Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 11:54     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:Frumin has been weak on this issue, but he's capable of movement. At the beginning of his term, he ranked pickleball as a higher priority than public safety, and now he is talking a lot about public safety. He ran in the primary against a bunch of socialists and the GGW crowd, so he got cozy with them to win votes. Hopefully he has learned that lesson. If you share your views, he will listen and if enough people raise concerns, he will respond. I was shocked when he waffled about the crime legislation this summer, and I told him so. Next time, I expect him to be taking the lead.


It would be nice to see movement by some of the Upper NW ANC commissioners. They seem much "woker than thou" when it comes to addressing crime yet extremely Libertarian on planning and zoning. It's a strange combo.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 11:50     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I have no faith that a floor is going to be put in the crime situation in NW, never mind it improving.

Frumin is not someone who inspires confidence in the future and Bowser admin reps have attended countless community meetings with things only getting worse. The only one who seemed genuinely concerned about public safety was Chris Geldart and he had issues and is long gone.

It makes me quite sad and my family is going to have to look seriously at relocating, having been in DC for 30 years. We moved west for schools and safety after 20 years EOTP and that worked for a long time and now the calculus has changed again. I wish we had gone to the burbs a long time ago, and become established then, we are not at life stages that are super conducive to moving right now.


Well that’s a little excessive. Unless you live in the Sedgewick or on top of the Tenleytown metro, it’s not going to get that much worse.


Actually, the PSA that includes Saratoga, Brandywine, Connecticut House was found to have the greatest crime increase of anywhere in the city, numbers were crunched from DC Crime Cards. Obviously not highest numbers in city but greatest change. Now a daytime weekend shooting after a lot of MPD focus for years. I live in that PSA and the effects of quality of life and safety in the past few years have been tremendous. There are tennis courts and a playground on the block where a shooting occurred at 3pm on a Saturday. We won't be the only ones likely to move. And for those that leave the Saratoga and Brandywine, the ratio of paying tenants may shrink further. My kids go to school near and often use the Tenleytown metro. I'd be remiss as a parent not to react to real shifts in safety levels. YMMV.

Crime becoming less predictable, more random and more diffuse has stretched a smaller MPD very thin. The commercial tax base has shrunk and population is dropping so there will be less money for safety initiatives, services, etc. It's happened before, maybe newcomers don't know that.

Not really the time to be Pollyanna when it comes to my family's well being when we heard the shots on Saturday. We moved away from that to what used to be a very quiet, safe area, for that and for the schools. Now, it's far less safe. There have been dozens upon dozens of community meetings in the past few years. For those unaware of that history, they may think there is some likely fix if they send a few emails or make a few calls, but no. The idea that Courtney Carlson can impact this in any way is laughable, Mary Cheh was not able to do much, with more power, and living even closer to the problem buildings. In fact, talking about the issues may have led to pushback that caused her to not run again.

Thanks for your support and concern for my family's well being, PP, the heartfelt scorn is noted.


I live in an area with much more crime and am concerned about it. Still, I think you’re being a bit absurd. Moving to the burbs and driving a lot is statistically higher risk for you.


A lot of people are leaving and the tax base is shrinking, the CRE impact is tremendous. The quality of life in DC is really going to change.

There are walkable neighborhoods outside of DC, with metro access, and good schools that do not have daytime shootings on the same block as playgrounds. It's absurd to think that won't impact property values, which has not been mentioned.


Sure I can believe some will choose to locate elsewhere or leave the troubled apartments. But nobody is selling their $2 mil Cleveland Park home due to an uptick in already very low crime levels. The people actually impacted are renters.


You don't know what you're talking about. There have been robberies and muggings in various parts of Cleveland Park. John Eaton School was the scene of a shooting with automatic weapons (when it was under reconstruction). More recently, there was a carjacking by Eaton and close to the Macomb playground, in the heart of CP.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 11:46     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:Have to say I miss the Fenty years...reasonable mayor, reasonable council, USAO office that still functioned and a stable tax base made for some really good years for family life in the District. The redone playgrounds, the pools, the greater safety, schools on the upswing...


