Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 18:50     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Tbh, the early group (deferral, waitlist) is sometimes more stacked than RD so some select ED deferrals could be stronger than many RDs. Lots of randos throw in a mediocre RD application that is low-effort and just copied from one they've already completed. Esp if they have no issue paying the application fee, have a free application waiver due to low income, or it's free to everyone to apply.





You are not competing with randos in RD. There are thousands of highly competitive applicants in RD. Chances are low.


My kid was deferred from their ED school and is in this position right now. We have been advised by multiple counselors that 5-10% of deferred are typically accepted RD. So, not holding our breath, but I do think that my kid has a better chance (than if they had only applied RD) since the school knows my kid applied ED and really wants to go there so they don't need to worry about yield.


Depending on the school, a 10% acceptance rate for deferred students is higher than the RD acceptance rate. Possibly even double given that the overall admission rate colleges release is a blend of ED (higher) and RD (lower).

That said, 5-10% equals very low odds. Obviously.


Deferral already screened out the ED randos. You have to compare it with RD minus RD randos. It’s low if not lower.


I'm the PP with the kid in this situation. I agree with everyone that the odds are low, but this college gets a lot of applicants who did not get into their SCEA and Ivy early schools so hoping that they will take my kid for the greater likelihood that they will for sure attend.


Ivys are tough. Do you have backup?
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 17:59     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:Traditionally, UGA is one school that actually accepts a lot of deferred kids in the RD round.


Agree, and Clemson.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 17:36     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Once you commit, usually May 1, can you still be on the waitlist for other schools?
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 17:20     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Tbh, the early group (deferral, waitlist) is sometimes more stacked than RD so some select ED deferrals could be stronger than many RDs. Lots of randos throw in a mediocre RD application that is low-effort and just copied from one they've already completed. Esp if they have no issue paying the application fee, have a free application waiver due to low income, or it's free to everyone to apply.





You are not competing with randos in RD. There are thousands of highly competitive applicants in RD. Chances are low.


My kid was deferred from their ED school and is in this position right now. We have been advised by multiple counselors that 5-10% of deferred are typically accepted RD. So, not holding our breath, but I do think that my kid has a better chance (than if they had only applied RD) since the school knows my kid applied ED and really wants to go there so they don't need to worry about yield.


Depending on the school, a 10% acceptance rate for deferred students is higher than the RD acceptance rate. Possibly even double given that the overall admission rate colleges release is a blend of ED (higher) and RD (lower).

That said, 5-10% equals very low odds. Obviously.


Deferral already screened out the ED randos. You have to compare it with RD minus RD randos. It’s low if not lower.


I'm the PP with the kid in this situation. I agree with everyone that the odds are low, but this college gets a lot of applicants who did not get into their SCEA and Ivy early schools so hoping that they will take my kid for the greater likelihood that they will for sure attend.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 15:19     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Tbh, the early group (deferral, waitlist) is sometimes more stacked than RD so some select ED deferrals could be stronger than many RDs. Lots of randos throw in a mediocre RD application that is low-effort and just copied from one they've already completed. Esp if they have no issue paying the application fee, have a free application waiver due to low income, or it's free to everyone to apply.





You are not competing with randos in RD. There are thousands of highly competitive applicants in RD. Chances are low.


My kid was deferred from their ED school and is in this position right now. We have been advised by multiple counselors that 5-10% of deferred are typically accepted RD. So, not holding our breath, but I do think that my kid has a better chance (than if they had only applied RD) since the school knows my kid applied ED and really wants to go there so they don't need to worry about yield.


Depending on the school, a 10% acceptance rate for deferred students is higher than the RD acceptance rate. Possibly even double given that the overall admission rate colleges release is a blend of ED (higher) and RD (lower).

That said, 5-10% equals very low odds. Obviously.


Deferral already screened out the ED randos. You have to compare it with RD minus RD randos. It’s low if not lower.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 14:08     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Tbh, the early group (deferral, waitlist) is sometimes more stacked than RD so some select ED deferrals could be stronger than many RDs. Lots of randos throw in a mediocre RD application that is low-effort and just copied from one they've already completed. Esp if they have no issue paying the application fee, have a free application waiver due to low income, or it's free to everyone to apply.





