Ooh. NV just posted early returns.

Cortez-Masto 54.1% - Laxalt 43.2% (35% in)

Good start!

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

No ticket splitting, then.

Hahahahaha the libertarian running in the Senate race is getting two points more than the libertarian running in the governors race. But keep thinking there’s no tickets splitting.

MSNBC just called PA for Fetterman

FETTERMAN!

Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).

He still has a very very small chance of avoiding the runoff……but I’m not hopeful. He will win the vote count, that is obvious at this point.

Anonymous wrote:Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).

Yup Gwinnett hadn’t reported at all and IIRC it’s more blue than Fulton.

Whoa. Big dump from one of the Atlanta suburbs (I think Gwinnett). Warnock's lead jumped from barely 1,000 votes to almost 30,000 votes. Still heading for runoff, but a much clearer lead (but this is out of 3.7M votes, so still very close).

I am pleasantly surprised by how well Barnes is holding up in Wisconsin.

Looks clear at this point based on the remaining vote that we are at 49-49. Dems gotta a very small chance at Wisc, and Republicans have a very small chance in Arizona. But both of those are highly unlikely to change.

Georgia will 100% be a runoff, nobody is getting to 50%. Nevada is still a mystery with no data yet.

So it will be down to those 2 and we won’t know Georgia for 4 weeks at the runoff.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:GA, 89% reporting and less than 1000 votes separating Warnock and Walker.

Walker ahead 1,816,027 to Warnock's 1,815,104.

Without the independent, Warnock would lose.

So if Walker had been able to get the Independent vote...

But he didn't.

Won't it go to a runoff?

Yes, it will.

NPR currently has 45D/2I - 46R (48 expected as AK and UT have not called)

Of the 5 remaining competitive contests that will decide the Majority:

AZ - Kelly 57.8% - Master 40% (48% in)
GA - Warnock 49% - Walker 49% (89% in) (3.6M votes in, Warnock ahead by 335 votes)
NV - No results
PA - Fetterman 49.3% - Oz 48.3% (81% in)
WI - Barnes 48.4% - Johnson 51.6% (84% in)

If the numbers stay the same, we'll be 49D/I - 49R with NV and GA outstanding.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:GA, 89% reporting and less than 1000 votes separating Warnock and Walker.

Walker ahead 1,816,027 to Warnock's 1,815,104.

Without the independent, Warnock would lose.

So if Walker had been able to get the Independent vote...

But he didn't.

Libertarians are not independent.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:GA, 89% reporting and less than 1000 votes separating Warnock and Walker.

Walker ahead 1,816,027 to Warnock's 1,815,104.

Without the independent, Warnock would lose.

So if Walker had been able to get the Independent vote...

But he didn't.

Won't it go to a runoff?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:GA, 89% reporting and less than 1000 votes separating Warnock and Walker.

Walker ahead 1,816,027 to Warnock's 1,815,104.

Without the independent, Warnock would lose.

So if Walker had been able to get the Independent vote...

But he didn't.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:GA, 89% reporting and less than 1000 votes separating Warnock and Walker.

Walker ahead 1,816,027 to Warnock's 1,815,104.

Without the independent, Warnock would lose.

He’s not an independent.