Anonymous wrote:
That's very interesting. I wonder how private sector jobs have fared in comparison.
Anonymous wrote:A few years ago, I sat down and tried to do a comparison of new federal employees entering the workforce in 1984, 1994, 2004, and 2014.
I tried to normalize everything-- Student attends eight semesters at University of Maryland while living at home and working 700 hours a year at federal minimum wage to pay tuition/save for a vehicle. Student starts work as a GS7-1, rents an apartment, and saves to buy a compact car (Toyota Camry or Corolla, depending on the year-- the models all shifted up a class around 1990 or so), and hopes to buy a house in a particular neighborhood in Columbia, MD where I could find good sales history. Any tuition not covered by the minimum wage job is paid for with student loans. The house is to be purchased with 20% down and with current mortgage rates. I also factored in differences in DC-area locality pay. It did not exist in 1984, and has grown since then.
I couldn't get historical rent rates for any particular apartment complexes, so I had to rely on regional statistical data for that, which kind of sucks.
I factored in federal and local income tax rates, medicare and social security, required pension contributions, 10% charitable giving, and 5% TSP contribution. I did not factor in cell phones or internet service or cable bills or luxury items.
The biggest thing hurting this fictitious person as time went on was college tuition. In 1984, the student would have about $5000 in his pocket. By 2014, he'd be about $15000 in debt.
With no other debt, a new, basic car was more attainable in 2014 than 1984. The student loans really kill it, though.
Median rent in the area for a 1-bedroom apartment was $326 in 1984. That's 30% of the new grad's take-home pay.
Median rent in the area for a 1-bedroom apartment was $1302 in 2014, or 49% of the new grad's take-home pay.
For a new grad after paying taxes, rent on a 1-bedroom apartment, 10% charitable contribution, 5% TSP contribution, and required pension contributions, I came up with a monthly "discretionary" income of:
1984: $444.24
1994: $490.60
2004: $683.96
2014: $445.72
These numbers are not adjusted for inflation and would have to cover bills, groceries, student loans, if applicable, and savings toward a new car or house. For the new grad in 1984 and 2014, these are virtually the same number. I put "discretionary" in scare-quotes because groceries, bills, and loan-repayments still have to be covered out of this money.
A car, by itself, became more attainable as time went on, but the extra savings for the 1984 new-grad more than made up for it. Assuming a new-grad uses 70% of his discretionary income to pay off student loans (if applicable) and save for that new Toyota Camry or Corolla, he'll be all set in:
1984: 14 months
1994: 28 months
2004: 23 months
2014: 35 months
Assuming he then saves 70% of his discretionary income, he'll have a 20% down-payment on that house in an additional:
1984: 52 months
1994: 67 months
2004: 101 months
2014: 180 months
But mortgage rates have changed a lot. Instead, let's assume he wants to save enough so that he has a down-payment that allows him to keep the 30-year mortgage bill to 1/3 of his income, it will be an additional:
1984: 140 months
1994: 109 months
2004: 199 months
2014: 197 months
The total to do all three-- pay off college, buy a Toyota Corolla or Camry, and save a down-payment to get the mortgage to 1/3 of income comes to:
1984: 156 months
1994: 147 months
2004: 245 months
2014: 302 months
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I hate those self serving ads by WF showcasing a millennial couple eating out several times a week (once at a food cart), and that being the prime reason they can’t afford downpayment on a house.
Such BS. It’s sky high rent, student loans, and medical insurance — not avacado today du jour
Maybe instead of offering sham financial counseling, they offer low fixed rate student consolidation loans.
Sky high rent, LOL! I'm gen x and had 5 roommates to save money, bought a home and then STILL had roommates until I had a kid. I had roommates until I was 34yrs old. Rent has always been high relative to income. Millenials make way more than I did. Starting pay at my company is 70k. My first job in 2000 from which I got LAID OFF from in 2001 was for 35k.
