Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:52     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If nv and az stay blue, ga is an afterthought as the Dems will have hit 50

If nv flips, then the runoff is what determines senate control

I cannot believe walker is this close, though. There are a LOT of deeply stupid people out there


AZ is red. NV is blue. GA is the lynchpin again.


Um, I think you aren’t looking at the actual votes…


Yeah, this is the least likely outcome. If NV and AZ spit, it will be NV red and AZ blue.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:52     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Can AZ hurry up? Why is the vote count still stuck at 76%?


Better to get it all done at once, instead of trickling out.

In 2020, as Trump’s lead shrank more and more, people started congregating with guns at the election office’s in AZ. In short, as they realized Trump was losing they got more riled up.

Doing it in one fell swoop is probably safer.


There are tens of thousands of mail-in ballots that were not mailed-in but instead were taken to the polling place on Election Day. Each envelope has to go through signature verification in front of observers before the ballot can be added to the count. There are an unusual number of these in both Arizona and Nevada. Maybe people didn’t mail them because Republicans were threatening to try to invalidate dropbox and mailed ballots, but they didn’t want to stand in long lines, so they delivered the envelopes to their precinct.


But this is the same thing that happened in 2020. Arizona was taking a week to count mail-in ballots while every other state including PA and GA got through theirs overnight. Even Alaska locked in snow wasn’t this slow. What gives?


You didn’t read what I wrote. These weren’t mailed so signatures were not verified already. These were delivered on Election Day and each one has to be verified. The verification is slow, not the counting.


They need to pass a bill to fix that pronto. They know its a problem. No other state has this issue. 2024 is coming.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:51     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If nv and az stay blue, ga is an afterthought as the Dems will have hit 50

If nv flips, then the runoff is what determines senate control

I cannot believe walker is this close, though. There are a LOT of deeply stupid people out there


AZ is red. NV is blue. GA is the lynchpin again.


Um, I think you aren’t looking at the actual votes…


Sorry - coffee. Switched NV and AZ. Concept same.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:49     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Can AZ hurry up? Why is the vote count still stuck at 76%?


Better to get it all done at once, instead of trickling out.

In 2020, as Trump’s lead shrank more and more, people started congregating with guns at the election office’s in AZ. In short, as they realized Trump was losing they got more riled up.

Doing it in one fell swoop is probably safer.


That's not actually how it happened in AZ. Biden had an initial very large lead, and then the counting of the election day drop-off vote narrowed Biden's lead considerably. Trump never had the lead in AZ. It was the opposite of how it went down in PA.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:47     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Can AZ hurry up? Why is the vote count still stuck at 76%?


Better to get it all done at once, instead of trickling out.

In 2020, as Trump’s lead shrank more and more, people started congregating with guns at the election office’s in AZ. In short, as they realized Trump was losing they got more riled up.

Doing it in one fell swoop is probably safer.


There are tens of thousands of mail-in ballots that were not mailed-in but instead were taken to the polling place on Election Day. Each envelope has to go through signature verification in front of observers before the ballot can be added to the count. There are an unusual number of these in both Arizona and Nevada. Maybe people didn’t mail them because Republicans were threatening to try to invalidate dropbox and mailed ballots, but they didn’t want to stand in long lines, so they delivered the envelopes to their precinct.


But this is the same thing that happened in 2020. Arizona was taking a week to count mail-in ballots while every other state including PA and GA got through theirs overnight. Even Alaska locked in snow wasn’t this slow. What gives?


You didn’t read what I wrote. These weren’t mailed so signatures were not verified already. These were delivered on Election Day and each one has to be verified. The verification is slow, not the counting.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:44     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
It is highly likely CCM and Kelly retain their seats, meaning the GA race will not decide control of the Senate.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:43     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If nv and az stay blue, ga is an afterthought as the Dems will have hit 50

If nv flips, then the runoff is what determines senate control

I cannot believe walker is this close, though. There are a LOT of deeply stupid people out there


AZ is red. NV is blue. GA is the lynchpin again.


