Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 16:46     Subject: We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Here's a peer-reviewed one, to make you happy.

https://www.planetizen.com/news/2021/05/113269-new-developments-lower-rents-surrounding-neighborhoods-study-says

People here need an Econ lesson, I think.

The idea that *not* building will save us from high rents is laughable. Please go to San Francisco and see how that's working for them. LOL.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 16:38     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:



I think it is a combination of astroturfing for developers, as you say (they have refused to reveal their funders but have a lot of developers on their Board), but also just extremely motivated self-interest. People in their 20s want cheaper apartments to rent and think allowing developers to build thousands of units of Studio "luxury" apartments will somehow make their apartment cheaper because "economics".


Well yes, without those luxury units, the people who moved in there would have needed another place to stay. Perhaps they room up with someone else instead, or other options, but they would be providing competition for the available apartments.

Those luxury units also have a price effects on existing rental stock which drives the price of those units higher. This is how gentrification works. You really need to read past the Freshman level textbooks folks.
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/mdavidson/files/2012/02/Davidson-Lees-2010-New-Build-Gentrification.pdf


God, this is just so incorrect. Have you owned a rental before? Jesus. You can't raise rent if there are 20 people in line for your apartment.

https://www.upjohn.org/research-highlights/new-apartment-buildings-low-income-areas-decrease-nearby-rents


Imagine thinking non-peer reviewed “policy briefs” prove your point. If we want to include non-peer reviewed research then enjoy.
https://www.cura.umn.edu/research/research/build-baby-build-housing-submarkets-and-effects-new-construction-existing-rents

Net effect is driving up rent on lower priced units while reducing price on comparable rent units.


Lol, that paper sponsored by mhponline.org.

Try again.

Simple fact is this. Georgetown hasn't built any housing, yet is the most expensive area in DC. We've adding 100,000 people to the city over the years, and for certain have not built that much housing over that time. Additionally, prices went down all across the region during COVID (supply and demand much?)

Finally, your solution (banning market rate housing because "evil developers") is nonsense. What happens to the 1000 (mostly middle income) people moving here every month? Do they live on the streets? Please, think about how silly your idea is and how it just doesn't work, at all.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 15:59     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:Lots of NIMBYs here don't understand that DC continues to underbuild housing compared to job and population growth.

Wonder why rents continue to climb?


"New housing causes rents to go up". LOL. That's rich. Tell that to georgetown, which hasn't seen a new unit of housing in 200 years.


The 'NIMBYs' in this thread disagree that "We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes." since there are currently homes available inside the beltway in this super-hot maket at <400K for SFHs and <200K for condos.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 15:54     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
However, I must continue to repeat myself, you do not have a right to buy property anywhere you want to at the price you want to pay.


And you don’t have a right over another person’s property. Up zoning just gives your neighbor a choice of SFH or more dense housing. If they want to build a triplex, that’s their right.


Why are you so interested in destroying SFH neighborhoods?? If I buy a house in neighborhood of SFHs, that is what I want in a neighborhood. No, I do not want to live in a neighborhood of SFHs, duplexes, triplexes, etc. Otherwise, I live elsewhere. And, in the DMV, I have options. Guess who pays the taxes. Those in the larger SFHs. Note also that, while DC may be growing now, it has not always, and its growth rate is actually slowing. DC still has not returned to its 1950 level when over 800K people lived in DC. In 2000, DC was as low as 572K, at a time when the DMV was booming. DC has plenty of space to build residential housing. The only folks pushing upzoning are smaller developers, plus those who wish to change the character of other people's neighborhoods.

It’s all projection. They claim that you should not be able to control others but at the same time they want to force everyone to live the way they want them to and they want to make every neighborhood the way they want it. They are trying to eliminate consumer choice. It’s a very egocentric and dictatorial perspective that they have.


You can't actually believe your own nonsense can you? You know how foolish you look and this is just the last straw you've grasped at to be able to justify your insane, selfish views, right?