The years with Tony Williams as mayor were the best ones. Wish he'd come back.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 11:38     Subject: Re:Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

For anyone interested in hearing from Frumin and MPD, public safety meeting Thursday @ 7pm at UDC. Nothing about a stream or recording of the meeting for those who cannot attend but hopefully that will be added. Don't see USAO's office attending, that would also be useful and Cheh invited them to the meeting after the Day's Inn homicide.

Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 11:20     Subject: Re:Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anyone else remember when people WOTP and north of the zoo used to call CCFR as a way to avoid the 911 call issues and risks?

There are genuine safety factors that have changed, that parents are noticing and weighing up the risks/rewards is not going to be stopped. I have friends who are happy on Capitol Hill, we moved, it got to feel too risky for our family years ago when there were daytime home invasions, etc. nearby. Ward 3 felt much safer and kids could have independence. There are a lot of changes happening in CC DC too, and a lot of crime patterns shifting, but Forest Hills is the focus of this thread.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 10:41     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I have no faith that a floor is going to be put in the crime situation in NW, never mind it improving.

Frumin is not someone who inspires confidence in the future and Bowser admin reps have attended countless community meetings with things only getting worse. The only one who seemed genuinely concerned about public safety was Chris Geldart and he had issues and is long gone.

It makes me quite sad and my family is going to have to look seriously at relocating, having been in DC for 30 years. We moved west for schools and safety after 20 years EOTP and that worked for a long time and now the calculus has changed again. I wish we had gone to the burbs a long time ago, and become established then, we are not at life stages that are super conducive to moving right now.


Well that’s a little excessive. Unless you live in the Sedgewick or on top of the Tenleytown metro, it’s not going to get that much worse.


Actually, the PSA that includes Saratoga, Brandywine, Connecticut House was found to have the greatest crime increase of anywhere in the city, numbers were crunched from DC Crime Cards. Obviously not highest numbers in city but greatest change. Now a daytime weekend shooting after a lot of MPD focus for years. I live in that PSA and the effects of quality of life and safety in the past few years have been tremendous. There are tennis courts and a playground on the block where a shooting occurred at 3pm on a Saturday. We won't be the only ones likely to move. And for those that leave the Saratoga and Brandywine, the ratio of paying tenants may shrink further. My kids go to school near and often use the Tenleytown metro. I'd be remiss as a parent not to react to real shifts in safety levels. YMMV.

Crime becoming less predictable, more random and more diffuse has stretched a smaller MPD very thin. The commercial tax base has shrunk and population is dropping so there will be less money for safety initiatives, services, etc. It's happened before, maybe newcomers don't know that.

Not really the time to be Pollyanna when it comes to my family's well being when we heard the shots on Saturday. We moved away from that to what used to be a very quiet, safe area, for that and for the schools. Now, it's far less safe. There have been dozens upon dozens of community meetings in the past few years. For those unaware of that history, they may think there is some likely fix if they send a few emails or make a few calls, but no. The idea that Courtney Carlson can impact this in any way is laughable, Mary Cheh was not able to do much, with more power, and living even closer to the problem buildings. In fact, talking about the issues may have led to pushback that caused her to not run again.

Thanks for your support and concern for my family's well being, PP, the heartfelt scorn is noted.


I live in an area with much more crime and am concerned about it. Still, I think you’re being a bit absurd. Moving to the burbs and driving a lot is statistically higher risk for you.


People love to post the “driving more” narrative in response to concerns about rising crime. We moved to the suburbs after 25 years due to rising crime in our neighborhood. We drive less out here. My kids can walk to the ES, MS and HS. We can easily walk to three different pools, hiking trails, tennis courts and sports fields. My kids walk or bike to get snacks or pizza with friends. We have a community center and recreation center that haven’t been taken over by pot smokers and the homeless. If we want to go into the city it’s a 20 min drive. Driving is really a minor inconvenience versus dealing with package thefts, carjackings, violent unhoused people, or random gunfire on a regular basis.