Um, I think you aren’t looking at the actual votes…
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:42     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:If nv and az stay blue, ga is an afterthought as the Dems will have hit 50

If nv flips, then the runoff is what determines senate control

I cannot believe walker is this close, though. There are a LOT of deeply stupid people out there


AZ is red. NV is blue. GA is the lynchpin again.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:41     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Can AZ hurry up? Why is the vote count still stuck at 76%?


Better to get it all done at once, instead of trickling out.

In 2020, as Trump’s lead shrank more and more, people started congregating with guns at the election office’s in AZ. In short, as they realized Trump was losing they got more riled up.

Doing it in one fell swoop is probably safer.


There are tens of thousands of mail-in ballots that were not mailed-in but instead were taken to the polling place on Election Day. Each envelope has to go through signature verification in front of observers before the ballot can be added to the count. There are an unusual number of these in both Arizona and Nevada. Maybe people didn’t mail them because Republicans were threatening to try to invalidate dropbox and mailed ballots, but they didn’t want to stand in long lines, so they delivered the envelopes to their precinct.


But this is the same thing that happened in 2020. Arizona was taking a week to count mail-in ballots while every other state including PA and GA got through theirs overnight. Even Alaska locked in snow wasn’t this slow. What gives?
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:40     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Can AZ hurry up? Why is the vote count still stuck at 76%?


There was a big drop last night that pushed it up from 69% (and widened both Kelly's and Hobbs' lead). It's all mail and drop-off ballots at this point, and the early numbers indicate those are Dem friendly. There will be another big drop tonight and if Kelly goes over a 100k lead, I think he's got it in in the bag.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:39     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:If nv and az stay blue, ga is an afterthought as the Dems will have hit 50

If nv flips, then the runoff is what determines senate control

I cannot believe walker is this close, though. There are a LOT of deeply stupid people out there


Walker is an utter degenerate and most GA Republicans has no issue with pulling the lever for him.

It’s absurd.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:38     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Can AZ hurry up? Why is the vote count still stuck at 76%?


Better to get it all done at once, instead of trickling out.

In 2020, as Trump’s lead shrank more and more, people started congregating with guns at the election office’s in AZ. In short, as they realized Trump was losing they got more riled up.

Doing it in one fell swoop is probably safer.


There are tens of thousands of mail-in ballots that were not mailed-in but instead were taken to the polling place on Election Day. Each envelope has to go through signature verification in front of observers before the ballot can be added to the count. There are an unusual number of these in both Arizona and Nevada. Maybe people didn’t mail them because Republicans were threatening to try to invalidate dropbox and mailed ballots, but they didn’t want to stand in long lines, so they delivered the envelopes to their precinct.


Makes sense. AZ and NV also have the long post-election arrival dates for military and overseas ballots. Given the close nature of the race, those ballots may be consequential.

These races won’t be called until next week.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:37     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
If nv and az stay blue, ga is an afterthought as the Dems will have hit 50

If nv flips, then the runoff is what determines senate control

I cannot believe walker is this close, though. There are a LOT of deeply stupid people out there
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:32     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Can AZ hurry up? Why is the vote count still stuck at 76%?


Better to get it all done at once, instead of trickling out.

In 2020, as Trump’s lead shrank more and more, people started congregating with guns at the election office’s in AZ. In short, as they realized Trump was losing they got more riled up.

Doing it in one fell swoop is probably safer.


There are tens of thousands of mail-in ballots that were not mailed-in but instead were taken to the polling place on Election Day. Each envelope has to go through signature verification in front of observers before the ballot can be added to the count. There are an unusual number of these in both Arizona and Nevada. Maybe people didn’t mail them because Republicans were threatening to try to invalidate dropbox and mailed ballots, but they didn’t want to stand in long lines, so they delivered the envelopes to their precinct.
Anonymous
Post 11/10/2022 08:08     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
CCM closing the gap in Nevada, still 10s of thousands to count