Because right now, you're saying the side that wants to give property owners the right to CHOOSE what to build on their property, that wants to give consumers the right to CHOOSE to live in multifamily, duplex, or rowhouse housing in more neighborhoods is the anti-choice side because they want to, what? Take away your right to tell other people what other people do with their property? Nobody is forcing you to do anything. If you don't want multifamily housing on your property, don't build it, it's that simple. The only thing we want to "force" you to do is accept that things change, neighborhoods need to evolve to serve growing and changing populations, and the world does not revolve around you, all concepts which adults already understand. Sorry for your arrested development, maybe with some effort and introspection someday you'll mature, start growing as a person, and catch up with the rest of us.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 14:36     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:



I think it is a combination of astroturfing for developers, as you say (they have refused to reveal their funders but have a lot of developers on their Board), but also just extremely motivated self-interest. People in their 20s want cheaper apartments to rent and think allowing developers to build thousands of units of Studio "luxury" apartments will somehow make their apartment cheaper because "economics".


Well yes, without those luxury units, the people who moved in there would have needed another place to stay. Perhaps they room up with someone else instead, or other options, but they would be providing competition for the available apartments.

Those luxury units also have a price effects on existing rental stock which drives the price of those units higher. This is how gentrification works. You really need to read past the Freshman level textbooks folks.
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/mdavidson/files/2012/02/Davidson-Lees-2010-New-Build-Gentrification.pdf


God, this is just so incorrect. Have you owned a rental before? Jesus. You can't raise rent if there are 20 people in line for your apartment.

https://www.upjohn.org/research-highlights/new-apartment-buildings-low-income-areas-decrease-nearby-rents


Imagine thinking non-peer reviewed “policy briefs” prove your point. If we want to include non-peer reviewed research then enjoy.
https://www.cura.umn.edu/research/research/build-baby-build-housing-submarkets-and-effects-new-construction-existing-rents

Net effect is driving up rent on lower priced units while reducing price on comparable rent units.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 14:05     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:



I think it is a combination of astroturfing for developers, as you say (they have refused to reveal their funders but have a lot of developers on their Board), but also just extremely motivated self-interest. People in their 20s want cheaper apartments to rent and think allowing developers to build thousands of units of Studio "luxury" apartments will somehow make their apartment cheaper because "economics".


Well yes, without those luxury units, the people who moved in there would have needed another place to stay. Perhaps they room up with someone else instead, or other options, but they would be providing competition for the available apartments.

Those luxury units also have a price effects on existing rental stock which drives the price of those units higher. This is how gentrification works. You really need to read past the Freshman level textbooks folks.
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/mdavidson/files/2012/02/Davidson-Lees-2010-New-Build-Gentrification.pdf


Or, the provide a place for rich people to live, instead of displacing others?

hmmmm.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 13:58     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Lots of NIMBYs here don't understand that DC continues to underbuild housing compared to job and population growth.

Wonder why rents continue to climb?


"New housing causes rents to go up". LOL. That's rich. Tell that to georgetown, which hasn't seen a new unit of housing in 200 years.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 13:56     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:



I think it is a combination of astroturfing for developers, as you say (they have refused to reveal their funders but have a lot of developers on their Board), but also just extremely motivated self-interest. People in their 20s want cheaper apartments to rent and think allowing developers to build thousands of units of Studio "luxury" apartments will somehow make their apartment cheaper because "economics".


Well yes, without those luxury units, the people who moved in there would have needed another place to stay. Perhaps they room up with someone else instead, or other options, but they would be providing competition for the available apartments.

Those luxury units also have a price effects on existing rental stock which drives the price of those units higher. This is how gentrification works. You really need to read past the Freshman level textbooks folks.
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/mdavidson/files/2012/02/Davidson-Lees-2010-New-Build-Gentrification.pdf


God, this is just so incorrect. Have you owned a rental before? Jesus. You can't raise rent if there are 20 people in line for your apartment.

https://www.upjohn.org/research-highlights/new-apartment-buildings-low-income-areas-decrease-nearby-rents

Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 13:53     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:So tired of these threads getting derailed by NIMBYs in upper NW who are convinced that the whole conversation is about middle class people who are bitter that they can't afford a SFH in Cleveland Park. We don't even want to live there! I don't care about your house. I mean, from a policy perspective, I think we should up zone large swaths of NW DC, especially along major thoroughfares, but not because I personally want to live there -- just because a lot of that part of town is underutilized for no good reason.