Crime in DC will not be properly addressed until the real estate market bottoms out, businesses begin to leave and the tourist industry takes a huge hit. Expect more families to leave. Expect city services to decline due to less tax revenue. You only need to look to the 80s and 90s to see the future.


Most suburbs aren’t that walkable. And the point is not that driving is an inconvenience, but that it is more dangerous than other forms of transit.


And the suburbs that are walkable are not affordable at all.


Not sure I'd call Cleveland Park or Forest Hills houses "affordable"...
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 10:26     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I have no faith that a floor is going to be put in the crime situation in NW, never mind it improving.

Frumin is not someone who inspires confidence in the future and Bowser admin reps have attended countless community meetings with things only getting worse. The only one who seemed genuinely concerned about public safety was Chris Geldart and he had issues and is long gone.

It makes me quite sad and my family is going to have to look seriously at relocating, having been in DC for 30 years. We moved west for schools and safety after 20 years EOTP and that worked for a long time and now the calculus has changed again. I wish we had gone to the burbs a long time ago, and become established then, we are not at life stages that are super conducive to moving right now.


Well that’s a little excessive. Unless you live in the Sedgewick or on top of the Tenleytown metro, it’s not going to get that much worse.


Actually, the PSA that includes Saratoga, Brandywine, Connecticut House was found to have the greatest crime increase of anywhere in the city, numbers were crunched from DC Crime Cards. Obviously not highest numbers in city but greatest change. Now a daytime weekend shooting after a lot of MPD focus for years. I live in that PSA and the effects of quality of life and safety in the past few years have been tremendous. There are tennis courts and a playground on the block where a shooting occurred at 3pm on a Saturday. We won't be the only ones likely to move. And for those that leave the Saratoga and Brandywine, the ratio of paying tenants may shrink further. My kids go to school near and often use the Tenleytown metro. I'd be remiss as a parent not to react to real shifts in safety levels. YMMV.

Crime becoming less predictable, more random and more diffuse has stretched a smaller MPD very thin. The commercial tax base has shrunk and population is dropping so there will be less money for safety initiatives, services, etc. It's happened before, maybe newcomers don't know that.

Not really the time to be Pollyanna when it comes to my family's well being when we heard the shots on Saturday. We moved away from that to what used to be a very quiet, safe area, for that and for the schools. Now, it's far less safe. There have been dozens upon dozens of community meetings in the past few years. For those unaware of that history, they may think there is some likely fix if they send a few emails or make a few calls, but no. The idea that Courtney Carlson can impact this in any way is laughable, Mary Cheh was not able to do much, with more power, and living even closer to the problem buildings. In fact, talking about the issues may have led to pushback that caused her to not run again.

Thanks for your support and concern for my family's well being, PP, the heartfelt scorn is noted.


I live in an area with much more crime and am concerned about it. Still, I think you’re being a bit absurd. Moving to the burbs and driving a lot is statistically higher risk for you.


People love to post the “driving more” narrative in response to concerns about rising crime. We moved to the suburbs after 25 years due to rising crime in our neighborhood. We drive less out here. My kids can walk to the ES, MS and HS. We can easily walk to three different pools, hiking trails, tennis courts and sports fields. My kids walk or bike to get snacks or pizza with friends. We have a community center and recreation center that haven’t been taken over by pot smokers and the homeless. If we want to go into the city it’s a 20 min drive. Driving is really a minor inconvenience versus dealing with package thefts, carjackings, violent unhoused people, or random gunfire on a regular basis.

Crime in DC will not be properly addressed until the real estate market bottoms out, businesses begin to leave and the tourist industry takes a huge hit. Expect more families to leave. Expect city services to decline due to less tax revenue. You only need to look to the 80s and 90s to see the future.


