Anonymous wrote:Holy vagueness. If you're going to put out a list, at least put uw GPA, private/public, APs taken (or private school similar), AP exam scores and SAT

Why would you do that? The point isn't to see if DCUM people are good at guessing chances, but to see if collegevine (which has all that info) is good at guessing chances.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Holy vagueness. If you're going to put out a list, at least put uw GPA, private/public, APs taken (or private school similar), AP exam scores and SAT

huh?

this post seems more about how accurate collegevine's prediction algorithim was, not any one kid's individual stats. even the schools are anonymized. you can run collegevine formula yourself on your own kid an input quantitative and qualitative stats yourself. this is more about how was their prediction formula's accuracy across dcum parents.

Agree -- I think this is really helpful to get a sense of how accurate CV is with their stats.

+1!!

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Holy vagueness. If you're going to put out a list, at least put uw GPA, private/public, APs taken (or private school similar), AP exam scores and SAT

huh?

this post seems more about how accurate collegevine's prediction algorithim was, not any one kid's individual stats. even the schools are anonymized. you can run collegevine formula yourself on your own kid an input quantitative and qualitative stats yourself. this is more about how was their prediction formula's accuracy across dcum parents.

Agree -- I think this is really helpful to get a sense of how accurate CV is with their stats.

Anonymous wrote:Holy vagueness. If you're going to put out a list, at least put uw GPA, private/public, APs taken (or private school similar), AP exam scores and SAT

huh?

this post seems more about how accurate collegevine's prediction algorithim was, not any one kid's individual stats. even the schools are anonymized. you can run collegevine formula yourself on your own kid an input quantitative and qualitative stats yourself. this is more about how was their prediction formula's accuracy across dcum parents.

Holy vagueness. If you're going to put out a list, at least put uw GPA, private/public, APs taken (or private school similar), AP exam scores and SAT

Thanks for sharing. These were my DC's results:

25% Ivy: Denied
27% Ivy: Denied
28% Ivy: Denied
29% T10 Private: Denied
30% T10 Private: Admitted
32% WASP SLAC: Waitlist
37% UC OOS: Denied
40% UC OOS: Denied
43% SLAC: Admitted
46% SLAC: Admitted
50% SLAC: Admitted
51% Large Public OOS: Admitted
65% SLAC: Admitted with Merit
74% UC OOS: Admitted
79% Private: Admitted with Merit
87% Large Public In-State: Admitted
98% Large Public OOS: Admitted with Merit + Honors College

Anonymous wrote:This is interested b/c when I put my junior's stats in, I felt like College Vine was way too optimistic on his chances.

I had thought this too—college vine gave my child a 33% chance at Harvard. High stats. Seemed unlikely it was that high. While he didn’t get into Harvard he did better than predicted across all schools. (I took the predicted percentage for each school and calculated using a LLM how many events would be expected to occur if those chances were correct. Dc got into several more schools than that, including several ivies).