Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Last spring, an admissions consultant was reporting seeing lots of 3.9 waitlists, 3.6/3.7 acceptances.
UMich considers interest. Just saying...
This makes me nervous about ED bc everyone has the highest demonstrated interest by definition. I think they are going to majorly fill the class with high stats kids and move away from the leadership model. My low range SAT kid DD cried when ED was introduced.
Such is life. On to the next school.
If I understand your take on things, I find it odd.
First, what is "the leadership model"? (Something do with morphing the community question into the leadership question?)
How would the introduction of ED affect a low-range SAT applicant? What's the thinking here?
Michigan has struggled with out-of-state yield. It's much lower than in-state yield. They know that for many OS applicants, Michigan is not their first choice. Accepting lots of applicants for whom your school is not their first choice brings uncertainty and volatility to the process. What do they do to address that and figure out who really wants to go to Michigan? First, they consider demonstrated interest and likely weigh the "Why Michigan?" essay heavily. Second, anecdotally, they yield-protect. (That's what the 3.9 waitlist, 3.6/3.7 acceptances stories are saying to me. Are they saying something different to you?)
Third, they've recently introduced ED. Yes, this is probably the highest indicator of interest. So if Michigan is your kid's top choice, they apply ED to show that level of interest. (Or EA.)
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I think they are going to majorly fill the class with high stats kids
I think they're going to fill the class with the applicants who most want to go to Michigan and who also meet whatever criteria they have for stats, leadership, whatever.
I was writing about the ED round only. ED has removed the 3.6/3.7 acceptance and higher stats waitlist narrative, IMO. In past years, kids who could paint a compelling case they loved Michigan would apply EA and hope they get a bump over higher stats kids bc Michigan thought they would matriculate.
ED has taken away that distinguishing factor bc everyone has committed to attending. I bet my bottom dollar that they only take the highest stats kids in ED and defer the rest. If a kid applies ED to Michigan with slightly lower stats, Michigan will gamble they will accept an RD slot bc they are interested enough to ED and their stats don't give them better options (to be clear, when I say low stats, I mean kids on the lower end of the 25%-75% range, so not dummies but kids locked out of other high performing public peer schools). And, I think there are tons of kids who will be happy to ED to a T20 and not wait.
And, in all honesty, Michigan will be right. My kid is hoping they survive with a deferral and maybe get off the waitlist in RD.
I am also not making a judgment on whether this is good or bad, just stating what I anticipate Michigan will do.
Oh and what I meant by leadership model is, in previous years, Michigan seemed to value kids who had HS leadership (my guess is they knew they weren't always getting the kids who could get into MIT, for example, so they valued pretty smart kids who were also president, captain etc.) Now if a kid with MIT stats applies ED, they don't have to worry they won’t come.