Anonymous
01/15/2020 10:24
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Trump approval by 2016 vote (Economist/YouGov polls):
Clinton: 4%
Other: 25%
**Non-voters: 34%**
Trump: 91%
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1217457074067689473?s=21
That doesn't look like enough for re-election. There are so many moving parts that this maybe isn't a terribly useful data point, but if he picks up 4% of the Clinton voters and loses 9% of his own voters, that means -- as between Republican and Democratic voters -- he's down 3 million additional votes. Assuming those votes go to the Democrat, that results in a 9 million vote gap -- which would mean (ignoring 3rd party votes) the Democrat has 53.5% of the vote and Trump has 46.5%. I know that the Electoral College selects the President, but at some point the consent of the governed becomes an issue.
Anonymous
01/15/2020 10:12
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Trump approval by 2016 vote (Economist/YouGov polls):
Clinton: 4%
Other: 25%
**Non-voters: 34%**
Trump: 91%
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1217457074067689473?s=21
Clinton: 4%
Other: 25%
**Non-voters: 34%**
Trump: 91%
https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1217457074067689473?s=21
Anonymous
01/15/2020 10:08
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:MICHIGAN:
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 44%
Bernie Sanders 50%
Trump 45%
Elizabeth Warren 48%
Trump 45%
Pete Buttigieg 47%
Trump 43%
Mike Bloomberg 49%
Trump 42%
https://amp.freep.com/amp/4469175002?__twitter_impression=true
Add 10 to Trump on all polls. This is the same silent caucus who are going to vote for Trump come the election.
LOL where are there silent Trump supporters. I wish they were silent!
And that's why they are silent because they are immediately med with insults rather than discussion like saying they should be silent. Go look at the polls 10 months prior to the last presidential election and tell me I'm wrong. Dems have a lot of work to do and are hanging their hopes on some kind of miracle home run related to impeachment.
Anonymous
01/15/2020 09:57
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:MICHIGAN:
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 44%
Bernie Sanders 50%
Trump 45%
Elizabeth Warren 48%
Trump 45%
Pete Buttigieg 47%
Trump 43%
Mike Bloomberg 49%
Trump 42%
https://amp.freep.com/amp/4469175002?__twitter_impression=true
Add 10 to Trump on all polls. This is the same silent caucus who are going to vote for Trump come the election.
LOL where are there silent Trump supporters. I wish they were silent!
Anonymous
01/15/2020 09:51
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:MICHIGAN:
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 44%
Bernie Sanders 50%
Trump 45%
Elizabeth Warren 48%
Trump 45%
Pete Buttigieg 47%
Trump 43%
Mike Bloomberg 49%
Trump 42%
https://amp.freep.com/amp/4469175002?__twitter_impression=true
Add 10 to Trump on all polls. This is the same silent caucus who are going to vote for Trump come the election.
He won Michigan by a hair last time. It was hardly a landslide.
Anonymous
01/15/2020 09:40
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:MICHIGAN:
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 44%
Bernie Sanders 50%
Trump 45%
Elizabeth Warren 48%
Trump 45%
Pete Buttigieg 47%
Trump 43%
Mike Bloomberg 49%
Trump 42%
https://amp.freep.com/amp/4469175002?__twitter_impression=true
Add 10 to Trump on all polls. This is the same silent caucus who are going to vote for Trump come the election.
Anonymous
01/15/2020 09:38
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
MICHIGAN:
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 44%
Bernie Sanders 50%
Trump 45%
Elizabeth Warren 48%
Trump 45%
Pete Buttigieg 47%
Trump 43%
Mike Bloomberg 49%
Trump 42%
https://amp.freep.com/amp/4469175002?__twitter_impression=true
Joe Biden 50%
Donald Trump 44%
Bernie Sanders 50%
Trump 45%
Elizabeth Warren 48%
Trump 45%
Pete Buttigieg 47%
Trump 43%
Mike Bloomberg 49%
Trump 42%
https://amp.freep.com/amp/4469175002?__twitter_impression=true
Anonymous
01/13/2020 16:55
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:NBC 10 Boston/Franklin Pierce University/The Boston Herald just released poll results out of New Hampshire.
