Anonymous
10/31/2022 07:30
Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:If there are 37 polls and 19 are R, that’s basically half, right? Can someone explain why that’s an issue?
Partisan push polling is a thing. They mess with the sample to appear higher support.
If you entire schtick is election denial and trying to overturn valid elections, it behooves you to get a bunch of partisan polls that inflate your support into the media environment to help bolster your “stolen election” narrative.
The way to counterbalance GOP polls in the aggregators is to have more partisan Dem polls. But right now the aggregators are using 50% GOP polls, 25% Dem polls, and 25% from independent sources. That’s a large weight toward the GOP narrative.
The polls have to skew R so that the tainted results are closer to the polls.
Anonymous
10/31/2022 00:42
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
Right. And I hope the polls are wrong. I know we are all worried about inflation and rising prices, but... to that extent? With the recent Roe decision? With the fallout of Jan 6th and classified docs theft in the news? I know it doesn't percolate on Fox, but a majority of the population has seen those headlines.
Seems fishy.
No one has to listen to Fox News to be aware and afraid of rising prices.
And being warned of a diesel fuel shortage on top of that.
Anonymous
10/31/2022 00:42
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
Right. And I hope the polls are wrong. I know we are all worried about inflation and rising prices, but... to that extent? With the recent Roe decision? With the fallout of Jan 6th and classified docs theft in the news? I know it doesn't percolate on Fox, but a majority of the population has seen those headlines.
Seems fishy.
We know Fetterman will win.
Anonymous
10/31/2022 00:29
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
You haven’t read even the last two pages of this thread. There’s a reason for that, they’re flooding the zone with sh|t just like Steve Bannon taught them to.
Anonymous
10/30/2022 22:52
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
Right. And I hope the polls are wrong. I know we are all worried about inflation and rising prices, but... to that extent? With the recent Roe decision? With the fallout of Jan 6th and classified docs theft in the news? I know it doesn't percolate on Fox, but a majority of the population has seen those headlines.
Seems fishy.
No one has to listen to Fox News to be aware and afraid of rising prices.
Anonymous
10/30/2022 22:46
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
Right. And I hope the polls are wrong. I know we are all worried about inflation and rising prices, but... to that extent? With the recent Roe decision? With the fallout of Jan 6th and classified docs theft in the news? I know it doesn't percolate on Fox, but a majority of the population has seen those headlines.
Seems fishy.
Does it really? Biden is still extremely unpopular.
The last three polls have him in the mid-40s. That’s not “extremely unpopular.”
Anonymous
10/30/2022 22:41
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
Right. And I hope the polls are wrong. I know we are all worried about inflation and rising prices, but... to that extent? With the recent Roe decision? With the fallout of Jan 6th and classified docs theft in the news? I know it doesn't percolate on Fox, but a majority of the population has seen those headlines.
Seems fishy.
It's not just inflation. Other issues coming up in the polls are crime, the border, and education. Two thirds of those polled believe the country is on the wrong track.
Anonymous
10/30/2022 22:38
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
Right. And I hope the polls are wrong. I know we are all worried about inflation and rising prices, but... to that extent? With the recent Roe decision? With the fallout of Jan 6th and classified docs theft in the news? I know it doesn't percolate on Fox, but a majority of the population has seen those headlines.
Seems fishy.
Does it really? Biden is still extremely unpopular.
Anonymous
10/30/2022 22:24
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
Right. And I hope the polls are wrong. I know we are all worried about inflation and rising prices, but... to that extent? With the recent Roe decision? With the fallout of Jan 6th and classified docs theft in the news? I know it doesn't percolate on Fox, but a majority of the population has seen those headlines.
Seems fishy.
Anonymous
10/30/2022 21:24
Subject: 2022 Senate Map
These current polls, all of them, are trending fast & furious to the GOP. Looks like a wave election...which means the senate falls along with unexpected governorships & state rep elections falling.
Anonymous
Anonymous
10/30/2022 20:52
Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
Anonymous wrote:If there are 37 polls and 19 are R, that’s basically half, right? Can someone explain why that’s an issue?
Partisan push polling is a thing. They mess with the sample to appear higher support.
If you entire schtick is election denial and trying to overturn valid elections, it behooves you to get a bunch of partisan polls that inflate your support into the media environment to help bolster your “stolen election” narrative.
The way to counterbalance GOP polls in the aggregators is to have more partisan Dem polls. But right now the aggregators are using 50% GOP polls, 25% Dem polls, and 25% from independent sources. That’s a large weight toward the GOP narrative.
Anonymous
10/30/2022 20:42
Subject: Re:2022 Senate Map
If there are 37 polls and 19 are R, that’s basically half, right? Can someone explain why that’s an issue?
Anonymous
Anonymous