Anonymous
01/22/2020 18:23
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:
Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%
I’m going with this poll being trash.
Based on what? No poll has shown that more than 45% of Americans want Trump to be president again.
I’m more weird with the way different D candidates stack up relatively then I am about Trump’s relatively stable numbers here. I’m guessing there’s sample size issues, sampling bias, and questions that are ordered/designed to prompt a particular response. Bloomberg’s popularity is the reddest flag, IMO.
Here’s the whole thing if you want to take a look.
https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/01/22/rel1b.-.2020.pdf
Anonymous
01/22/2020 18:21
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:
Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%
I’m going with this poll being trash.
Based on what? No poll has shown that more than 45% of Americans want Trump to be president again.
I’m more weird with the way different D candidates stack up relatively then I am about Trump’s relatively stable numbers here. I’m guessing there’s sample size issues, sampling bias, and questions that are ordered/designed to prompt a particular response. Bloomberg’s popularity is the reddest flag, IMO.
I think you underestimate how much money Bloomberg has spent on advertising.
Anonymous
01/22/2020 18:06
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:
Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%
I’m going with this poll being trash.
Based on what? No poll has shown that more than 45% of Americans want Trump to be president again.
I’m more weird with the way different D candidates stack up relatively then I am about Trump’s relatively stable numbers here. I’m guessing there’s sample size issues, sampling bias, and questions that are ordered/designed to prompt a particular response. Bloomberg’s popularity is the reddest flag, IMO.
Anonymous
01/22/2020 15:53
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:
Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%
I’m going with this poll being trash.
Based on what? No poll has shown that more than 45% of Americans want Trump to be president again.
Anonymous
01/22/2020 15:17
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous
01/22/2020 14:26
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:
Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%
I’m going with this poll being trash.
Anonymous
01/22/2020 13:59
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
New head-to-heads in national CNN poll out today:
Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%
Biden 53%, Trump 44%
Bloomberg 52%, Trump 43%
Sanders 52%, Trump 45%
Warren 50%, Trump 45%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 45%
Klobuchar 48%, Trump 45%
Anonymous
01/22/2020 11:10
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:From Baldwin Wallace's Great Lakes Poll, which surveyed 4000+ registered voters in MI/OH/PA/WI.
https://www.bw.edu/centers/community-research-institute/2020-great-lakes-poll/
Not surprising. WI has a very strong history of supporting socialist candidates and parties - WI sent the first Socialist to Congress and Social-Democrat party controlled Milwaukee for decades in the first half of 20th century.
Anonymous
01/22/2020 11:04
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Groups becoming more Democratic in Trump era:
Women
Blacks
Hispanics
Asians
College graduates
Millennials
Mormons
Urban voters
All Voters
Groups becoming more Republican
White evangelicals
White Catholics
Rural voters
https://www.people-press.org/2018/03/20/1-trends-in-party-affiliation-among-demographic-groups/
lol at "all voters"
mormons, though!
Anonymous
01/22/2020 10:59
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Groups becoming more Democratic in Trump era:
Women
Blacks
Hispanics
Asians
College graduates
Millennials
Mormons
Urban voters
All Voters
Groups becoming more Republican
White evangelicals
White Catholics
Rural voters
https://www.people-press.org/2018/03/20/1-trends-in-party-affiliation-among-demographic-groups/
Women
Blacks
Hispanics
Asians
College graduates
Millennials
Mormons
Urban voters
All Voters
Groups becoming more Republican
White evangelicals
White Catholics
Rural voters
https://www.people-press.org/2018/03/20/1-trends-in-party-affiliation-among-demographic-groups/
Anonymous
01/22/2020 10:07
Subject: Re:Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
From Baldwin Wallace's Great Lakes Poll, which surveyed 4000+ registered voters in MI/OH/PA/WI.
https://www.bw.edu/centers/community-research-institute/2020-great-lakes-poll/
https://www.bw.edu/centers/community-research-institute/2020-great-lakes-poll/
Anonymous
01/22/2020 10:05
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:It is amazing how many Trump supporters, like Hugh Hewitt, are rallying for a Sanders win.
Hugh Hewitt is encouraging Republicans in open primary states to vote for Sanders. This is why the GOP is shutting down primaries against Trump across the US - they want to flood the Dem primary with bad-faith voters.
Anonymous
01/22/2020 10:00
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:It is amazing how many Trump supporters, like Hugh Hewitt, are rallying for a Sanders win.
He’s easily one of the weakest candidates, if not the weakest.
Agree. Lots of Dems will stay home.
I would like to stay home if he’s the nominee, but I won’t. I’d have a barf bucket in hand, but I’d vote for the loser as he’d be degrees better than the Treason Party candidate.
#barfbucketbernie
Agree. I think the PP underestimates how much the collective we are ready to be done with mfin Trump. Enough to consider Bernie, FFS.
Anonymous
01/22/2020 09:58
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:It is amazing how many Trump supporters, like Hugh Hewitt, are rallying for a Sanders win.
He’s easily one of the weakest candidates, if not the weakest.
Agree. Lots of Dems will stay home.
I would like to stay home if he’s the nominee, but I won’t. I’d have a barf bucket in hand, but I’d vote for the loser as he’d be degrees better than the Treason Party candidate.
#barfbucketbernie
Anonymous
01/22/2020 09:48
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1219978121136525313
I post this poll with no joy since I like Biden and do not like Sanders
The CNN poll breaks down race by “white” and “non-white”:
White
Sanders 24%
Biden 22%
Buttigieg 18%
Warren 13%
Bloomberg 6%
Klobuchar 6%
Non-white
Sanders 30%
Biden 27%
Warren 16%
Yang 6%
Bloomberg 5%
Buttigieg 4%
I post this poll with no joy since I like Biden and do not like Sanders