Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:delta is only 50% more transmissible than the variant circulating last year when vaccination rates were low and our school was back at around 2/3 the total student body, with normal class sizes. There were 2 cases and zero spread in school afaik. I don’t think this model is correct.

I don’t think you understand 50% more means.

What schools had normal class sizes during the 2020-3021 school year?

My DD's class at a Vienna ES had 28 kids in it starting mid April when they went to 4 days. Many classes did as the principal divided them by virtual and hybrid and then they also let a few kids who had chosen virtual originally switch to a hybrid class.

My nephew started school in California two weeks ago. Five days in, one of his classmates tested positive for covid. But since he didn’t sit within 6 feet of the kid, he isn’t even required to quarantine. It’s going to be a rough year

There is mitigation. Masks and testing. My child went to school all of last year and was just fine wearing a cloth mask. Not one case in her 4th grade class the entire time. This year she’ll wear kn95 though, because I realized later that at the cloth masks don’t pass the candle test and are pretty much useless.

Anonymous wrote:My only concern is epigenetics.

I agree. It is enjoyable to make up concerns that have literally never been discussed anywhere. I like to make up stuff in my head to feel bad about.

Anonymous wrote:So some school districts have been back nearly a month now, right? Some masked, some not? Only one month to go and we'll start to see if these model predictions come to fruition.

I'd also like to see if these models prove to be accurate.

So some school districts have been back nearly a month now, right? Some masked, some not? Only one month to go and we'll start to see if these model predictions come to fruition.