, what? 20%% of New Yorkers have had covid or test positive for antibodies? There is increasing support for the theory that "herd immunity" doesn't require a 60% infection rate (also, see Italy). It also makes me wonder if there is something to the idea that approximately 40% of the population has T-cell immunity through infection from other coronaviruses.
New York's high death rate is largely due to doing a lousy (I would say criminally negligent) job of protecting nursing home residents, and other hospital management issues.
This was posted on another thread, but this paper has data on death risk by age group. If we focus on protecting the vulnerable, the risk to healthy younger people is low.
https://medium.com/wintoncentre/what-have-been-the-fatal-risks-of-covid-particularly-to-children-and-younger-adults-a5cbf7060c49
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:US and Virginia test positivity rate both below 5% on average over the past week.
As PP noted, deaths continue to trend down even though cases are up. Some of the increased cases are due to reopening, but a lot are still due to increased testing.
Watch the positivity rates and don't trust statistic that's not at least a 7-day average. These numbers bounce around a lot over the course of a week.
DCs positivity rate has been under 3% recently. I’ve seen a few stories how hospitalizations and deaths continue to decrease in most (not all) areas even if cases are going up. I’m curious about this trend and I’m sure we need to wait a few more weeks to see, but there has been speculation the virus is losing some virility. Or there is just less viral load (perhaps due to distancing, masks, outdoor activities). I’m praying for the former scenario as it would make our fall/winter outlook a whole lot better.
Anonymous wrote:US and Virginia test positivity rate both below 5% on average over the past week.
As PP noted, deaths continue to trend down even though cases are up. Some of the increased cases are due to reopening, but a lot are still due to increased testing.
Watch the positivity rates and don't trust statistic that's not at least a 7-day average. These numbers bounce around a lot over the course of a week.
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:This is the website I go to when I want some hope![]()
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:A new drug really works on covid - and it is cheap and available :
Dexamethasone is a life-saving coronavirus drug https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-53061281
It's a common steroid. They found it only helps seriously ill patients already on supportive oxygen or a vent. I can't imagine this isn't already standard treatment in the US for patients in the ICU.
https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1272877907036311554?s=20
Also, media:. Please emphasize solid RCT data shows no dexamethasone benefit to people not on respiratory support. Not useful till people need ventilator or oxygen. No logic to hoarding or prophylactic use. Corticosteroids suppress the immune system. Not to be taken willy-nilly.