Most suburbs aren’t that walkable. And the point is not that driving is an inconvenience, but that it is more dangerous than other forms of transit.


And the suburbs that are walkable are not affordable at all.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 10:24     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I have no faith that a floor is going to be put in the crime situation in NW, never mind it improving.

Frumin is not someone who inspires confidence in the future and Bowser admin reps have attended countless community meetings with things only getting worse. The only one who seemed genuinely concerned about public safety was Chris Geldart and he had issues and is long gone.

It makes me quite sad and my family is going to have to look seriously at relocating, having been in DC for 30 years. We moved west for schools and safety after 20 years EOTP and that worked for a long time and now the calculus has changed again. I wish we had gone to the burbs a long time ago, and become established then, we are not at life stages that are super conducive to moving right now.


Well that’s a little excessive. Unless you live in the Sedgewick or on top of the Tenleytown metro, it’s not going to get that much worse.


Actually, the PSA that includes Saratoga, Brandywine, Connecticut House was found to have the greatest crime increase of anywhere in the city, numbers were crunched from DC Crime Cards. Obviously not highest numbers in city but greatest change. Now a daytime weekend shooting after a lot of MPD focus for years. I live in that PSA and the effects of quality of life and safety in the past few years have been tremendous. There are tennis courts and a playground on the block where a shooting occurred at 3pm on a Saturday. We won't be the only ones likely to move. And for those that leave the Saratoga and Brandywine, the ratio of paying tenants may shrink further. My kids go to school near and often use the Tenleytown metro. I'd be remiss as a parent not to react to real shifts in safety levels. YMMV.

Crime becoming less predictable, more random and more diffuse has stretched a smaller MPD very thin. The commercial tax base has shrunk and population is dropping so there will be less money for safety initiatives, services, etc. It's happened before, maybe newcomers don't know that.

Not really the time to be Pollyanna when it comes to my family's well being when we heard the shots on Saturday. We moved away from that to what used to be a very quiet, safe area, for that and for the schools. Now, it's far less safe. There have been dozens upon dozens of community meetings in the past few years. For those unaware of that history, they may think there is some likely fix if they send a few emails or make a few calls, but no. The idea that Courtney Carlson can impact this in any way is laughable, Mary Cheh was not able to do much, with more power, and living even closer to the problem buildings. In fact, talking about the issues may have led to pushback that caused her to not run again.

Thanks for your support and concern for my family's well being, PP, the heartfelt scorn is noted.


I live in an area with much more crime and am concerned about it. Still, I think you’re being a bit absurd. Moving to the burbs and driving a lot is statistically higher risk for you.


People love to post the “driving more” narrative in response to concerns about rising crime. We moved to the suburbs after 25 years due to rising crime in our neighborhood. We drive less out here. My kids can walk to the ES, MS and HS. We can easily walk to three different pools, hiking trails, tennis courts and sports fields. My kids walk or bike to get snacks or pizza with friends. We have a community center and recreation center that haven’t been taken over by pot smokers and the homeless. If we want to go into the city it’s a 20 min drive. Driving is really a minor inconvenience versus dealing with package thefts, carjackings, violent unhoused people, or random gunfire on a regular basis.

Crime in DC will not be properly addressed until the real estate market bottoms out, businesses begin to leave and the tourist industry takes a huge hit. Expect more families to leave. Expect city services to decline due to less tax revenue. You only need to look to the 80s and 90s to see the future.


Most suburbs aren’t that walkable. And the point is not that driving is an inconvenience, but that it is more dangerous than other forms of transit.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 10:20     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Have to say I miss the Fenty years...reasonable mayor, reasonable council, USAO office that still functioned and a stable tax base made for some really good years for family life in the District. The redone playgrounds, the pools, the greater safety, schools on the upswing...
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 10:02     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I have no faith that a floor is going to be put in the crime situation in NW, never mind it improving.

