Anonymous
09/27/2020 13:35
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Playing with that map, if Texas somehow goes blue, I don't think there is a path for Trump at all.
Of course not. If Texas goes blue the GOP will never be able to win another presidential election.
+1. It would be like a Dems losing CA. Bet Rs stop touting the merits of the EC once Texas tips.
Won’t matter. They’ll never get the popular vote again unless they totally rebrand their party.
Why should they?
They can only win by multiple methods of cheating. Their core constituency is dying off.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 13:35
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Playing with that map, if Texas somehow goes blue, I don't think there is a path for Trump at all.
Of course not. If Texas goes blue the GOP will never be able to win another presidential election.
+1. It would be like a Dems losing CA. Bet Rs stop touting the merits of the EC once Texas tips.
Won’t matter. They’ll never get the popular vote again unless they totally rebrand their party.
Why should they?
Because this one's a stinker and they are going to have the taint of Trump on them for a long time to come.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 13:33
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
GOP is going to have to figure out how to re-form itself if they lose now, because it isn't tenable to win with solely the white nationalist vote.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 13:31
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Playing with that map, if Texas somehow goes blue, I don't think there is a path for Trump at all.
Of course not. If Texas goes blue the GOP will never be able to win another presidential election.
+1. It would be like a Dems losing CA. Bet Rs stop touting the merits of the EC once Texas tips.
Won’t matter. They’ll never get the popular vote again unless they totally rebrand their party.
Why should they?
Anonymous
09/27/2020 13:00
Subject: Re:Post your electoral map prediction!
Oh man, I would love to do a fantasy election league every four years. Majorly nerding out here
Anonymous
09/27/2020 12:39
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Playing with that map, if Texas somehow goes blue, I don't think there is a path for Trump at all.
Of course not. If Texas goes blue the GOP will never be able to win another presidential election.
+1. It would be like a Dems losing CA. Bet Rs stop touting the merits of the EC once Texas tips.
Won’t matter. They’ll never get the popular vote again unless they totally rebrand their party.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 12:29
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Playing with that map, if Texas somehow goes blue, I don't think there is a path for Trump at all.
Of course not. If Texas goes blue the GOP will never be able to win another presidential election.
+1. It would be like a Dems losing CA. Bet Rs stop touting the merits of the EC once Texas tips.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 12:28
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Also, OH and NC should be called pretty much on election day. If one or both go for Biden, Trump will have no path to 270.
I read that if Ohio is close, even if leaning toward Trump, that in and of itself is a really bad sign for Trump nationally. Kind of like how early on election night 2016, he started to really over perform in Florida and that was a very good sign for him. So here’s hoping, Ohio.
Makes sense. Ohio was won by Donald Trump by a margin of 8.13 points in 2016.
Now 538 says Trump is down by a point.
I have a kid in college at Oberlin. He has already had someone from a local GOtV effort help him switch his registration from Va to Ohio and properly request an early absentee ballot. I’m sure they will circle around in a month and make sure it is complete. I’m hoping similar efforts are happening at Ohio State and the other SLACs. There are probably 1000 extra Biden votes to be gotten at just Oberlin by OOS non-swing state helping kids switch registration and Ohio kids vote absentee. Maybe 10,000 plus at Ohio State. College kids are bemoaned because they often don’t vote. But they are new to the process and have extra hoops to jump through if they don’t live at home. Plus, many don’t realize that they can use college as their residence.
If you want to donate, look for Ohio GOTV efforts. Ones tailored towards college kids could swing the state if it’s close.
PP, can you find out which organization helped your kid and post the name here? https://www.dcurbanmom.com/jforum/posts/list/914916.page
I’ll ask. I’m not sure he will know the exact name though. They worked with the college to have a public information and assistance campaign during back to school with the nominal goal of ensuring all of the college students made it through the hurdles to vote. But, at Oberlin those votes will go 95% Biden. Oberlin is 90+% not Ohio, and draws most kids from Boston, Chicago, CA, the DMV— liberal elite enclaves. Getting those registrations switched and helping the kids vote even at a school as small as Oberlin (2000 kids on campus during COVID ) could have easily netted 1000 Biden votes. Low hanging fruit.
Anonymous
Anonymous
09/27/2020 12:04
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/texas/
Since June 5, the widest the TX polling has been is 2 points. At times Biden was leading.
Since June 5, the widest the TX polling has been is 2 points. At times Biden was leading.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 11:35
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Anonymous wrote:Playing with that map, if Texas somehow goes blue, I don't think there is a path for Trump at all.
Of course not. If Texas goes blue the GOP will never be able to win another presidential election.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 11:32
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Playing with that map, if Texas somehow goes blue, I don't think there is a path for Trump at all.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 11:23
Subject: Post your electoral map prediction!
Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Anonymous wrote:Also, OH and NC should be called pretty much on election day. If one or both go for Biden, Trump will have no path to 270.
I read that if Ohio is close, even if leaning toward Trump, that in and of itself is a really bad sign for Trump nationally. Kind of like how early on election night 2016, he started to really over perform in Florida and that was a very good sign for him. So here’s hoping, Ohio.
Makes sense. Ohio was won by Donald Trump by a margin of 8.13 points in 2016.
Now 538 says Trump is down by a point.
I have a kid in college at Oberlin. He has already had someone from a local GOtV effort help him switch his registration from Va to Ohio and properly request an early absentee ballot. I’m sure they will circle around in a month and make sure it is complete. I’m hoping similar efforts are happening at Ohio State and the other SLACs. There are probably 1000 extra Biden votes to be gotten at just Oberlin by OOS non-swing state helping kids switch registration and Ohio kids vote absentee. Maybe 10,000 plus at Ohio State. College kids are bemoaned because they often don’t vote. But they are new to the process and have extra hoops to jump through if they don’t live at home. Plus, many don’t realize that they can use college as their residence.
If you want to donate, look for Ohio GOTV efforts. Ones tailored towards college kids could swing the state if it’s close.
PP, can you find out which organization helped your kid and post the name here? https://www.dcurbanmom.com/jforum/posts/list/914916.page
Anonymous
09/27/2020 11:21
Subject: Re:Post your electoral map prediction!
I would love to see Florida go to Biden, too, but I honestly don't trust anything that comes out of that state.
Anonymous
09/27/2020 11:18
Subject: Re:Post your electoral map prediction!