Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:New York state has the lowest rate of transmission than any other state in the nation, as of Friday. Pretty amazing how far they have come! Hope for other parts of the uS! 🙏🏻
Once virus runs its course, this is what happens.
But the interesting thing is that about, what? 20%% of New Yorkers have had covid or test positive for antibodies? There is increasing support for the theory that "herd immunity" doesn't require a 60% infection rate (also, see Italy). It also makes me wonder if there is something to the idea that approximately 40% of the population has T-cell immunity through infection from other coronaviruses.
New York's high death rate is largely due to doing a lousy (I would say criminally negligent) job of protecting nursing home residents, and other hospital management issues.
This was posted on another thread, but this paper has data on death risk by age group. If we focus on protecting the vulnerable, the risk to healthy younger people is low.
https://medium.com/wintoncentre/what-have-been-the-fatal-risks-of-covid-particularly-to-children-and-younger-adults-a5cbf7060c49