To be fair, with a 3% inflation, prices double every twenty years -so the starting salary of $70k now is the same as a $35k salary twenty years ago.
My first job paid $10/hr and wouldn't give me full time hours (nonprofits in 2008...woohoo). I'm 33 and finally surpassed $80k. You can bet I feel kind of dumb if kids straight out of college are making $70k, but I gotta say it has not been a linear increase in starting salaries since 2001, and we can't all make up the gap.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I hate those self serving ads by WF showcasing a millennial couple eating out several times a week (once at a food cart), and that being the prime reason they can’t afford downpayment on a house.
Such BS. It’s sky high rent, student loans, and medical insurance — not avacado today du jour
Maybe instead of offering sham financial counseling, they offer low fixed rate student consolidation loans.
Sky high rent, LOL! I'm gen x and had 5 roommates to save money, bought a home and then STILL had roommates until I had a kid. I had roommates until I was 34yrs old. Rent has always been high relative to income. Millenials make way more than I did. Starting pay at my company is 70k. My first job in 2000 from which I got LAID OFF from in 2001 was for 35k.
To be fair, with a 3% inflation, prices double every twenty years -so the starting salary of $70k now is the same as a $35k salary twenty years ago.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I hate those self serving ads by WF showcasing a millennial couple eating out several times a week (once at a food cart), and that being the prime reason they can’t afford downpayment on a house.
Such BS. It’s sky high rent, student loans, and medical insurance — not avacado today du jour
Maybe instead of offering sham financial counseling, they offer low fixed rate student consolidation loans.
Sky high rent, LOL! I'm gen x and had 5 roommates to save money, bought a home and then STILL had roommates until I had a kid. I had roommates until I was 34yrs old. Rent has always been high relative to income. Millenials make way more than I did. Starting pay at my company is 70k. My first job in 2000 from which I got LAID OFF from in 2001 was for 35k.
To be fair, with a 3% inflation, prices double every twenty years -so the starting salary of $70k now is the same as a $35k salary twenty years ago.
Anonymous wrote:The rents are high, and housing is more expensive, but as a percentage of income, it is not that different.
I was born at the cusp of the Baby-boom and GenX (late '63).
When I graduated college, my field (not the overall economy) was dead. So, I went to Grad School, and entered the workforce at 30. (1994).
My first job, with a PhD paid 35K, and I was paying 1000/month in rent. That was very tight.
Today, someone in my field earns 2x that (or more), with rents around 2K in a comparable appartment. Houses are 2.5x more money, but interest rates are much lower, so the monthly payments are only about 50% higher (8% vs 4% interest rates).
So the town house I bought in 1994 for 107K, and had a $900/month payment (including taxes), is now 250K, with a payment of $1500/mo.
The biggest difference is my college tuition was about 2K/year (Va Tech in-state), grad school was funded by grants). So, I graduated debt free.
As I am getting ready to put my DD through school, Va Tech is 4x more per year (including housing) than when I went there.
This is the scandal. Oh, and taxes are "lower" on the Uber-rich.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I think all of us would concede that things are more expensive and that in most industries wages haven’t kept up. But you have to concede that you want to buy a $1 million dollars home and are complaining that your inability to do that is because life is so much harder today. I would say that if you wanted to buy. $300,000 home and couldn’t, I would agree. But your argument fails because your $1 m home is just out of reach for the majority of people regardless of age or generation. You are not unable to buy that because of your age or wage alone. That is an extremely expensive home.
Uh, we just bought a $1.1M shack which the prior owners bought for $250k in 1999.
It’s not an extremely expensive or fancy house. It’s just a house with ok schools and ok commute.
It isn’t like Millenials are saying ‘I want a $1M house’, they just want an ok house in an ok neighborhood.
I think OP said he needs a down payment of $200000. I am basing the million on that. If he says I am wrong, then fine but it was his number.
