Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I still think Friday’s job report will suck and I am just not comfortable overall that we haven’t beat our word and the sustained downturn is still on for the foreseeable future. Yep. I’m a skeptical bear. I’m gonna sit on my azz in the G fund (which hasn’t lost any value in the last month) and just keep fence sitting until I feel comfortable about jumping in and that we won’t see more massive dumps coming or a big recession. Granted I am still having my contributions go to C and I fund, but my actual cash load is sitting in G fund waiting until I feel comfortable about buying a sht ton more of C or I fund stocks at a bigger discount. I have a feeling retail is exuberant to buy right now but the market makers always know better. So yeah talk all the sht you want about my market timing. I dgaf. It’s paid off so far. I think we are headed for bad economic times because of tariffs, jobs, all this world tumult and so forth and if you want to keep buying now.

Wrong again.

And you believe the numbers? Let’s talk in a month when they are revised down like usual.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Op here. I am so fking glad I stayed in G. Market is going to drill tomorrow and I will be safely ensconced in the G fund. I may actually move some funds into I when it’s down like 500 points or whatever tomorrow. Either way, couldn’t you people tell we are on a downward trend? Can’t you understand how market drops work? I will be able to buy so many more shares of cheap stocks now than you folks who just stayed in C or whatever.

This was wrong.

DP: you are correct. Market was mostly flat yesterday.

That said, with Trump and Hegseth going on a firing spree it very much looks like we are invading within the next week or two. That’s when equity markets will really start feeling the pain.

I am taking some gains off the table and putting into G. The path to escalation is now clear.

I was 58% I, 40% C, 2% G

Reallocated to 60% G, 20% I, 20% C.

Risk signs are flashing red for me to preserve capital. The downed pilots and firing of all the senior generals mean we are starting the land war very shortly.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Op here. I am so fking glad I stayed in G. Market is going to drill tomorrow and I will be safely ensconced in the G fund. I may actually move some funds into I when it’s down like 500 points or whatever tomorrow. Either way, couldn’t you people tell we are on a downward trend? Can’t you understand how market drops work? I will be able to buy so many more shares of cheap stocks now than you folks who just stayed in C or whatever.

This was wrong.

DP: you are correct. Market was mostly flat yesterday.

That said, with Trump and Hegseth going on a firing spree it very much looks like we are invading within the next week or two. That’s when equity markets will really start feeling the pain.

I am taking some gains off the table and putting into G. The path to escalation is now clear.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Op here. I am so fking glad I stayed in G. Market is going to drill tomorrow and I will be safely ensconced in the G fund. I may actually move some funds into I when it’s down like 500 points or whatever tomorrow. Either way, couldn’t you people tell we are on a downward trend? Can’t you understand how market drops work? I will be able to buy so many more shares of cheap stocks now than you folks who just stayed in C or whatever.

This was wrong.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I still think Friday’s job report will suck and I am just not comfortable overall that we haven’t beat our word and the sustained downturn is still on for the foreseeable future. Yep. I’m a skeptical bear. I’m gonna sit on my azz in the G fund (which hasn’t lost any value in the last month) and just keep fence sitting until I feel comfortable about jumping in and that we won’t see more massive dumps coming or a big recession. Granted I am still having my contributions go to C and I fund, but my actual cash load is sitting in G fund waiting until I feel comfortable about buying a sht ton more of C or I fund stocks at a bigger discount. I have a feeling retail is exuberant to buy right now but the market makers always know better. So yeah talk all the sht you want about my market timing. I dgaf. It’s paid off so far. I think we are headed for bad economic times because of tariffs, jobs, all this world tumult and so forth and if you want to keep buying now.

Wrong again.

And you believe the numbers? Let’s talk in a month when they are revised down like usual.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I still think Friday’s job report will suck and I am just not comfortable overall that we haven’t beat our word and the sustained downturn is still on for the foreseeable future. Yep. I’m a skeptical bear. I’m gonna sit on my azz in the G fund (which hasn’t lost any value in the last month) and just keep fence sitting until I feel comfortable about jumping in and that we won’t see more massive dumps coming or a big recession. Granted I am still having my contributions go to C and I fund, but my actual cash load is sitting in G fund waiting until I feel comfortable about buying a sht ton more of C or I fund stocks at a bigger discount. I have a feeling retail is exuberant to buy right now but the market makers always know better. So yeah talk all the sht you want about my market timing. I dgaf. It’s paid off so far. I think we are headed for bad economic times because of tariffs, jobs, all this world tumult and so forth and if you want to keep buying now.

