Anonymous
Post 09/08/2023 12:28     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Even if Lee decides to come straight at us and make landfall on the Eastern Shore (I haven't seen any models showing this but things could change), the DMV is inland enough that we'll get a storm, not a hurricane.


Isabel says hold my beer and bless your heart.


The PP is right. This is from Isabel's wiki page:

"In Washington, D.C., sustained winds remained below tropical storm force, though gusts reached 71 miles per hour (114 km/h) as recorded by the National Academy of Science.[1] Hurricane-force winds existed several hundred feet in the air, with wind sensors on the top of tall buildings recording winds of 70 to 85 miles per hour (113 to 137 km/h). Rainfall was minimal, amounting to around two inches across the district. A gauge on Wisconsin Avenue recorded a storm surge of 11.3 feet (3.4 m), and a gauge on a pier in the southwest portion of the district recorded a storm surge of 10.25 feet (3.12 m). Both observations were records, surpassing the previous observation set by the 1933 Chesapeake Potomac Hurricane.[8]"
Anonymous
Post 09/08/2023 12:26     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Even if Lee decides to come straight at us and make landfall on the Eastern Shore (I haven't seen any models showing this but things could change), the DMV is inland enough that we'll get a storm, not a hurricane.


Isabel says hold my beer and bless your heart.


The once in 40 years storm, sure. The PP is right, we rarely get anything more than remnants here. Is there a slim chance, sure. But all the projections make it seem unlikely.
Anonymous
Post 09/08/2023 10:55     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:Assuming this becomes a thing, when is it supposed to happen? Sometime next week?


All the spaghetti models show it turning out to sea, at worst hitting the Canadian Maritimes or brushing New England. I'll keep an eye on it of course but there is zero indication we need to prep for anything right now.
Anonymous
Post 09/08/2023 10:29     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Assuming this becomes a thing, when is it supposed to happen? Sometime next week?
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 21:37     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Even if Lee decides to come straight at us and make landfall on the Eastern Shore (I haven't seen any models showing this but things could change), the DMV is inland enough that we'll get a storm, not a hurricane.


Isabel says hold my beer and bless your heart.


I drank a lot of beer during Isabel , was living in Calvert county at the time and it was kinda wild.
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 20:57     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:A lot can change because it’s still quite far out to sea, but the models I saw had it making landfall quite far north in New England or in Canada. Worth keeping an eye on but so far it doesn’t seem like they’re predicting a direct hit to the mid-Atlantic.


The problem is that if the model changes and now it is certain Lee will make landfall in this region it'll be too late to prepare.


No it won’t - hurricane forecasting is decent in terms of predicting landfalls 3+ days out so that’s plenty of time IF there’s a direct hit to this area … which it doesn’t look like there will be at all. EVEN IF it does track further south over time that’s still more like Boston, NYC, NJ, etc.
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 20:29     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Costco run tonight to prep. People seemed to be grabbing lots of water already. Many carts entirely full of water.
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 20:05     Subject: Re:Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:No, I don't tend to worry about hurricanes that haven't even formed yet and the forecasted track is much too variable at this point.


Lee is a Cat 2 hurricane now.

And it's increasing in strength. There are a possible 3 different routes and they don't know where it's going to go. While I'm not "worried," I think it's smart for people to be aware of the possibilities and to keep an eye on the trajectory. The fact that you didn't know that it was a hurricane tells me you're paying zero attention. To each his own.


DP. Most people in this area pay zero attention to hurricane forecasts because they affect us so infrequently. It’s a hobby of sorts for me, lol. But I can understand why others don’t. The local news networks will hype it up soon enough.
I love following this sort of thing, weather in general or really. Where do you follow? Are there any special apps? Or channels that you like?
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 19:15     Subject: Re:Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:No, I don't tend to worry about hurricanes that haven't even formed yet and the forecasted track is much too variable at this point.


Lee is a Cat 2 hurricane now.

And it's increasing in strength. There are a possible 3 different routes and they don't know where it's going to go. While I'm not "worried," I think it's smart for people to be aware of the possibilities and to keep an eye on the trajectory. The fact that you didn't know that it was a hurricane tells me you're paying zero attention. To each his own.


DP. Most people in this area pay zero attention to hurricane forecasts because they affect us so infrequently. It’s a hobby of sorts for me, lol. But I can understand why others don’t. The local news networks will hype it up soon enough.
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 19:09     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:It’s the flooding that will be a problem


If you live in a flood prone area, not a bad idea to evacuate this weekend ahead of the traffic next week.
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 18:58     Subject: Re:Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:No, I don't tend to worry about hurricanes that haven't even formed yet and the forecasted track is much too variable at this point.


Lee is a Cat 2 hurricane now.

And it's increasing in strength. There are a possible 3 different routes and they don't know where it's going to go. While I'm not "worried," I think it's smart for people to be aware of the possibilities and to keep an eye on the trajectory. The fact that you didn't know that it was a hurricane tells me you're paying zero attention. To each his own.
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 17:48     Subject: Worried about Lee?
It’s the flooding that will be a problem
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 17:40     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:A lot can change because it’s still quite far out to sea, but the models I saw had it making landfall quite far north in New England or in Canada. Worth keeping an eye on but so far it doesn’t seem like they’re predicting a direct hit to the mid-Atlantic.


The problem is that if the model changes and now it is certain Lee will make landfall in this region it'll be too late to prepare.


It will not be too late to prepare, unless your preparations involve significantly more than making sure you have water on hand and some sort of plan for a power loss. The forecasts are pretty good days out. Any landfall is likely more than a week off still.
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 16:54     Subject: Re:Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:No, I don't tend to worry about hurricanes that haven't even formed yet and the forecasted track is much too variable at this point.


Lee is a Cat 2 hurricane now.

[/quote

Cancel that, it's now a 4.
Anonymous
Post 09/07/2023 16:53     Subject: Worried about Lee?
Anonymous wrote:Even if Lee decides to come straight at us and make landfall on the Eastern Shore (I haven't seen any models showing this but things could change), the DMV is inland enough that we'll get a storm, not a hurricane.


Isabel says hold my beer and bless your heart.