Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 10:56     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).


He still has a very very small chance of avoiding the runoff……but I’m not hopeful. He will win the vote count, that is obvious at this point.


Who is coming out to vote for a liar in the runoff? Seriously, Rs don’t have a chance. Some hardcore ones will come out but this guy isn’t someone who inspires loyalty. Whereas Dem voters will be bolstered by the abortion issue.


A runoff in GA is a referendum on abortion rights. GA pro-choice voters know this and the democratic machinery will get out the vote in GA. As long as there are more pro-choice voters in GA, Warnock will win the runoff.


That sounds about right.

Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 10:46     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).


He still has a very very small chance of avoiding the runoff……but I’m not hopeful. He will win the vote count, that is obvious at this point.


Who is coming out to vote for a liar in the runoff? Seriously, Rs don’t have a chance. Some hardcore ones will come out but this guy isn’t someone who inspires loyalty. Whereas Dem voters will be bolstered by the abortion issue.


A runoff in GA is a referendum on abortion rights. GA pro-choice voters know this and the democratic machinery will get out the vote in GA. As long as there are more pro-choice voters in GA, Warnock will win the runoff.


Dems will concentrate all firepower on the GA run off. This is the type of race where Dems excel at turn out and the GOP sucks because they are more reliant on the casual low information voter who won’t turn out for a run-off.

If it goes to a run-off, the Dems have this.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 10:37     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).


He still has a very very small chance of avoiding the runoff……but I’m not hopeful. He will win the vote count, that is obvious at this point.


Who is coming out to vote for a liar in the runoff? Seriously, Rs don’t have a chance. Some hardcore ones will come out but this guy isn’t someone who inspires loyalty. Whereas Dem voters will be bolstered by the abortion issue.


A runoff in GA is a referendum on abortion rights. GA pro-choice voters know this and the democratic machinery will get out the vote in GA. As long as there are more pro-choice voters in GA, Warnock will win the runoff.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 10:15     Subject: 2022 Senate Map

Is anyone thinking that D's may lose in AZ at this point?
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 08:34     Subject: 2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:So sad about Tim Ryan.
Vance is such a douche
- Ohioan


+1 very sad
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 08:33     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).


He still has a very very small chance of avoiding the runoff……but I’m not hopeful. He will win the vote count, that is obvious at this point.


Who is coming out to vote for a liar in the runoff? Seriously, Rs don’t have a chance. Some hardcore ones will come out but this guy isn’t someone who inspires loyalty. Whereas Dem voters will be bolstered by the abortion issue.


Except that the 2+% going to the Libertarian guy are all GOP voters. If the control of the Senate comes down to Georgia, won't they just hold their noses and vote for Walker?


DP. You’re assuming they show up at all.


The GOP can always spank up that flagging morale by falling back on the Guam headline again. That's a real motivator for the troops, there.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 08:29     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).


He still has a very very small chance of avoiding the runoff……but I’m not hopeful. He will win the vote count, that is obvious at this point.


Who is coming out to vote for a liar in the runoff? Seriously, Rs don’t have a chance. Some hardcore ones will come out but this guy isn’t someone who inspires loyalty. Whereas Dem voters will be bolstered by the abortion issue.


Except that the 2+% going to the Libertarian guy are all GOP voters. If the control of the Senate comes down to Georgia, won't they just hold their noses and vote for Walker?


DP. You’re assuming they show up at all.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 08:27     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).


He still has a very very small chance of avoiding the runoff……but I’m not hopeful. He will win the vote count, that is obvious at this point.


Who is coming out to vote for a liar in the runoff? Seriously, Rs don’t have a chance. Some hardcore ones will come out but this guy isn’t someone who inspires loyalty. Whereas Dem voters will be bolstered by the abortion issue.


Except that the 2+% going to the Libertarian guy are all GOP voters. If the control of the Senate comes down to Georgia, won't they just hold their noses and vote for Walker?
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 08:24     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Ooh. NV just posted early returns.

Cortez-Masto 54.1% - Laxalt 43.2% (35% in)

Good start!


Update:
Cortez-Masto 53.3% - Laxalt 44.2% (54% in)


Cortez-Masto 50.9% - Laxalt 46.3% (62% in)


It’s now Laxalt 49.9% - Cortez-Masto (D) 47.2% (80% in)
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 08:23     Subject: 2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:So sad about Tim Ryan.
Vance is such a douche
- Ohioan
+1
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 08:22     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).


He still has a very very small chance of avoiding the runoff……but I’m not hopeful. He will win the vote count, that is obvious at this point.


Who is coming out to vote for a liar in the runoff? Seriously, Rs don’t have a chance. Some hardcore ones will come out but this guy isn’t someone who inspires loyalty. Whereas Dem voters will be bolstered by the abortion issue.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 02:22     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Ooh. NV just posted early returns.

Cortez-Masto 54.1% - Laxalt 43.2% (35% in)

Good start!


Update:
Cortez-Masto 53.3% - Laxalt 44.2% (54% in)


Cortez-Masto 50.9% - Laxalt 46.3% (62% in)
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 02:06     Subject: 2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:So sad about Tim Ryan.
Vance is such a douche
- Ohioan

It is a tragedy.
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 01:57     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map

Anonymous wrote:Ooh. NV just posted early returns.

Cortez-Masto 54.1% - Laxalt 43.2% (35% in)

Good start!


Update:
Cortez-Masto 53.3% - Laxalt 44.2% (54% in)
Anonymous
Post 11/09/2022 01:21     Subject: 2022 Senate Map

So sad about Tim Ryan.
Vance is such a douche
- Ohioan