Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 18:27     Subject: Re:Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Hogan can shut the schools down. He can't force schools which are already providing online classes to provide in-person classes.


He can actually. He can completely override the school superintendent. And he should of the numbers continually get better by the start of school. And Jack Smith can feel what it's like to lose his job during all this.


Yep, absolutely. There’s no way it can happen in FL, TX, AZ, and maybe CA (among other places) but if our trajectory continues, we might be able to do something, especially if we’re creative about how to use space.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 18:26     Subject: Re:Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:Hogan can shut the schools down. He can't force schools which are already providing online classes to provide in-person classes.


He can actually. He can completely override the school superintendent. And he should of the numbers continually get better by the start of school. And Jack Smith can feel what it's like to lose his job during all this.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 18:06     Subject: Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
I am going to start praying for Jack Smith and the School
Board to make a decision that forwards the education AND the economic stability of families in our County.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 18:04     Subject: Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Since the numbers are trending worse, I don't think you should put that much energy into this idea.



Maryland numbers are going up. We flattened for a little bit and now our numbers are going up again. Death toll is thankfully down, but that is a delayed reflection of the state of health.


Wrong again, you really are a fount of inaccurate info.


Yep. PP can’t understand data. So sad.

Every metric for Maryland is improving, and has been for weeks. Sorry you aren’t capable of understanding positivity rate.

The official local Maryland county email update I got today said positivity rates are up. But I know your kind. When positivity rates go up, we will hear, but death rate isn’t up! And when death rate increases, it will be, they’re “just” the old and infirm (they should be more careful, amiright?), then it will be, ok, more people are dying but it’s not as bad as NYC at the height, why are you being so hysterical and paranoid? always something with ya’ll.


When did you get that email?

Positivity rate ticked up slightly a few days ago, but it’s generally been on a pretty relentless downward trajectory.

Might want to look at the actual data: https://coronavirus.maryland.gov/

It’s updated every day at 10am. I’ve been looking at it and deriving my own metrics (like age-bracketed fatality rates) since March. I follow Mike Ricci and Kata Hall on Twitter, since they provide additional information. I don’t just rely on an email update from a county.

As for the rest of your 100% unfounded assumptions about me: I’m not going to give you the satisfaction of a response.


Sorry, I saw that you said you got it “today.” Which county do you live in? The overall MD positivity rate went down by 0.19. For MoCo it was down an impressive 0.82. So your email is either wrong, or only your county’s pos rate was up.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 18:03     Subject: Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Since the numbers are trending worse, I don't think you should put that much energy into this idea.



Maryland numbers are going up. We flattened for a little bit and now our numbers are going up again. Death toll is thankfully down, but that is a delayed reflection of the state of health.


Wrong again, you really are a fount of inaccurate info.


Yep. PP can’t understand data. So sad.

Every metric for Maryland is improving, and has been for weeks. Sorry you aren’t capable of understanding positivity rate.

The official local Maryland county email update I got today said positivity rates are up. But I know your kind. When positivity rates go up, we will hear, but death rate isn’t up! And when death rate increases, it will be, they’re “just” the old and infirm (they should be more careful, amiright?), then it will be, ok, more people are dying but it’s not as bad as NYC at the height, why are you being so hysterical and paranoid? always something with ya’ll.


When did you get that email?

Positivity rate ticked up slightly a few days ago, but it’s generally been on a pretty relentless downward trajectory.

Might want to look at the actual data: https://coronavirus.maryland.gov/

It’s updated every day at 10am. I’ve been looking at it and deriving my own metrics (like age-bracketed fatality rates) since March. I follow Mike Ricci and Kata Hall on Twitter, since they provide additional information. I don’t just rely on an email update from a county.

As for the rest of your 100% unfounded assumptions about me: I’m not going to give you the satisfaction of a response.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:59     Subject: Re:Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:The way the numbers are trending in MoCo (latest 7-day average is under 4.5%, hospitalization way down from 1700 to less than 400), and continuing to improve every week, I'm really having a hard time to grasp why we open indoor dining, bars, etc and yet close schools. I'm with you OP. I hope Hogan overrides this.


If we want to have school, we need to close indoor dining and bars.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:55     Subject: Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Since the numbers are trending worse, I don't think you should put that much energy into this idea.



Maryland numbers are going up. We flattened for a little bit and now our numbers are going up again. Death toll is thankfully down, but that is a delayed reflection of the state of health.


