Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 21:32     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Senate now 38-39 (in GOP favor)
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 21:06     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:


Aren’t exit polls done on Election Day in-person voters? With partisan differences in voting methods, seems exit polls are even more questionable than they used to be. And they were long considered to be pretty bad.
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 21:02     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Senate just flipped - 37-38 (in GOP favor)
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 20:31     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Another R win in the Senate - Todd Young IN
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 20:07     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Senate is now 36-35 (in Dems favor)
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 19:43     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

No ticket splitting, then.

Um, there is some ticket splitting. Not much, but you don’t need much.


+1 GA is going to be very close and Walker (or Warnock) can’t afford to lose any votes around the edges.
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 19:41     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:

No ticket splitting, then.

Um, there is some ticket splitting. Not much, but you don’t need much.
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 19:40     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 19:16     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Senate is now 36-30 (Dems lead)
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 19:11     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:

No ticket splitting, then.
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 19:10     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 16:18     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
I remember back in 2016 hearing about how the next few election cycles were looking in terms of the Senate; 2022 was identified back in 2016 as the "best chance" for the Dems to take control of the senate. They outperformed in 2020 and are looking to underperform in 2022. Them's the breaks.
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 15:11     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:All pollsters try to be more accurate in their final polls because that is what they will be graded on. Before that, they deliver what the person paying for the poll wants, a small win for their candidate to boost fundraising, or a big win to discourage the other side from trying to spend money there.


I really don't think that's true. What is true is that most polls have shown a Republican advantage for some time now. Which is NORMAL, because it's the midterms with an opposition President. A Democrat win would be ABNORMAL. To think that it might actually happen in the Senate should be mindboggling to all of you. In a nice way, or course, since most of us posting on DCUM are left-leaning. But still surprising.
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 13:09     Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:All pollsters try to be more accurate in their final polls because that is what they will be graded on. Before that, they deliver what the person paying for the poll wants, a small win for their candidate to boost fundraising, or a big win to discourage the other side from trying to spend money there.

When you want to sound conspiratorial without being conspiratorial.
Anonymous
Post 11/08/2022 12:28     Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map