But when I say "we need more housing in DC, both affordable low income housing and affordable middle income housing), I'm mostly thinking about, like Michigan Park, Brookland, Kingman Park, SE waterfront east of Navy Yard, and Wards 7 and 8. Like I'm not heavily invested in making sure people can get into "the Wilson triangle" or whatever. We just genuinely need more housing (both rental and owned) that is affordable to people who make less than 100k a year, or even 150k a year increasingly, because we need somewhere for teachers, firefighters, restaurant workers, small business owners, etc. to live. We're not talking about colonize your little enclave in CCDC. We're just saying there is simply insufficient inventory in DC to provide housing to people at all income levels, and that's bad for the city.

Everyone saying, "then go where the housing is cheaper" is being disingenuous. It's one thing for a middle income couple with a couple kids to say "Yeah, let's move to Odenton - more space, decent schools, less expensive." That's fine and that will always happen. But that can't be your entire housing plan, lol. Especially not in DC where traffic gets worse everyday and people are super short sighted about public transit. I mean, it's barely working in NYC, but at least public transit there can handle bringing most of the low and middle income workers in from outer boroughs and suburbs every day. DC's infrastructure can't do that, full stop.

If you think the answer to lack of housing in DC is "move outside the city" then I hope you are also in favor of vastly expanding the metro system and investing in other rail and transit options. But usually the same people who don't want to increase density also think that answer to traffic and congestion is just more Easy Pass lanes.

It's like talking to very small children, honestly.


Then, go build more housing in Wards 7 and 8. Residents in those Wards have complained (fairly and with good reason) for decades about the lack of investment in those Wards. So, let the DC govt invest in those Wards aggressively so those Wards are more attractive for current and future residents. You can either try to crowd everyone into the Wilson district or you can improve other school districts. Latter is a preferred approach.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 13:51     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
However, I must continue to repeat myself, you do not have a right to buy property anywhere you want to at the price you want to pay.


And you don’t have a right over another person’s property. Up zoning just gives your neighbor a choice of SFH or more dense housing. If they want to build a triplex, that’s their right.


Why are you so interested in destroying SFH neighborhoods?? If I buy a house in neighborhood of SFHs, that is what I want in a neighborhood. No, I do not want to live in a neighborhood of SFHs, duplexes, triplexes, etc. Otherwise, I live elsewhere. And, in the DMV, I have options. Guess who pays the taxes. Those in the larger SFHs. Note also that, while DC may be growing now, it has not always, and its growth rate is actually slowing. DC still has not returned to its 1950 level when over 800K people lived in DC. In 2000, DC was as low as 572K, at a time when the DMV was booming. DC has plenty of space to build residential housing. The only folks pushing upzoning are smaller developers, plus those who wish to change the character of other people's neighborhoods.

It’s all projection. They claim that you should not be able to control others but at the same time they want to force everyone to live the way they want them to and they want to make every neighborhood the way they want it. They are trying to eliminate consumer choice. It’s a very egocentric and dictatorial perspective that they have.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 13:46     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
However, I must continue to repeat myself, you do not have a right to buy property anywhere you want to at the price you want to pay.


And you don’t have a right over another person’s property. Up zoning just gives your neighbor a choice of SFH or more dense housing. If they want to build a triplex, that’s their right.