Frumin is not someone who inspires confidence in the future and Bowser admin reps have attended countless community meetings with things only getting worse. The only one who seemed genuinely concerned about public safety was Chris Geldart and he had issues and is long gone.

It makes me quite sad and my family is going to have to look seriously at relocating, having been in DC for 30 years. We moved west for schools and safety after 20 years EOTP and that worked for a long time and now the calculus has changed again. I wish we had gone to the burbs a long time ago, and become established then, we are not at life stages that are super conducive to moving right now.


Well that’s a little excessive. Unless you live in the Sedgewick or on top of the Tenleytown metro, it’s not going to get that much worse.


Actually, the PSA that includes Saratoga, Brandywine, Connecticut House was found to have the greatest crime increase of anywhere in the city, numbers were crunched from DC Crime Cards. Obviously not highest numbers in city but greatest change. Now a daytime weekend shooting after a lot of MPD focus for years. I live in that PSA and the effects of quality of life and safety in the past few years have been tremendous. There are tennis courts and a playground on the block where a shooting occurred at 3pm on a Saturday. We won't be the only ones likely to move. And for those that leave the Saratoga and Brandywine, the ratio of paying tenants may shrink further. My kids go to school near and often use the Tenleytown metro. I'd be remiss as a parent not to react to real shifts in safety levels. YMMV.

Crime becoming less predictable, more random and more diffuse has stretched a smaller MPD very thin. The commercial tax base has shrunk and population is dropping so there will be less money for safety initiatives, services, etc. It's happened before, maybe newcomers don't know that.

Not really the time to be Pollyanna when it comes to my family's well being when we heard the shots on Saturday. We moved away from that to what used to be a very quiet, safe area, for that and for the schools. Now, it's far less safe. There have been dozens upon dozens of community meetings in the past few years. For those unaware of that history, they may think there is some likely fix if they send a few emails or make a few calls, but no. The idea that Courtney Carlson can impact this in any way is laughable, Mary Cheh was not able to do much, with more power, and living even closer to the problem buildings. In fact, talking about the issues may have led to pushback that caused her to not run again.

Thanks for your support and concern for my family's well being, PP, the heartfelt scorn is noted.


I live in an area with much more crime and am concerned about it. Still, I think you’re being a bit absurd. Moving to the burbs and driving a lot is statistically higher risk for you.


People love to post the “driving more” narrative in response to concerns about rising crime. We moved to the suburbs after 25 years due to rising crime in our neighborhood. We drive less out here. My kids can walk to the ES, MS and HS. We can easily walk to three different pools, hiking trails, tennis courts and sports fields. My kids walk or bike to get snacks or pizza with friends. We have a community center and recreation center that haven’t been taken over by pot smokers and the homeless. If we want to go into the city it’s a 20 min drive. Driving is really a minor inconvenience versus dealing with package thefts, carjackings, violent unhoused people, or random gunfire on a regular basis.

Crime in DC will not be properly addressed until the real estate market bottoms out, businesses begin to leave and the tourist industry takes a huge hit. Expect more families to leave. Expect city services to decline due to less tax revenue. You only need to look to the 80s and 90s to see the future.


This. Happy for your quality of life gains, PP. I wish you were not correct. Even in those times there was an occupied downtown so a CRE tax base and an insulated tax base in W3. Now, with remote work, that commercial tax base is not coming back to the same level, especially with the crime trends both on the street and WMATA. People newer to DC really may not understand where this is headed and that may include Allen and Nadeau.

The link above, "Survey ranks DC as one of the least desirable places to live" due to high crime and high costs, made international news. Some foreign governments have issues travel cautions re: DC. If the teams do pull out for VA, Chinatown, once a destination for dining, shopping and entertainment will be nothing but an open air drug market, that used to be a tourist favorite.