Biden: 26%
Sanders: 22%
Warren: 18%
Buttigieg: 7%
Bloomberg: 4%
That is an excellent poll for Biden, wow.
Anonymous
01/13/2020 16:47
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
NBC 10 Boston/Franklin Pierce University/The Boston Herald just released poll results out of New Hampshire.
Biden: 26%
Sanders: 22%
Warren: 18%
Buttigieg: 7%
Bloomberg: 4%
Biden: 26%
Sanders: 22%
Warren: 18%
Buttigieg: 7%
Bloomberg: 4%
Anonymous
01/13/2020 14:33
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Go Amy!
Anonymous
01/13/2020 14:03
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Iowa Monmouth Poll (1/9-1/12):
Biden 24%
Sanders 18%
Buttigieg 17%
Warren 15%
Klobuchar 8%
Booker 4%
Steyer 4%
Yang 3%
Gabbard 2%
Biden 24%
Sanders 18%
Buttigieg 17%
Warren 15%
Klobuchar 8%
Booker 4%
Steyer 4%
Yang 3%
Gabbard 2%
Anonymous
01/10/2020 13:09
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Anonymous wrote:Does anyone believe today’s FIX News polls for Nevada and South Carolina showing Steyer in double digits, in second in SC (ahead of both Sanders and Warren) and even with Warren at 12% in NV? I know he has been doing a ton of ad buys but I thought caucus goers in NV in particular were very organized around whoever Harry Reid supports.
I wonder if it is somehow a stunt to get into the debates? I mean, he pays to get $1 donations, so why not do other manipulative tricks?
Anonymous
01/10/2020 12:54
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
Does anyone believe today’s FIX News polls for Nevada and South Carolina showing Steyer in double digits, in second in SC (ahead of both Sanders and Warren) and even with Warren at 12% in NV? I know he has been doing a ton of ad buys but I thought caucus goers in NV in particular were very organized around whoever Harry Reid supports.
Anonymous
01/10/2020 09:30
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
If Georgia didn't have the most egregious voter suppression, it could be in play, alas.
Anonymous
01/10/2020 09:27
Subject: Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
I know, polls LOLS and polls had Hillary beating Trump in these states, too, but on RCP today:
and yesterday, similar results in Michigan (and Georgia not looking so good for any blue wave)
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 46, Trump 41 Biden +5
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Sanders FOX News Sanders 46, Trump 42 Sanders +4
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Warren FOX News Trump 42, Warren 44 Warren +2
Wisconsin: Trump vs. Buttigieg FOX News Buttigieg 42, Trump 41 Buttigieg +1
Nevada: Trump vs. Biden FOX News Biden 47, Trump 39 Biden +8
Nevada: Trump vs. Sanders FOX News Sanders 46, Trump 41 Sanders +5
Nevada: Trump vs. Warren FOX News Trump 42, Warren 43 Warren +1
Nevada: Trump vs. Buttigieg FOX News Trump 40, Buttigieg 41 Buttigieg +1
and yesterday, similar results in Michigan (and Georgia not looking so good for any blue wave)
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden Detroit News/WDIV-TV Biden 50, Trump 43 Biden +7
Michigan: Trump vs. Sanders Detroit News/WDIV-TV Sanders 49, Trump 45 Sanders +4
Michigan: Trump vs. Warren Detroit News/WDIV-TV Warren 46, Trump 44 Warren +2
Michigan: Trump vs. Buttigieg Detroit News/WDIV-TV Buttigieg 45, Trump 43 Buttigieg +2
Michigan: Trump vs. Bloomberg Detroit News/WDIV-TV Bloomberg 47, Trump 41 Bloomberg +6
Georgia: Trump vs. Biden Mason-Dixon Biden 44, Trump 51 Trump +7
Georgia: Trump vs. Sanders Mason-Dixon Trump 52, Sanders 42 Trump +10
Georgia: Trump vs. Warren Mason-Dixon Trump 54, Warren 40 Trump +14
Georgia: Trump vs. Buttigieg Mason-Dixon Trump 52, Buttigieg 43 Trump +9