Why are you so interested in destroying SFH neighborhoods?? If I buy a house in neighborhood of SFHs, that is what I want in a neighborhood. No, I do not want to live in a neighborhood of SFHs, duplexes, triplexes, etc. Otherwise, I live elsewhere. And, in the DMV, I have options. Guess who pays the taxes. Those in the larger SFHs. Note also that, while DC may be growing now, it has not always, and its growth rate is actually slowing. DC still has not returned to its 1950 level when over 800K people lived in DC. In 2000, DC was as low as 572K, at a time when the DMV was booming. DC has plenty of space to build residential housing. The only folks pushing upzoning are smaller developers, plus those who wish to change the character of other people's neighborhoods.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 13:40     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:



I think it is a combination of astroturfing for developers, as you say (they have refused to reveal their funders but have a lot of developers on their Board), but also just extremely motivated self-interest. People in their 20s want cheaper apartments to rent and think allowing developers to build thousands of units of Studio "luxury" apartments will somehow make their apartment cheaper because "economics".


Well yes, without those luxury units, the people who moved in there would have needed another place to stay. Perhaps they room up with someone else instead, or other options, but they would be providing competition for the available apartments.

Those luxury units also have a price effects on existing rental stock which drives the price of those units higher. This is how gentrification works. You really need to read past the Freshman level textbooks folks.
https://wordpress.clarku.edu/mdavidson/files/2012/02/Davidson-Lees-2010-New-Build-Gentrification.pdf
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 13:16     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:



I think it is a combination of astroturfing for developers, as you say (they have refused to reveal their funders but have a lot of developers on their Board), but also just extremely motivated self-interest. People in their 20s want cheaper apartments to rent and think allowing developers to build thousands of units of Studio "luxury" apartments will somehow make their apartment cheaper because "economics".


Well yes, without those luxury units, the people who moved in there would have needed another place to stay. Perhaps they room up with someone else instead, or other options, but they would be providing competition for the available apartments.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 12:00     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
However, I must continue to repeat myself, you do not have a right to buy property anywhere you want to at the price you want to pay.


And you don’t have a right over another person’s property. Up zoning just gives your neighbor a choice of SFH or more dense housing. If they want to build a triplex, that’s their right.
Anonymous
Post 05/13/2021 10:01     Subject: Re:We need homes. A lot of homes. Not just affordable, but also middle-income homes.

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:So tired of these threads getting derailed by NIMBYs in upper NW who are convinced that the whole conversation is about middle class people who are bitter that they can't afford a SFH in Cleveland Park. We don't even want to live there! I don't care about your house. I mean, from a policy perspective, I think we should up zone large swaths of NW DC, especially along major thoroughfares, but not because I personally want to live there -- just because a lot of that part of town is underutilized for no good reason.

But when I say "we need more housing in DC, both affordable low income housing and affordable middle income housing), I'm mostly thinking about, like Michigan Park, Brookland, Kingman Park, SE waterfront east of Navy Yard, and Wards 7 and 8. Like I'm not heavily invested in making sure people can get into "the Wilson triangle" or whatever. We just genuinely need more housing (both rental and owned) that is affordable to people who make less than 100k a year, or even 150k a year increasingly, because we need somewhere for teachers, firefighters, restaurant workers, small business owners, etc. to live. We're not talking about colonize your little enclave in CCDC. We're just saying there is simply insufficient inventory in DC to provide housing to people at all income levels, and that's bad for the city.

Everyone saying, "then go where the housing is cheaper" is being disingenuous. It's one thing for a middle income couple with a couple kids to say "Yeah, let's move to Odenton - more space, decent schools, less expensive." That's fine and that will always happen. But that can't be your entire housing plan, lol. Especially not in DC where traffic gets worse everyday and people are super short sighted about public transit. I mean, it's barely working in NYC, but at least public transit there can handle bringing most of the low and middle income workers in from outer boroughs and suburbs every day. DC's infrastructure can't do that, full stop.

If you think the answer to lack of housing in DC is "move outside the city" then I hope you are also in favor of vastly expanding the metro system and investing in other rail and transit options. But usually the same people who don't want to increase density also think that answer to traffic and congestion is just more Easy Pass lanes.

It's like talking to very small children, honestly.


Adding housing units isn't going to reduce housing prices at all. If anything, it will drive them up. It's like you're just picking and choosing which parts of economics you like, and ignoring the rest.


