Anonymous wrote:By the time of the midterms, Trump appointees to the Fed will have lowered interest rates by 100bps. That means mortgages will be in the high 4’s for prime borrowers. This will also stoke inflation, but it doesn’t happen that quickly. At the same time, people will be losing jobs all year.
I find that people tend to vote according to their hopes and dreams, rather than their lived reality.
Anonymous wrote:Don't be fooled. Voters are only thinking about their wallet. If inflation eases, Trump will increase his popularity. Most voters are selfish individuals who do not care about other people's rights.
Anonymous wrote:Don't be fooled. Voters are only thinking about their wallet. If inflation eases, Trump will increase his popularity. Most voters are selfish individuals who do not care about other people's rights.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Republicans are spending millions on a special election to defend a House seat in a Tennessee district where Trump won by +20% last year. Even if Republicans keep the seat, the tides are clearly shifting....
Mirroring national trends, net 13pt swing toward Democrats.
https://time.com/7338426/tennessee-election-takeaways-republicans-democrats/
"In yhe five special elections for House seats this year, Democrats on average ran 17 points better than Trump did a year earlier. To put that in context, there are 48 incumbent Republicans who won their House seats in 2024 by 17 points or less.
Put another way: if the results this year repeat next year, the current House Speaker Mike Johnson’s 219-213 Republican majority might well be dismantled."
Anonymous wrote:Republicans are spending millions on a special election to defend a House seat in a Tennessee district where Trump won by +20% last year. Even if Republicans keep the seat, the tides are clearly shifting....