Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 23:16     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley



This is a GREAT outcome!!! Congratulations!!

1 T15, 2 T20, 3 T30, 1 Top lac.
AMAZING outcome.
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 23:13     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley



This is a GREAT outcome!!! Congratulations!!
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 23:13     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted:


Columbia? Wow …



RD is REALLY hard. It's a total crapshoot. Vanderbilt is down to 2% chance. Boston College would have been s shoe-in for ED but kid was waitlisted RD (classmates with a GPA many tenths of a point lower were admitted earlier ED1 or ED2).

Moral of the story: do not count on RD. It's a crapshoot. Maybe you'll win, likely you won't. Good luck!

These schools were all RD:
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley

The only RD admits were Columbia and Middlebury.




UCLA?
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 23:12     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley



Major?


generally anthropology or sociology. Public health for a few schools.


Public or private HS? Female? Premed plans?
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 23:09     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley



Major?


generally anthropology or sociology. Public health for a few schools.
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 23:07     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley



Major?
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 23:02     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted:


Columbia? Wow …



RD is REALLY hard. It's a total crapshoot. Vanderbilt is down to 2% chance. Boston College would have been s shoe-in for ED but kid was waitlisted RD (classmates with a GPA many tenths of a point lower were admitted earlier ED1 or ED2).

Moral of the story: do not count on RD. It's a crapshoot. Maybe you'll win, likely you won't. Good luck!

These schools were all RD:
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley

The only RD admits were Columbia and Middlebury.


Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 22:57     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley



Columbia? Wow …

Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 22:50     Subject: Re:Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Last year (2025)
Generous merit (max available at each school): Georgia, Vermont, Clemson, Pittsburgh,
In (no merit): Wisconsin, Michigan, UVA, UNC, UCLA, Columbia, Middlebury
Terminally waitlisted: Notre Dame, Boston College, Bowdoin, Dartmouth, Emory
Rejected: Stanford, Cornell, Vanderbilt, Northwestern, Brown, Berkeley

Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 22:44     Subject: Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:I think major matters a lot at the top Flagship schools. Especially later on in the process. There isn’t much Room for stem left, but there is a lot of room for humanities.


Not just flagships, but true everywhere in T25.

If you are not the very top of your cohort (and I mean the very top) & an oversubscribed field, RD is not happening. Expect a lot of waitlists. Start working on those LOCI letters now and figure out where if anywhere, your college counseling office has clout.
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 22:34     Subject: Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:T40-T50 are safeties. Generally not predictive for highly selective schools (sub 15%).

Merit at these schools is means to attract students they think who are likely to attend, not a great correlation with acceptance to reach schools. The underlying logic for reach is different from that of merit at safeties.

Reasonable to assume at least one target (15-20%).


Such as…?


Wake Forest? BU BC
Liberal arts Carleton? Colorado Richmond

That’s depressing. Half of the above are worse than T50!
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 22:23     Subject: Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:T40-T50 are safeties. Generally not predictive for highly selective schools (sub 15%).

Merit at these schools is means to attract students they think who are likely to attend, not a great correlation with acceptance to reach schools. The underlying logic for reach is different from that of merit at safeties.

Reasonable to assume at least one target (15-20%).


Such as…?


Wake Forest? BU BC
Liberal arts Carleton? Colorado Richmond
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 22:19     Subject: Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

I think major matters a lot at the top Flagship schools. Especially later on in the process. There isn’t much Room for stem left, but there is a lot of room for humanities.
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 22:08     Subject: Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I think better off indication is from EA out of state public’s. GT, UT Austin, uiuc, Michigan, etc which all have sub 10% acceptance.


I think her question was: Does getting merit from top 40-50 predict acceptance to the bunch of schools you just just listed?


The answer is no.
Anonymous
Post 03/08/2026 21:58     Subject: Acceptance to more selective schools based on merit at T40-T50 schools

Anxiety level is getting high as decisions are out in the next two weeks. Just wait and you will find out soon. At least you have a couple anchors. To your question, the answer is there is real hope for higher ups, but do not plan around it.