A point not mentioned is that the voucher program as implemented here draws people so there is never an endpoint, just like $900 immediate cash benefit draws people to CA. Housing people in individual apartments is far more expensive than other forms of shelter and providing services is exponentially more expensive. How long will it be affordable? What then for those folks?
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 09:43     Subject: Re:Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

But nobody is selling their $2 mil Cleveland Park home due to an uptick in already very low crime levels. The people actually impacted are renters.


Wasn't part of the desirability of those houses the walkability of the neighborhood? The ability to have kids out and about? Violent crime on WMATA is way up too, even at rush hour. Previously it was the short commute but that is not as much of a driving factor with remote/hybrid work. This thread has focused on FH because of the shooting, there have been a lot of issues in Cleveland Park too, thus Frumin being at a public safety meeting there last week.

Housing values have dropped in DC before, can happen again. I'd love for all of this to turn around but don't see any sign. And the CRE crash is going to have an unprecedented impact.

Some areas that gentrified have slid back quite a bit re: crime and quality of life issues, think Chinatown, NoMa, Columbia Heights, Petworth. W3 was always insulated to a large extent but that no longer appears to be the case. Some seem far less happy with Deal and JR than was true a few years back, will families be less inclined to buy in W3, especially if commuting 5 days a week is not a factor?

I do not think that the issues at play will be confined in impact to renters in a handful of buildings in Forest Hills. (Or Cleveland Park, or Woodly Park, or Cathedral Heights or Chevy Chase, etc, all experiencing similar issues). A shooting on a busy corner at 3pm on Saturday, near tennis courts and a playground is a spillover effect, no? What, 2 blocks from BreadFurst and just a bit more from Politics & Prose, prized for walkability? Will the bike lanes be bulletproof?

It's rumored that the victims and shooters were not residents of either of the buildings on that corner. 3 shots, only 1 hit the victim. You could be driving by and be hit by a stray. It's alarming.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 09:32     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I have no faith that a floor is going to be put in the crime situation in NW, never mind it improving.

Frumin is not someone who inspires confidence in the future and Bowser admin reps have attended countless community meetings with things only getting worse. The only one who seemed genuinely concerned about public safety was Chris Geldart and he had issues and is long gone.

It makes me quite sad and my family is going to have to look seriously at relocating, having been in DC for 30 years. We moved west for schools and safety after 20 years EOTP and that worked for a long time and now the calculus has changed again. I wish we had gone to the burbs a long time ago, and become established then, we are not at life stages that are super conducive to moving right now.


Well that’s a little excessive. Unless you live in the Sedgewick or on top of the Tenleytown metro, it’s not going to get that much worse.


Actually, the PSA that includes Saratoga, Brandywine, Connecticut House was found to have the greatest crime increase of anywhere in the city, numbers were crunched from DC Crime Cards. Obviously not highest numbers in city but greatest change. Now a daytime weekend shooting after a lot of MPD focus for years. I live in that PSA and the effects of quality of life and safety in the past few years have been tremendous. There are tennis courts and a playground on the block where a shooting occurred at 3pm on a Saturday. We won't be the only ones likely to move. And for those that leave the Saratoga and Brandywine, the ratio of paying tenants may shrink further. My kids go to school near and often use the Tenleytown metro. I'd be remiss as a parent not to react to real shifts in safety levels. YMMV.

Crime becoming less predictable, more random and more diffuse has stretched a smaller MPD very thin. The commercial tax base has shrunk and population is dropping so there will be less money for safety initiatives, services, etc. It's happened before, maybe newcomers don't know that.

Not really the time to be Pollyanna when it comes to my family's well being when we heard the shots on Saturday. We moved away from that to what used to be a very quiet, safe area, for that and for the schools. Now, it's far less safe. There have been dozens upon dozens of community meetings in the past few years. For those unaware of that history, they may think there is some likely fix if they send a few emails or make a few calls, but no. The idea that Courtney Carlson can impact this in any way is laughable, Mary Cheh was not able to do much, with more power, and living even closer to the problem buildings. In fact, talking about the issues may have led to pushback that caused her to not run again.