You are not competing with randos in RD. There are thousands of highly competitive applicants in RD. Chances are low.


My kid was deferred from their ED school and is in this position right now. We have been advised by multiple counselors that 5-10% of deferred are typically accepted RD. So, not holding our breath, but I do think that my kid has a better chance (than if they had only applied RD) since the school knows my kid applied ED and really wants to go there so they don't need to worry about yield.


Depending on the school, a 10% acceptance rate for deferred students is higher than the RD acceptance rate. Possibly even double given that the overall admission rate colleges release is a blend of ED (higher) and RD (lower).

That said, 5-10% equals very low odds. Obviously.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 13:57     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:For Yale, deferred applicants are either accepted or rejected. They don’t get waitlisted.


I remember last year there were a lot of angry kids that had applied ED to Duke. They were deferred and accepted or rejected in RD. Like Yale, they don’t waitlist ED deferred kids, they only waitlist RD kids. So when Duke took 50+ kids off the waitlist in July, it was only kids that applied RD.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 13:34     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

For Yale, deferred applicants are either accepted or rejected. They don’t get waitlisted.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 13:24     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Tbh, the early group (deferral, waitlist) is sometimes more stacked than RD so some select ED deferrals could be stronger than many RDs. Lots of randos throw in a mediocre RD application that is low-effort and just copied from one they've already completed. Esp if they have no issue paying the application fee, have a free application waiver due to low income, or it's free to everyone to apply.





You are not competing with randos in RD. There are thousands of highly competitive applicants in RD. Chances are low.


My kid was deferred from their ED school and is in this position right now. We have been advised by multiple counselors that 5-10% of deferred are typically accepted RD. So, not holding our breath, but I do think that my kid has a better chance (than if they had only applied RD) since the school knows my kid applied ED and really wants to go there so they don't need to worry about yield.


I don't disagree with all you have said. But isn't 5-10% essentially a lottery?
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 13:04     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Tbh, the early group (deferral, waitlist) is sometimes more stacked than RD so some select ED deferrals could be stronger than many RDs. Lots of randos throw in a mediocre RD application that is low-effort and just copied from one they've already completed. Esp if they have no issue paying the application fee, have a free application waiver due to low income, or it's free to everyone to apply.





You are not competing with randos in RD. There are thousands of highly competitive applicants in RD. Chances are low.


My kid was deferred from their ED school and is in this position right now. We have been advised by multiple counselors that 5-10% of deferred are typically accepted RD. So, not holding our breath, but I do think that my kid has a better chance (than if they had only applied RD) since the school knows my kid applied ED and really wants to go there so they don't need to worry about yield.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 12:48     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Tbh, the early group (deferral, waitlist) is sometimes more stacked than RD so some select ED deferrals could be stronger than many RDs. Lots of randos throw in a mediocre RD application that is low-effort and just copied from one they've already completed. Esp if they have no issue paying the application fee, have a free application waiver due to low income, or it's free to everyone to apply.





You are not competing with randos in RD. There are thousands of highly competitive applicants in RD. Chances are low.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 12:18     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Tbh, the early group (deferral, waitlist) is sometimes more stacked than RD so some select ED deferrals could be stronger than many RDs. Lots of randos throw in a mediocre RD application that is low-effort and just copied from one they've already completed. Esp if they have no issue paying the application fee, have a free application waiver due to low income, or it's free to everyone to apply.



Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 12:01     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:How do they measure these against RD decisions? If the entire RD pool is excellent, how do colleges decide who and how many to take from deferrals and Waitlists?


Don't get your hopes up. They already said that you are not their "must-haves".

The general consensus is that a deferral lower your chance in RD compared to other RD applicants, but a few did get accepted after deferral.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 11:31     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Anonymous wrote:It is widely believed that schools would pull full pay kids over finaid kids from waitlists unless institutional priorities come into play. As a family needing financial aid, we are expecting waitlist = reject.


Not necessarily. DC was waitlisted, needed financial aid and admitted off the waitlist.
Anonymous
Post 02/11/2026 08:25     Subject: Deferrals and Waiting lists results

Traditionally, UGA is one school that actually accepts a lot of deferred kids in the RD round.