Wrong again.

Anonymous wrote:I still think Friday’s job report will suck and I am just not comfortable overall that we haven’t beat our word and the sustained downturn is still on for the foreseeable future. Yep. I’m a skeptical bear. I’m gonna sit on my azz in the G fund (which hasn’t lost any value in the last month) and just keep fence sitting until I feel comfortable about jumping in and that we won’t see more massive dumps coming or a big recession. Granted I am still having my contributions go to C and I fund, but my actual cash load is sitting in G fund waiting until I feel comfortable about buying a sht ton more of C or I fund stocks at a bigger discount. I have a feeling retail is exuberant to buy right now but the market makers always know better. So yeah talk all the sht you want about my market timing. I dgaf. It’s paid off so far. I think we are headed for bad economic times because of tariffs, jobs, all this world tumult and so forth and if you want to keep buying now.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Op here. I am so fking glad I stayed in G. Market is going to drill tomorrow and I will be safely ensconced in the G fund. I may actually move some funds into I when it’s down like 500 points or whatever tomorrow. Either way, couldn’t you people tell we are on a downward trend? Can’t you understand how market drops work? I will be able to buy so many more shares of cheap stocks now than you folks who just stayed in C or whatever.

This was wrong.

Anonymous wrote:Op here. I am so fking glad I stayed in G. Market is going to drill tomorrow and I will be safely ensconced in the G fund. I may actually move some funds into I when it’s down like 500 points or whatever tomorrow. Either way, couldn’t you people tell we are on a downward trend? Can’t you understand how market drops work? I will be able to buy so many more shares of cheap stocks now than you folks who just stayed in C or whatever.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:OMG I've never seen anyone overestimate their own abilities like this in my entire life.

It wasn’t rocket science. I saw a period of immense tumult on the horizon and clicked “exchange fund” and the gambit paid off. I have preserved thousands in capital. All I have to do is click exchange again and I’m back in equities.

Except that wouldn’t make sense because looking at this from a macro perspective we are not going to rally. The jobs report comes out tomorrow, if even remotely accurate it won’t be great, gas is at $111 a barrel and rising without a clear solution in sight, and even then with 20% of capacity apparently having been diminished, inflation is persistent and I’m sure you’ve felt the pressure at the store and the pump.

So what makes you think I’m wrong or overestimating my abilities?

The entire point is that I see the market slipping more days than rising and I have been right. If you read the news about international events right now is a great time to be in G fund where capital does not erode.

I’m guessing I’ll switch into possible 80% I and 20% C in the next few weeks, but not this week. I honestly saved myself like a 17% loss in value by doing what I did with the move, so it wasn’t overestimating myself. It was lucky, but it was also based on a reasonable person’s assumptions based on news of how there are difficult economic headwinds. Anyway, you do you.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:OMG I've never seen anyone overestimate their own abilities like this in my entire life.

It wasn’t rocket science. I saw a period of immense tumult on the horizon and clicked “exchange fund” and the gambit paid off. I have preserved thousands in capital. All I have to do is click exchange again and I’m back in equities.

Except that wouldn’t make sense because looking at this from a macro perspective we are not going to rally. The jobs report comes out tomorrow, if even remotely accurate it won’t be great, gas is at $111 a barrel and rising without a clear solution in sight, and even then with 20% of capacity apparently having been diminished, inflation is persistent and I’m sure you’ve felt the pressure at the store and the pump.

So what makes you think I’m wrong or overestimating my abilities?

The entire point is that I see the market slipping more days than rising and I have been right. If you read the news about international events right now is a great time to be in G fund where capital does not erode.

I’m guessing I’ll switch into possible 80% I and 20% C in the next few weeks, but not this week. I honestly saved myself like a 17% loss in value by doing what I did with the move, so it wasn’t overestimating myself. It was lucky, but it was also based on a reasonable person’s assumptions based on news of how there are difficult economic headwinds. Anyway, you do you.

How did you save yourself a 17% loss?

I’m already back in the green. I haven’t lost anything.