Anonymous
Post 04/21/2020 01:21     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


"Guessing" is NOT science. Shame on NIH and CDC.


They are putting out models with the information available at the moment, which keeps changing as they get more data. This is a completely novel disease. Why is everything always a giant conspiracy to Trumpsters?


I don't know. You'd think they'd dig it. They are always watching the weather channel to track hurricanes- same theory for how data changes- it's always a function of the knowledge at that moment.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 23:05     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


"Guessing" is NOT science. Shame on NIH and CDC.



Yeah, the models have been 100% wrong 100% of the time. Seems like it’s time to stop calling them science. Might as well revert to common sense: we cannot sit in our house while our economy burns to the ground for the years it will take for a vaccine that may never arrive. Time to resume life as best we can.


That's not what common sense says. But whatevs.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 23:02     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


"Guessing" is NOT science. Shame on NIH and CDC.



Yeah, the models have been 100% wrong 100% of the time. Seems like it’s time to stop calling them science. Might as well revert to common sense: we cannot sit in our house while our economy burns to the ground for the years it will take for a vaccine that may never arrive. Time to resume life as best we can.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 21:48     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


"Guessing" is NOT science. Shame on NIH and CDC.


They are putting out models with the information available at the moment, which keeps changing as they get more data. This is a completely novel disease. Why is everything always a giant conspiracy to Trumpsters?

Their models keep proving to be useless.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 21:45     Subject: Re:So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Best guess at start of Phase 1? May 15? June 1?
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 16:28     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:Does anyone have a chart of the DMV case count each day? Hospitalizations? Deaths?

I really like the charts that Cuomo has b/c it helps to show the "curve."

Anything like this for DMV?

I have seen the 91-DIVOC charts -- but those are by state and don't show hospitalizations.


https://wtop.com/local/2020/03/coronavirus-test-results-in-dc-maryland-and-virginia

This one is easy to look at.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 14:57     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Does anyone have a chart of the DMV case count each day? Hospitalizations? Deaths?

I really like the charts that Cuomo has b/c it helps to show the "curve."

Anything like this for DMV?

I have seen the 91-DIVOC charts -- but those are by state and don't show hospitalizations.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 14:44     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


Pretty sure the models have md and dc past peak.


Confirmed, Imhe model says md peak was April 18.


This. Also everything I've read seems to indicate that Nova is on track with DC and MD and that its only the ROVA that has not peaked yet. So everyone in this area has peaked. After two straight weeks of declining cases we should be able to slowly start opening up. Which brings us to a little before May 8th!
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 14:09     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


Pretty sure the models have md and dc past peak.


Confirmed, Imhe model says md peak was April 18.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 14:07     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


Pretty sure the models have md and dc past peak.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 13:53     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


"Guessing" is NOT science. Shame on NIH and CDC.


They are putting out models with the information available at the moment, which keeps changing as they get more data. This is a completely novel disease. Why is everything always a giant conspiracy to Trumpsters?
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 13:51     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


"Guessing" is NOT science. Shame on NIH and CDC.



Yes it is. Do you know anything about science? Educated guesses and refining those guesses using data.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 13:50     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
I think people who don't understand the feedback loop between models and human behavior are the most annoying people of this pandemic.
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 13:49     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:What are you envisioning happening on May 8?


Its not just a medical problem, its an economic one and you need a strategy that addresses both priorities as same time.

The driver is Washington : Congress usually goes to Summer Recess when ? Late July is it ?

Likely, given that every US Senator & Congress person is putting out fires in their home State between NOW and when does Congress usually re-open ? Late August or Labor Day ?

DC Mayor just wants her bail out to keep paying her city workers and to supplement lost tax revenue, so as soon as Congress gives that to her ( hey, she would really appreciate the worst models you have being published as often as you can ) Once she gets her bail out, she will have no incentive to re-open any DC business

Of course this will be contexts as " for our safety "

ALL THE WHILE , of Course, THERE WILL BE NO TESTING IN DC as we don't want Data interfering with Politics , do we ?

So, that job of yours, better hope that they continue to pay you until After Labor Day or After Congress is due to return, because it is Politics that is driving the management of this, NOT science.

Exactly. People here need to wake up!!!!
Anonymous
Post 04/20/2020 13:48     Subject: So how far is the DMV from Phase 1 opening?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Why is the peak always ‘two weeks away’ or ‘one week away’? At this point I don’t believe anything the media is trying to push.


It's not "the media" that is saying this. It's the models, which are a best guess.


"Guessing" is NOT science. Shame on NIH and CDC.