Anonymous
Post 06/22/2026 17:48     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:5th grade- any hope at all?

ITDS 37
Hyde Addison 6
Mundo V 26


Totally gonna get Mundo. Probably not ITDS but they tend to move their list in late summer so who knows.


Disagree, the days are gone where you can get into MV in 5th. You have better chance at ITDS and HA
Anonymous
Post 06/22/2026 15:40     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Hey folks - this is the Lottery Nerd. Just wanted to let everyone know that I stopped answering requests on this thread because once waitlists start moving, the variables become wildly complex and it's really, really hard to make predictions. Yes, you have more information, but then you also have no comparison points that are exactly aligned and it's just impossible to predict.

I know watching waitlists can be excruciating (I'm watching two with bated breath right now). I wish everyone the absolutely best of luck. Hang in there.
Anonymous
Post 06/22/2026 15:28     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Anonymous wrote:5th grade- any hope at all?

ITDS 37
Hyde Addison 6
Mundo V 26


Totally gonna get Mundo. Probably not ITDS but they tend to move their list in late summer so who knows.
Anonymous
Post 06/22/2026 15:21     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Anonymous wrote:Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?


Hopeful for you! We are enrolled for PreK 3 at EL Haynes but we are making good progress on another waitlist.
Anonymous
Post 06/16/2026 22:24     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
5th grade- any hope at all?

ITDS 37
Hyde Addison 6
Mundo V 26
Anonymous
Post 05/31/2026 09:27     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Anonymous wrote:RE: Lafayette. Yes, IB. Started with WL #5, then moved up to #6 after the deadline. Now #3. I was confident with #5 but the fluctuation has left me less confidant about what this current standing means.


I think you’ll get an offer
Anonymous
Post 05/30/2026 21:59     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?


You're totally getting in.


Really? They didn’t let anyone off the WL the last few years.


Pk3 is easier this year because of fewer applicants.
Anonymous
Post 05/30/2026 21:37     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
RE: Lafayette. Yes, IB. Started with WL #5, then moved up to #6 after the deadline. Now #3. I was confident with #5 but the fluctuation has left me less confidant about what this current standing means.
Anonymous
Post 05/30/2026 15:20     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?


You're totally getting in.


Really? They didn’t let anyone off the WL the last few years.
Anonymous
Post 05/28/2026 11:11     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Anonymous wrote:Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?


You're totally getting in.
Anonymous
Post 05/28/2026 10:48     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Anonymous wrote:#3 for PK 4 Lafayette (should have clarified the grade)


Are you IB? Has your waitlist number moved at all yet? Looking at historical data the PK4 waitlist has moved about 5 spots by June. I'd think your chances are pretty good, although you might not get in until later in the summer/just before school starts.
Anonymous
Post 05/28/2026 10:11     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
#3 for PK 4 Lafayette (should have clarified the grade)
Anonymous
Post 05/28/2026 10:10     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
#3 on waitlist at Lafayette... odds?
Anonymous
Post 05/26/2026 11:42     Subject: Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
Currently #2 on waitlist for EL Haynes PK3 - any chance of getting in?
Anonymous
Post 05/25/2026 09:18     Subject: Re:Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions

Hi LN, this is the latest WL for the PK4 twins, pls help predict again~~~many thanks!

Hearst #24 #38
Ross #31 #45
Janney #38 #54
Murch #22 #33
Eaton #46 #61
Marie Reed #16 #20


Anonymous wrote:
kareng wrote:Hi LN, twins apply for PK4. Pls help to predict.

Hearst #40 #55
Ross #39 #54
Janney #45 #63
Murch #43 #53
Marie Reed #25 #29



LN here. Sorry for the delay, got busy.

I would assume almost always, once the first kid gets in, they'll pull in the second one. Unfortunately, your kid's lottery numbers must have been pretty similar - Hearst, for example, has a waitlist of 100 kids, so both your kids are right around the middle. You'd be better off if one of them had a better number, even if the second had a really crappy one.

Hearst #40 #55 - You've got a chance here. Of the past five years, twice they've gone that deep into the waitlist. So, 40% chance. Would likely be in August or September if you did get a slot.
Ross #39 #54 - No offer.
Janney #45 #63 - You have a chance here as well. Of the past five years, twice they have gone that deep into the waitlist. So, 40% chance.
Murch #43 #53 - No offer.
Marie Reed #25 #29 - No offer.