Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is so Democrats can’t get any nominees out of committee. Really slithery.

They would still be up 50-49.

She is still caucusing with Democrats. She has said her behavior won’t change.

Cite?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is so Democrats can’t get any nominees out of committee. Really slithery.

They would still be up 50-49.

She is still caucusing with Democrats. She has said her behavior won’t change.

Cite?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is so Democrats can’t get any nominees out of committee. Really slithery.

They would still be up 50-49.

She is still caucusing with Democrats. She has said her behavior won’t change.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is so Democrats can’t get any nominees out of committee. Really slithery.

They would still be up 50-49.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:People do not understand how angry AZ Dem voters are at Sinema. The AZ Dems are consolidated and fired up to replace her.

The GOP will put up a MAGA candidate in 2024 and that person will get 35% of the vote in a general election. That leaves 65% to split between Dem Gallego and Ind. Sinema. Gallego will get at least 40%

The math doesn’t work for Independent Sinema in the 2024 General Election. Shes appealing to disaffected non-MAGA Republicans and there are not enough of them to win.

I don't even see the disaffected non-MAGA republicans voting for her. She's basically adopted the most unpopular positions from each party. She's all in on the left wing social stuff that republicans and independents hate, and also all in on the plutocratic low tax/ kill the safety net agenda that democrats and independents hate. She would finish a very distant third place in a three-way race.

She's proof that fiscally conservative/socially liberal isn't as popular as people think

She didn't go for everything Democrats wanted, but she is not fiscally conservative.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:People do not understand how angry AZ Dem voters are at Sinema. The AZ Dems are consolidated and fired up to replace her.

The GOP will put up a MAGA candidate in 2024 and that person will get 35% of the vote in a general election. That leaves 65% to split between Dem Gallego and Ind. Sinema. Gallego will get at least 40%

The math doesn’t work for Independent Sinema in the 2024 General Election. Shes appealing to disaffected non-MAGA Republicans and there are not enough of them to win.

I don't even see the disaffected non-MAGA republicans voting for her. She's basically adopted the most unpopular positions from each party. She's all in on the left wing social stuff that republicans and independents hate, and also all in on the plutocratic low tax/ kill the safety net agenda that democrats and independents hate. She would finish a very distant third place in a three-way race.

She's proof that fiscally conservative/socially liberal isn't as popular as people think

Anonymous wrote:

jsteele wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is all about avoiding the embarrassment of losing the Dem primary in 2024. There will be no functional difference in the Senate.

Precisely. The most interesting part will be how her dem opponent plays it. Does he go left or center. If he goes left he gives her a shot to split the electorate.

It doesn’t matter which way Ruben Gallego goes, she and him both running in the general will split that vote and both will lose to whatever Republican runs.

Based on polling, she would more likely split with a Republican and Gallego would coast.

I wouldn’t count on it. I’ll bet she would start at 10-15% and then watch her support dwindle down to less than 2% by Election Day. Republicans and Democrats will come home, as usual, and the election will be super close again. Embarrassing for Sinema though.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why would she do this? Running as an independent ensures no Dem in AZ will vote for her (or only they very disillusioned would) and it will split the Republican vote because the GOP will run a MAGA candidate.

You answered your own question. She is part of the Koch funded "greens" astroturfing who was more politically successful than anyone could have imagined. She isn't and never has been a progressive green party representative.

Could you explain this Koch plan? Any names?

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why would she do this? Running as an independent ensures no Dem in AZ will vote for her (or only they very disillusioned would) and it will split the Republican vote because the GOP will run a MAGA candidate.

You answered your own question. She is part of the Koch funded "greens" astroturfing who was more politically successful than anyone could have imagined. She isn't and never has been a progressive green party representative.

Anonymous wrote:This is so Democrats can’t get any nominees out of committee. Really slithery.

jsteele wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This is all about avoiding the embarrassment of losing the Dem primary in 2024. There will be no functional difference in the Senate.

Precisely. The most interesting part will be how her dem opponent plays it. Does he go left or center. If he goes left he gives her a shot to split the electorate.

It doesn’t matter which way Ruben Gallego goes, she and him both running in the general will split that vote and both will lose to whatever Republican runs.

Based on polling, she would more likely split with a Republican and Gallego would coast.

Anonymous wrote:Sinema did not do this out of some altruistic motive to abide by her conscience. She did it because her internal polling shows she will be crushed in the primary. Her only hope now is to run as an independent and scare the dems into not running a candidate that would split the vote.