Well yeah, he is saying $1M — b/c that’s what ok houses with less than a 1 hr commute tend to cost.
This is what reveals your entitlement. If you want new and fancy for less than a million, you have to commute. If you are ok with older, you can have a shorter commute. This isn’t a challenge that only millennials face. The fact that you think so is more evidence that you have absolutely no perspective. The majority of people make that choice.
WTF?? New and fancy? $1M is for lipstick-on-pig tear downs with modest commute.
https://www.redfin.com/VA/Falls-Church/5904-Boston-Dr-22041/home/9648234 what's wrong with this place?
If I don’t have kids and never have to have it appreciate (because it won’t with those schools) then nothing
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I hate those self serving ads by WF showcasing a millennial couple eating out several times a week (once at a food cart), and that being the prime reason they can’t afford downpayment on a house.
Such BS. It’s sky high rent, student loans, and medical insurance — not avacado today du jour
Maybe instead of offering sham financial counseling, they offer low fixed rate student consolidation loans.
Sky high rent, LOL! I'm gen x and had 5 roommates to save money, bought a home and then STILL had roommates until I had a kid. I had roommates until I was 34yrs old. Rent has always been high relative to income. Millenials make way more than I did. Starting pay at my company is 70k. My first job in 2000 from which I got LAID OFF from in 2001 was for 35k.
To be fair, with a 3% inflation, prices double every twenty years -so the starting salary of $70k now is the same as a $35k salary twenty years ago.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I hate those self serving ads by WF showcasing a millennial couple eating out several times a week (once at a food cart), and that being the prime reason they can’t afford downpayment on a house.
Such BS. It’s sky high rent, student loans, and medical insurance — not avacado today du jour
Maybe instead of offering sham financial counseling, they offer low fixed rate student consolidation loans.
Sky high rent, LOL! I'm gen x and had 5 roommates to save money, bought a home and then STILL had roommates until I had a kid. I had roommates until I was 34yrs old. Rent has always been high relative to income. Millenials make way more than I did. Starting pay at my company is 70k. My first job in 2000 from which I got LAID OFF from in 2001 was for 35k.
Anonymous wrote:I hate those self serving ads by WF showcasing a millennial couple eating out several times a week (once at a food cart), and that being the prime reason they can’t afford downpayment on a house.
Such BS. It’s sky high rent, student loans, and medical insurance — not avacado today du jour
Maybe instead of offering sham financial counseling, they offer low fixed rate student consolidation loans.
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:I hate those self serving ads by WF showcasing a millennial couple eating out several times a week (once at a food cart), and that being the prime reason they can’t afford downpayment on a house.
Such BS. It’s sky high rent, student loans, and medical insurance — not avacado today du jour
Maybe instead of offering sham financial counseling, they offer low fixed rate student consolidation loans.
I totally get what you're saying. Sky high rents and student loans are a problem for so many. But I also feel like a lot of millennials just do not know how to save. They are a generation who has never had to endure hardship. I'm not talking personal (family divorce, low income). I'm talking generationally (war, really bad economy). I think people who have been comfortable their entire life just don't know how to prepare for the worst. Eating out three or four times a week can mean a difference between an ok place to live and a nice one.
This is not a factual statement. I am an “elder millennial” as I was born in 1982. We know all about economic downturn as the housing and economic crash of 2008 led to foreclosure and diminished retirement accounts for many of our parents. Since older generations love to point out how we rely on our parents to support us financially, please recognize the impact that had on us. We had to take out student loans, because now our parents could not pay. We had no family money toward our first home mortgage down payment because our parents had to recover from their own underwater mortgages and foreclosures. We are now sandwiched in paying childcare costs for our children and paying eldercare costs for our parents because both types of care cost a ton and are not adequately subsidized by our tax dollars when you are earning too much for subsidy yet earn too little to shoulder all of these costs. There is a structural link between Baby Boomers’ intensive government subsidies and millennials’ current economic stretch.