Thanks for your support and concern for my family's well being, PP, the heartfelt scorn is noted.


I live in an area with much more crime and am concerned about it. Still, I think you’re being a bit absurd. Moving to the burbs and driving a lot is statistically higher risk for you.


People love to post the “driving more” narrative in response to concerns about rising crime. We moved to the suburbs after 25 years due to rising crime in our neighborhood. We drive less out here. My kids can walk to the ES, MS and HS. We can easily walk to three different pools, hiking trails, tennis courts and sports fields. My kids walk or bike to get snacks or pizza with friends. We have a community center and recreation center that haven’t been taken over by pot smokers and the homeless. If we want to go into the city it’s a 20 min drive. Driving is really a minor inconvenience versus dealing with package thefts, carjackings, violent unhoused people, or random gunfire on a regular basis.

Crime in DC will not be properly addressed until the real estate market bottoms out, businesses begin to leave and the tourist industry takes a huge hit. Expect more families to leave. Expect city services to decline due to less tax revenue. You only need to look to the 80s and 90s to see the future.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 09:12     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Do people honestly believe that trends will not impact their own property values not to mention the tax base and quality of life in the city overall?

https://www.wusa9.com/article/news/local/dc/dc-is-the-most-undesirable-us-city-survey-says/65-08ba43d4-4e68-418d-9bd6-0ccfcfd8dc40

Before when DC had very high crime it was CHEAP and I did not have kids. The combo of high crime and high cost of living with remote work is not auspicious for DC. And that CRE crash has not been fully felt.

One thing that has not been mentioned, before the voucher roll out up Connecticut, rents were dropping, some of the not yet problem buildings had signs offering 3 months free rent, etc. Vouchers have not only been a boon to landlords, they have created upward pressure on rents that make it more unaffordable for all. The concerns of those in rent stabilized units that they will be pushed out somehow for a high value voucher resident IS something that Frumin is purportedly attempting to address legislatively.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 09:06     Subject: Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Stats seem to vary

https://www.dcpolicycenter.org/publications/census-shows-pandemic-exodus-has-broken-dc-population-growth/

Will young families be as interested to move to Forest Hills with daytime shootings near the cute little playground and lots of men hanging out smoking pot? Or will they go to the burbs?

There has to be an impact on property values from these shifts in crime patterns, it's just common sense. And for those in a pricy house with a great rate, may not order boxes but will they walk to Forest Hills Playground or drive to a park in Bethesda? People in houses who valued walkability to BreadFurst and Politics & Prose have to be a bit more uneasy now.
Anonymous
Post 09/12/2023 09:01     Subject: Re:Shooting at Brandywine & Connecticut Ave NW This Afternoon

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/a-shaken-washington-copes-with-surging-violence-this-is-not-normal/ar-AA1gxQJ9

Yet, months of persistent gun violence is causing many Washingtonians to question their safety and commitment to the city with an intensity perhaps unseen since the drug wars.


In the 90s there were lots of empty school buildings because so many families had moved out of DC. It seems to happen in cycles, after the riots, during crack epidemic, and I think another one now, with remote work or hybrid schedules making it easier.

In the 90s W3 was fairly insulated from violence but that has changed somewhat. Drug dealing is visible but other constant cues of changes are things like all the empty shelves at CVS or all the locked products at Target. In the past it was a mix of best of suburbs and urban living with short commutes and good schools, but it is more stressful now.


the most recent data has DC proper gaining population, whereas the close-in burbs are losing. and I don’t think school enrollment numbers or housing prices are declining in NW DC. It could happen but come on, Cleveland Park is not H St NE ca 1969.

https://dc.urbanturf.com/articles/blog/dc-up-prince-georges-down-a-look-at-dc-area-population-changes-in-2022/20895


I saw a report that used IRS numbers that had DC population declining.