DP. Ok so where exactly do you want people to live end how would you like them to commute into the city? I thought PP’s post was spot on.

It’s because they took Intro to Micro Freshman year and learned nothing else, but unfortunately have developed an entire worldview and policy framework around an elementary misunderstanding of how economics works.


So please enlighten us and tell us the solution, other than living in a flooded basement with a baby to save up for a SFH in PG county like one poster suggested.

The solution depends on what the problem is. From my understanding, you believe the problem is that you cannot afford to buy a home in a neighborhood you want to live in. I don’t see that as a problem at all. You believe that you have a right to purchase property anywhere you want. I don’t.

If instead what you are telling me is that there are no reasonably affordable housing units to rent, then there are plenty of well established levers can be pulled to address that issue.

I’ve gotta agree with this. How have we gone from ensuring people have an affordable place to live to ensuring that people have a right to buy what they want where they want it.

I’ve seen the word entitled thrown around quite a bit and I think it fits here.

There is definitely a societal interest in supporting policy to provide affordable housing but why do people think they have a right to buy a house?


Remember the GGW screed from the guy who was mad he couldn't afford 16th Street Heights and was forced to move to Rockville? Remember when his story was punctured by the fact that his new house cost somewhere in the vicinity of $500K. It was pointed out to the author that no amount of "missing middle" or "gentle density" or whatever the day's buzzword is would have made 16th Street Heights affordable to him, and that houses in that neighborhood last sold for $500k about 25 years ago. The GGW response was the usual stammering that comes when their arguments are shot down (this happens all the time in that comments section; they usually delete comments that prove them wrong).

That crowd loves to set up false choices for themselves -- yes, there are other options between 16th Street Heights and moving to bum-f&* Rockville (an area that is far less walkable than 16th Street Heights) -- and others in an attempt at urbanist martydom.


I am the original PP in this sub thread, and if you actually read my post, you’d see that I am specifically annoyed that this thread is just a bunch of people who live in Ward 3 saying “You’re just mad you can’t afford to live in Ward 3. Move to the suburbs.”

I. Don’t. Want. To. Live. In. Ward. 3.

I want affordable housing within a reasonable commute of my job in DC. That means we either need more low and middle income housing in DC proper, or we need to aggressively invest in better transportation from the suburbs. That’s it. But as I pointed out in my original post, the same people who tell me to “just move to PG County” also get mad if we suggest the construction of light rail or additional metro lines, dedicated express bus lanes, etc.

What happens to your vaunted Wilson pyramid when you can’t hire any teachers because they moved to Richmond or Philly or Frederick or whatever because they could find a place to raise a family that was less than a 90 minute commute both ways from your kid’s school?


A large contingent of teachers at my kids WOTP DCPS school live in one of the many, many *massive* apartment buildings that line Connecticut Avenue between Calvert Street and the DC/Maryland border. I'd say more than half. They all walk to school. Yet those buildings are invisible in the eyes of the urbanist crowd. It's like they don't exist, or they don't count because they aren't new shiny buildings or something (built by the developers that GGW is astroturfing for, maybe).

So your unhinged rant is really off the mark. No one is asking you to live in Ward 3. I'm pretty sure none of the people in other wards would want you as a neighbor, either.

Yup. I have personally lived in one of those buildings on Davenport when I was younger. The building is still there. The problem is that now that after the GGW crowd was adamant that more huge apartment buildings were important and necessary, they themselves have decided that they personally do not want to live in them.

I think it is a combination of astroturfing for developers, as you say (they have refused to reveal their funders but have a lot of developers on their Board), but also just extremely motivated self-interest. People in their 20s want cheaper apartments to rent and think allowing developers to build thousands of units of Studio "luxury" apartments will somehow make their apartment cheaper because "economics". Now that these people are in their 30s, they don't want to live in those massive buildings that they created so they are now focused on wanting to buy a house and trying to claim that their right to buy a house where they want to live is a "right" and "justice" or something.