Wrong again, you really are a fount of inaccurate info.


Yep. PP can’t understand data. So sad.

Every metric for Maryland is improving, and has been for weeks. Sorry you aren’t capable of understanding positivity rate.

The official local Maryland county email update I got today said positivity rates are up. But I know your kind. When positivity rates go up, we will hear, but death rate isn’t up! And when death rate increases, it will be, they’re “just” the old and infirm (they should be more careful, amiright?), then it will be, ok, more people are dying but it’s not as bad as NYC at the height, why are you being so hysterical and paranoid? always something with ya’ll.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:53     Subject: Re:Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:Maryland was yellow on this map up until a few days ago, now it's red. Outlook is not great:
https://www.covidexitstrategy.org/


Are you not particularly detail-oriented?

Maryland is red on one metric: cases. Since they are increasing, we’re coded red. Having one red metric makes the entire state red. However, they don’t normalize case increase against positivity rate, which makes it a misleading metric.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:51     Subject: Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Since the numbers are trending worse, I don't think you should put that much energy into this idea.



Maryland numbers are going up. We flattened for a little bit and now our numbers are going up again. Death toll is thankfully down, but that is a delayed reflection of the state of health.


Wrong again, you really are a fount of inaccurate info.


Yep. PP can’t understand data. So sad.

Every metric for Maryland is improving, and has been for weeks. Sorry you aren’t capable of understanding positivity rate.


Positivity graphs have been flat at about 5% for several weeks. They haven't continued to fall. R0 sits at right around 1. Improvement would require a number under 1. Other stats, like hospitalization utilization, and deaths, lag behind positivity rates, so it's likely that we'll start seeing them stall.


Positivity rate has declined slightly almost every single day. Computing R0 is very difficult with the data available right now.

If deaths stalled at current levels—about 12-14/day in a state of 6 million people—that would be probably what one can expect in a continuing pandemic. We’re never going to get rid of this thing completely, until there’s a vaccine.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:49     Subject: Re:Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I don't know why you think Hogan has to step in. The state BOE has to approve all school system's plans. Either they will approve this plan or they won't. But don't assume MCPS has been operating in a vacuum. They've had workgroups working on this across districts for a couple of months now. MCPS should have a good idea already of what will be accepted and what won't.


The BOE couldn’t find their own ass with both hands and a mirror. Hogan needs to step in if they can’t make a sound decision.


+1 million
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:39     Subject: Re:Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Maryland was yellow on this map up until a few days ago, now it's red. Outlook is not great:
https://www.covidexitstrategy.org/
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:26     Subject: Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Since the numbers are trending worse, I don't think you should put that much energy into this idea.



Maryland numbers are going up. We flattened for a little bit and now our numbers are going up again. Death toll is thankfully down, but that is a delayed reflection of the state of health.


Wrong again, you really are a fount of inaccurate info.


Yep. PP can’t understand data. So sad.

Every metric for Maryland is improving, and has been for weeks. Sorry you aren’t capable of understanding positivity rate.


Positivity graphs have been flat at about 5% for several weeks. They haven't continued to fall. R0 sits at right around 1. Improvement would require a number under 1. Other stats, like hospitalization utilization, and deaths, lag behind positivity rates, so it's likely that we'll start seeing them stall.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:19     Subject: Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Since the numbers are trending worse, I don't think you should put that much energy into this idea.



Maryland numbers are going up. We flattened for a little bit and now our numbers are going up again. Death toll is thankfully down, but that is a delayed reflection of the state of health.


Wrong again, you really are a fount of inaccurate info.


Yep. PP can’t understand data. So sad.

Every metric for Maryland is improving, and has been for weeks. Sorry you aren’t capable of understanding positivity rate.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 17:15     Subject: Re:Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:Hogan can shut the schools down. He can't force schools which are already providing online classes to provide in-person classes.


This. So if you're in MoCo and want F2F learning, it'll be a while. We've just given up and we plan to move out of the county to an area that will likely be open.
Anonymous
Post 07/10/2020 16:47     Subject: Any chance if numbers are ridiculously good in August Hogan will override Smith?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Since the numbers are trending worse, I don't think you should put that much energy into this idea.



Maryland numbers are going up. We flattened for a little bit and now our numbers are going up again. Death toll is thankfully down, but that is a delayed reflection of the state of health.


Wrong again, you really are a fount of inaccurate info.