Pretty clearly most schools way down for PK ages.

Will be interesting to see whether overall enrollment figures tank.

Seems to me that the PK decline has to be people moving away at these ages... we know a few. This year was very very hard for parents of 2-4 year olds and many moved to be near their families for help.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Both Two Rivers campuses waitlists are basically cut in half from last year. Have that many people fled the city, or are people just tired of change and staying at their current care or school situation?

Some of the other HRCS numbers went down a little bit but nowhere near 50%. I think the failure to have any successful hybrid IPL this spring is not a good sign for the fall and could be a factor, especially for ECE.

There you go again. Get over it! TR is returning full-time for all grades in the fall, which is the decision people make with the lottery. I love that you continue to whine but you and your two kids will return. Latin's numbers are way down too and they (by all accounts) did IPL in Q4. So how do you square that circle?

Nope, won’t be at the school. You can be defensive and disillusioned but many families have seen what leadership really thinks about families and their deflection in taking any accountability for their decisions and the kids education. TR can talk all they want. Actions speaks louder than words.

Their waitlist is way, way down. Much more than other schools, and I predict that the waitlist will move much deeper as families don’t re-enroll.

LAMB is down a little like some other HRCS. But nowhere close to 50%.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Both Two Rivers campuses waitlists are basically cut in half from last year. Have that many people fled the city, or are people just tired of change and staying at their current care or school situation?

Some of the other HRCS numbers went down a little bit but nowhere near 50%. I think the failure to have any successful hybrid IPL this spring is not a good sign for the fall and could be a factor, especially for ECE.

There you go again. Get over it! TR is returning full-time for all grades in the fall, which is the decision people make with the lottery. I love that you continue to whine but you and your two kids will return. Latin's numbers are way down too and they (by all accounts) did IPL in Q4. So how do you square that circle?

Ludlow is down. Maurey is down. Brent is down.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Both Two Rivers campuses waitlists are basically cut in half from last year. Have that many people fled the city, or are people just tired of change and staying at their current care or school situation?

Some of the other HRCS numbers went down a little bit but nowhere near 50%. I think the failure to have any successful hybrid IPL this spring is not a good sign for the fall and could be a factor, especially for ECE.

There you go again. Get over it! TR is returning full-time for all grades in the fall, which is the decision people make with the lottery. I love that you continue to whine but you and your two kids will return. Latin's numbers are way down too and they (by all accounts) did IPL in Q4. So how do you square that circle?

Anonymous wrote:Could it be that people are increasingly satisfied with their inbound options and not bothering with the long shoot of getting into a desirable charter or oob at a WOTP/Cap Hill school?

I don't think the real estate data supports a mass exodus theory but i haven't done a deep dive on that. The privates also don't magically have a bunch more seats available.

I think DCPS being more fully open than TR and ITS has made some people disinclined to switch.

Anonymous wrote:From past conversations at our school, I believe the current 4th grade cohort is a smaller cohort than the 3rd and 5th grade cohorts citywide, but I can’t be bothered looking up data right now. Sorry. But that may play into the shorter Latin and Basis waitlists.

The 5th graders are the Snowmaggedon babies!

From past conversations at our school, I believe the current 4th grade cohort is a smaller cohort than the 3rd and 5th grade cohorts citywide, but I can’t be bothered looking up data right now. Sorry. But that may play into the shorter Latin and Basis waitlists.

Could it be that people are increasingly satisfied with their inbound options and not bothering with the long shoot of getting into a desirable charter or oob at a WOTP/Cap Hill school?

I don't think the real estate data supports a mass exodus theory but i haven't done a deep dive on that. The privates also don't magically have a bunch more seats available.

Look at the data by school. The popular WOTP and EOTP elementary lottery numbers for PK3, PK4 are not down in most cases, and only down a bit in others. It might be the numbers are down at a lot of the other schools and some
Charters.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If re-enrollment paperwork isn't due until later in the spring, how do schools know how many lottery seats are available? For instance, I'm looking at my child's (charter) ES and there are a few lottery slots in every grade. Whereas JKLMM have zero lottery spots for rising/upper grades. I understand they're at max capacity with IB, so that means there's no chance for "school choice" at these schools?

Some families moved mid-year (and they didn't fill spots) and some families who moved already announced their intentions.

But based on so many folks saying that their JKLMM kids will be going private bc no IPL, wouldn’t there be lottery spots for OB students? It’s really unfortunate that this entire process isn’t consistent across the board and more transparent.

It’s because they aren’t actually moving. Lots of people talk on this forum. You need to learn to take what they are saying with a grain of salt.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If re-enrollment paperwork isn't due until later in the spring, how do schools know how many lottery seats are available? For instance, I'm looking at my child's (charter) ES and there are a few lottery slots in every grade. Whereas JKLMM have zero lottery spots for rising/upper grades. I understand they're at max capacity with IB, so that means there's no chance for "school choice" at these schools?

Some families moved mid-year (and they didn't fill spots) and some families who moved already announced their intentions.

But based on so many folks saying that their JKLMM kids will be going private bc no IPL, wouldn’t there be lottery spots for OB students? It’s really unfortunate that this entire process isn’t consistent across the board and more transparent.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Sorry to be dense, but why are waitlists for Basis and Latin down so much? Is this really because so many kids have moved and/or are going private?

It seems like that.

Shorter waitlists = either the school grew or fewer people applied.

I'm going to bet that most schools are not growing this year, what with the pandemic and potentially shrinking budgets.

Fewer people applying = They are moving or going private, or they aren't attempting to change schools. So the only way those kids are staying in DCPS or DCPCS is there's a huge increase in everyone being super satisfied with their current school. That doesn't seem....realistic.

I can't imagine that many people moving in this real estate market, nor can I imagine that number of private school seats just magically opening? I'm guessing it must be NW families not playing the lottery this year, and choosing to stay in their present schools.

Anonymous wrote:My fear is this doesn't mean an exodus of DCUM from the city, but a large population of kids falling through the cracks. There are still kids "missing" from our HRCS despite all efforts to bring them into the school.

Doubt the families who are applying to Latin and Basis are "falling through the cracks" families.

Anonymous wrote:If re-enrollment paperwork isn't due until later in the spring, how do schools know how many lottery seats are available? For instance, I'm looking at my child's (charter) ES and there are a few lottery slots in every grade. Whereas JKLMM have zero lottery spots for rising/upper grades. I understand they're at max capacity with IB, so that means there's no chance for "school choice" at these schools?

School practices on this vary. Some may know that they have (or will have) empty seats in certain grades. Others guess based on prior year enrollment patterns / data - and there can be cascading effects on how waitlists move as a result.

Anonymous wrote:If re-enrollment paperwork isn't due until later in the spring, how do schools know how many lottery seats are available? For instance, I'm looking at my child's (charter) ES and there are a few lottery slots in every grade. Whereas JKLMM have zero lottery spots for rising/upper grades. I understand they're at max capacity with IB, so that means there's no chance for "school choice" at these schools?

Some families moved mid-year (and they didn't fill spots) and some families who moved already announced their intentions.